ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
- ACF Fiorentina 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Maurizio Mariani
- Referee Gianluca Manganiello
- Referee Fabrizio Posado
- Referee Livio Marinelli
- Referee Gianmattia Tasso
14 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 4.4 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | AC Milan | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 May | Empoli FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Apr | US Sassuolo Calcio | H | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Juventus FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Apr | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 0–0 | D |
| 07 Apr | Frosinone Calcio | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | ACF Fiorentina | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 May | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Apr | Torino FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Apr | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Apr | SS Lazio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | Juventus FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| ACF Fiorentina | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #5 |
| 42 | Points | 70 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 9 / 15 / 14 | W / D / L | 20 / 10 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 53 |
| 50 | Conceded | 35 |
| -9 | GD | +18 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.84 |
| 24% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — ACF Fiorentina and AC Milan get this one started.
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both ACF Fiorentina and AC Milan are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' ACF Fiorentina is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 25' A quiet spell here at Stadio Artemio Franchi. AC Milan seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 30' It looks like no one’s ball. ACF Fiorentina is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 34' The referee shows ACF Fiorentina player a Yellow card on 34.
- 35' Hakan Calhanoglu does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
- 40' ACF Fiorentina started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
- 45' Franck Kessie, a Ivory Coast , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 50' Vitor Hugo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 55' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 60' It’s high time Vincenzo Montella made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 65' Cristiano Biraghi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for ACF Fiorentina so far.
- 67' Poor challenge from Vincent Laurini. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 69' Gerson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Vincent Laurini at the 69 minute mark.
- 74' Edimilson Fernandes makes way for Dusan Vlahovic at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from ACF Fiorentina.
- 78' A moment of madness from Gianluigi Donnarumma on 78 minutes earns him a Yellow card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
- 81' Samu Castillejo gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Suso and will look to change the dynamic.
- 84' The whistle greets Bryan Dabo as he departs to be replaced by Christian Norgaard.
- 88' Diego Laxalt is ready to make an impact after coming on for Fabio Borini at the 88 minute mark.
- The final score is 0-1.
Lineups
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
- 31
- 4
- 3
-
2
Vincent Laurini ↓ Gerson 69'
- 25
- 24
-
14
Bryan Dabo ↓ Christian Norgaard 84'
- 11
- 26
- 1
Bench
- 33
- 9
-
8
Gerson ↑ 69'
- 5
- 16
-
6
Christian Norgaard ↑ 84'
-
28
Dusan Vlahovic ↑ 74'
- 19
- 23
- 30
- 32
- 34
Coach
Vincenzo Montella
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 99
- 20
- 13
- 68
- 22
- 79
-
8
Suso ↓ Samu Castillejo 81'
- 10
-
11
Fabio Borini ↓ Diego Laxalt 88'
- 14
- 19
Bench
- 90
- 17
- 12
- 21
- 4
-
63
Patrick Cutrone ↑ 74'
-
93
Diego Laxalt ↑ 88'
- 16
- 25
-
7
Samu Castillejo ↑ 81'
Coach
Gennaro Gattuso
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 4 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 3 |
| Dusan Vlahovic | 3 |
| Erick Pulgar | 3 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Franck Kessie | 2 |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | 2 |
| Alfred Duncan | 2 |
Head to Head
ACF Fiorentina Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.72
ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.77
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 1.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 2.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 3.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
ACF Fiorentina or Draw
59%
Draw or AC Milan
74%
ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan
66%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
19.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
13.8%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 2
8.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
4.6%
2 – 0
4.1%
0 – 3
3.1%
2 – 2
2.6%
1 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
1.1%
Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina
| Handicap | ACF Fiorentina covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 16% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 24% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
49%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

