Thursday , 2 July 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2018-19
Sat 11 May 2019 · 18:30 UTC Stadio Artemio Franchi HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Artemio Franchi.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Referee Gianluca Manganiello
  • Referee Fabrizio Posado
  • Referee Livio Marinelli
  • Referee Gianmattia Tasso
14 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 4.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May AC Milan H 0–1 L
05 May Empoli FC A 0–1 L
29 Apr US Sassuolo Calcio H 0–1 L
20 Apr Juventus FC A 1–2 L
14 Apr Bologna FC 1909 H 0–0 D
07 Apr Frosinone Calcio H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May ACF Fiorentina A 1–0 W
06 May Bologna FC 1909 H 2–1 W
28 Apr Torino FC A 0–2 L
20 Apr Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–1 D
13 Apr SS Lazio H 1–0 W
06 Apr Juventus FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina AC Milan
#15 Position #5
42 Points 70
38 Played 38
9 / 15 / 14 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8
41 Scored 53
50 Conceded 35
-9 GD +18
1.11 PPG 1.84
24% Win % 53%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — ACF Fiorentina and AC Milan get this one started.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both ACF Fiorentina and AC Milan are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' ACF Fiorentina is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' A quiet spell here at Stadio Artemio Franchi. AC Milan seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. ACF Fiorentina is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 34' The referee shows ACF Fiorentina player a Yellow card on 34.
  • 35' Hakan Calhanoglu does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
  • 40' ACF Fiorentina started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
  • 45' Franck Kessie, a Ivory Coast , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 50' Vitor Hugo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 55' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 60' It’s high time Vincenzo Montella made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 65' Cristiano Biraghi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for ACF Fiorentina so far.
  • 67' Poor challenge from Vincent Laurini. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 69' Gerson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Vincent Laurini at the 69 minute mark.
  • 74' Edimilson Fernandes makes way for Dusan Vlahovic at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from ACF Fiorentina.
  • 78' A moment of madness from Gianluigi Donnarumma on 78 minutes earns him a Yellow card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
  • 81' Samu Castillejo gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Suso and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' The whistle greets Bryan Dabo as he departs to be replaced by Christian Norgaard.
  • 88' Diego Laxalt is ready to make an impact after coming on for Fabio Borini at the 88 minute mark.
  • The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.72 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina26% Draw34% AC Milan40%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.77
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 53%
47%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
59%
Draw or AC Milan
74%
ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan
66%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina16% Draw58% AC Milan26%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
19.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
13.8%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 2
8.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
4.6%
2 – 0
4.1%
0 – 3
3.1%
2 – 2
2.6%
1 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
1.1%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 16% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 24% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 12% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
36%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
49%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.