AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- ACF Fiorentina 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Rosario Abisso
- Referee Alessio Tolfo
- Referee Alessandro Lo Cicero
- Referee Francesco Fourneau
7 games this season
🟨 1.4/game
⚽ 7.1 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | ACF Fiorentina | H | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Lille OSC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Nov | SSC Napoli | A | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Nov | Hellas Verona FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Nov | Lille OSC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Nov | Udinese Calcio | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | AC Milan | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Nov | Benevento Calcio | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Nov | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Nov | AS Roma | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | Udinese Calcio | H | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | Spezia Calcio | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | ACF Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #15 |
| 70 | Points | 42 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 9 / 15 / 14 |
| 53 | Scored | 41 |
| 35 | Conceded | 50 |
| +18 | GD | -9 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 53% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! AC Milan welcome ACF Fiorentina for this crunch clash at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
- 5' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. ACF Fiorentina is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' Franck Ribery has been relatively quiet despite scoring 13 goals in his last 540 appearances.
- 17' What composure from Alessio Romagnoli! The Italy international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 22' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AC Milan and ACF Fiorentina are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 25' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for German Pezzella.
- 27' Franck Kessie makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and AC Milan are in front.
- 28' GOAL! Franck Kessie scores on 28.
- 33' AC Milan have won 600 goals from 515 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 38' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 43' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 45' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Ante Rebic on 45 minutes.
- 46' Time for substitution for ACF Fiorentina. Jose Callejon is replaced by Giacomo Bonaventura.
- 51' Gaetano Castrovilli has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 52' The referee calls foul for Gaetano Castrovilli. He receives a Yellow card.
- 57' Over 57 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 60' The whistle greets Martin Caceres as he departs to be replaced by Pol Mikel Lirola.
- 65' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 68' The whistle greets Franck Ribery as he departs to be replaced by Patrick Cutrone.
- 71' AC Milan player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 74' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Brahim Diaz is replaced by Rade Krunic on 74 minute.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Rade Krunic. He replaces Brahim Diaz on 75 minute.
- 77' Borja Valero gets the nod from ACF Fiorentina. He replaces Gaetano Castrovilli and will look to change the dynamic.
- 82' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Sandro Tonali is withdrawn and Jens Hauge gets his opportunity.
- 86' The referee shows ACF Fiorentina player a Yellow card on 86.
- 90' The referee shows ACF Fiorentina player a Yellow card on 90.
- 90' Another change for AC Milan made on 90 minute. Alexis Saelemaekers leaves to be changed by Diogo Dalot.
- AC Milan celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Rade Krunic 74'
- 12
- 19
- 24
- 99
- 2
- 13
- 79
- 10
-
8
Sandro Tonali ↓ Jens Hauge 82'
- 56
Bench
- 43
-
5
Diogo Dalot ↑ 90'
- 1
- 90
- 14
-
33
Rade Krunic ↑ 74'
- 46
- 20
- 27
- 29
-
15
Jens Hauge ↑ 82'
Coach
Stefano Pioli
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 34
-
7
Franck Ribery ↓ Patrick Cutrone 68'
- 77
- 78
- 69
- 20
- 4
- 3
- 9
- 22
Bench
- 27
-
5
Giacomo Bonaventura ↑ 46'
-
63
Patrick Cutrone ↑ 68'
-
6
Borja Valero ↑ 77'
- 92
- 18
-
21
Pol Mikel Lirola ↑ 60'
- 8
-
11
Christian Kouame ↑ 77'
- 1
- 2
- 98
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 4 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 3 |
| Dusan Vlahovic | 3 |
| Erick Pulgar | 3 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Franck Kessie | 2 |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | 2 |
| Alfred Duncan | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86
ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
80%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
47%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.9%
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 0
11.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | ACF Fiorentina covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 24% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

