AC Milan vs SSC Napoli, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs SSC Napoli — Serie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- SSC Napoli 38 games · 76 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Alessandro Costanzo
- Referee Paolo Mazzoleni
- Referee Fabrizio Pasqua
- Referee Rosario Abisso
- Referee Valerio Vecchi
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar | SSC Napoli | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Mar | Manchester United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Mar | Hellas Verona FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Mar | Udinese Calcio | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Feb | AS Roma | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Feb | FK Crvena Zvezda | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar | AC Milan | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Mar | US Sassuolo Calcio | A | 3–3 | D |
| 28 Feb | Benevento Calcio | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | Granada CF | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Feb | Atalanta BC | A | 2–4 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | SSC Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #2 |
| 70 | Points | 76 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 23 / 7 / 8 |
| 53 | Scored | 58 |
| 35 | Conceded | 36 |
| +18 | GD | +22 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 53% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). SSC Napoli are 2nd (76 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. AC Milan is hosting SSC Napoli for another epic battle.
- 5' SSC Napoli is showing some good football. However, SSC Napoli are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' Tiemoue Bakayoko has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 515 appearances.
- 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 515 games and scored 600 goals.
- 25' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nikola Maksimovic on 25.
- 30' Ante Rebic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 6 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dries Mertens suffering a number of foals already.
- 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 49' A goal from the Italy international Matteo Politano! He fires home on 49 to make it 0-1!
- 54' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AC Milan and SSC Napoli are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 59' Time for substitution for SSC Napoli. Dries Mertens is replaced by Victor Osimhen.
- 60' Ante Rebic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rade Krunic on 60 minute.
- 65' SSC Napoli come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 67' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Franck Kessie departs to be replaced by Soualiho Meite.
- 69' SSC Napoli receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 69.
- 74' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 75' The whistle greets Piotr Zielinski as he departs to be replaced by Eljif Elmas.
- 79' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Rafael Leao departs to be replaced by Jens Hauge.
- 80' It is a substitution in SSC Napoli team. Diego Demme is replaced by Tiemoue Bakayoko on 80 minute.
- 85' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 87' Theo Hernandez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 87.
- 90' A moment of madness from Ante Rebic on 90 minutes earns him a Red card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. SSC Napoli take all three points.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 23
-
17
Rafael Leao ↓ Jens Hauge 79'
- 19
- 99
-
79
Franck Kessie ↓ Soualiho Meite 67'
-
10
Hakan Calhanoglu ↓ Ante Rebic 60'
- 7
- 8
-
33
Rade Krunic ↓ Ante Rebic 60'
- 46
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 60'
- 1
-
12
Ante Rebic ↑ 60'
- 24
- 90
-
18
Soualiho Meite ↑ 67'
-
56
Alexis Saelemaekers ↑ 60'
- 20
-
15
Jens Hauge ↑ 79'
Coach
Stefano Pioli
SSC Napoli Lineups
Starting XI
-
4
Diego Demme ↓ Tiemoue Bakayoko 80'
- 8
- 26
- 23
- 24
-
20
Piotr Zielinski ↓ Eljif Elmas 75'
-
14
Dries Mertens ↓ Victor Osimhen 59'
- 19
- 25
- 21
- 22
Bench
-
7
Eljif Elmas ↑ 75'
- 68
-
6
Mario Rui ↑ 80'
- 1
-
5
Tiemoue Bakayoko ↑ 80'
-
9
Victor Osimhen ↑ 59'
- 3
- 16
- 58
- 38
Coach
Gennaro Gattuso
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Matteo Politano | 5 |
| Olivier Giroud | 5 |
| Dries Mertens | 3 |
| Giacomo Bonaventura | 2 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Piotr Zielinski | 2 |
| Franck Kessie | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.25
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
SSC Napoli xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan or SSC Napoli 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: SSC Napoli win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
66%
Draw or SSC Napoli
64%
AC Milan or SSC Napoli
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | SSC Napoli covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 20% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 19% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.