AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
- AC Milan 5 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- ACF Fiorentina 5 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Rosario Abisso
- Referee Alessio Tolfo
- Referee Alessandro Lo Cicero
- Referee Francesco Fourneau
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | ACF Fiorentina | H | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Lille OSC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Nov | SSC Napoli | A | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Nov | Hellas Verona FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Nov | Lille OSC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Nov | Udinese Calcio | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | AC Milan | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Nov | Benevento Calcio | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Nov | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Nov | AS Roma | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | Udinese Calcio | H | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | Spezia Calcio | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | ACF Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #17 |
| 11 | Points | 4 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 3 / 2 / 0 | W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 3 |
| 10 | Scored | 6 |
| 4 | Conceded | 12 |
| +6 | GD | -6 |
| 2.20 | PPG | 0.80 |
| 60% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
0%
Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season
ACF Fiorentina this season
AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
ACF Fiorentina
| Franco Mastantuono | 3 G |
| Mateo Pellegrino | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. AC Milan is hosting ACF Fiorentina for another epic battle.
- 5' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' Gaetano Castrovilli needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 26 Yellow cards this season.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 17' Alessio Romagnoli puts AC Milan on the lead.
- 22' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 25' German Pezzella was booked on 25.
- 27' A goal from the Ivory Coast international Franck Kessie! He fires home on 27 to make it 2-0!
- 28' What a moment for Franck Kessie! That strike on 28 puts his side firmly in control.
- 33' A quiet spell here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. AC Milan seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 38' The travelling ACF Fiorentina supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 43' German Pezzella, a Argentina defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 45' A moment of madness from Ante Rebic on 45 minutes earns him a Yellow card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
- 46' Fresh legs for ACF Fiorentina! Giacomo Bonaventura comes on to replace Jose Callejon.
- 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gianluigi Donnarumma, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 52' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Gaetano Castrovilli.
- 57' ACF Fiorentina seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 60' Another change for ACF Fiorentina made on 60 minute. Martin Caceres leaves to be changed by Pol Mikel Lirola.
- 65' Over 65 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 68' A tactical swap from ACF Fiorentina — Patrick Cutrone on, Franck Ribery off on 68 minutes.
- 71' Franck Kessie has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 71.
- 74' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Rade Krunic comes on to replace Brahim Diaz.
- 75' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Rade Krunic comes on to replace Brahim Diaz.
- 77' Another change for ACF Fiorentina made on 77 minute. Gaetano Castrovilli leaves to be changed by Borja Valero.
- 82' The supporters are chanting for Jens Hauge. He replaces Sandro Tonali on 82 minute.
- 86' Cristiano Biraghi was booked on 86.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Sofyan Amrabat is booked for ACF Fiorentina — Yellow card on 90.
- 90' The whistle greets Alexis Saelemaekers as he departs to be replaced by Diogo Dalot.
- With this win, AC Milan is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Rade Krunic 74'
- 12
- 19
- 24
- 99
- 2
- 13
- 79
- 10
-
8
Sandro Tonali ↓ Jens Hauge 82'
- 56
Bench
- 43
-
5
Diogo Dalot ↑ 90'
- 1
- 90
- 14
-
33
Rade Krunic ↑ 74'
- 46
- 20
- 27
- 29
-
15
Jens Hauge ↑ 82'
Coach
Stefano Pioli
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 34
-
7
Franck Ribery ↓ Patrick Cutrone 68'
- 77
- 78
- 69
- 20
- 4
- 3
- 9
- 22
Bench
- 27
-
5
Giacomo Bonaventura ↑ 46'
-
63
Patrick Cutrone ↑ 68'
-
6
Borja Valero ↑ 77'
- 92
- 18
-
21
Pol Mikel Lirola ↑ 60'
- 8
-
11
Christian Kouame ↑ 77'
- 1
- 2
- 98
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 4 |
| Erick Pulgar | 3 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 3 |
| Dusan Vlahovic | 3 |
| Franck Ribery | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Franck Kessie | 2 |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.58
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78
ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.36
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
88%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
31%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 0
8.7%
1 – 1
7.7%
3 – 1
7.5%
4 – 0
6.2%
4 – 1
4.9%
0 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
3.4%
5 – 0
3.2%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | ACF Fiorentina covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -2 | 32% | 21% | 46% |
| -1.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| -1 | 54% | 21% | 25% |
| -0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +0.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.