Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2019-20
Sun 29 Sep 2019 · 18:45 UTC HT 45+1' · FT 45+6'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Fabio Maresca
  • Referee Fabiano Preti
  • Referee Eugenio Abbattista
  • Referee Piero Giacomelli
  • Referee Salvatore Longo
6 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep ACF Fiorentina H 1–3 L
26 Sep Torino FC A 1–2 L
21 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
15 Sep Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug Brescia Calcio H 1–0 W
25 Aug Udinese Calcio A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep AC Milan A 3–1 W
25 Sep UC Sampdoria H 2–1 W
22 Sep Atalanta BC A 2–2 D
14 Sep Juventus FC H 0–0 D
01 Sep Genoa CFC A 1–2 L
24 Aug SSC Napoli H 3–4 L

Season Stats

AC Milan ACF Fiorentina
#5 Position #15
70 Points 42
38 Played 38
20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
53 Scored 41
35 Conceded 50
+18 GD -9
1.84 PPG 1.11
53% Win % 24%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' AC Milan have kicked off against ACF Fiorentina. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' The travelling ACF Fiorentina supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 12' Ismael Bennacer catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 12.
  • 14' Erick Pulgar has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 14 minutes.
  • 19' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 24' It’s high time Marco Giampaolo made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 29' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 34' It looks like no one’s ball. ACF Fiorentina is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 35' Nikola Milenkovic is having his name booked by the referee on 35.
  • 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 46' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Franck Kessie is replaced by Rade Krunic on 46 minute.
  • 49' A meaty challenge results in booking for German Pezzella on 49.
  • 54' The 35-year-old German Pezzella has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 55' The referee has no hesitation. Mateo Musacchio is booked for AC Milan — Red card on 55.
  • 58' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Krzysztof Piatek by Leo Duarte on 58 minute.
  • 63' ACF Fiorentina fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 66' A goal from the Italy international Gaetano Castrovilli! He fires home on 66 to make it 0-2!
  • 71' Kevin-Prince Boateng, a Ghana , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 76' Spain international Suso has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 78' The France Franck Ribery breaks the deadlock on 78 minutes. 0-3!
  • 79' Fresh legs for ACF Fiorentina! Marco Benassi comes on to replace Gaetano Castrovilli.
  • 80' What a moment for Rafael Leao! That strike on 80 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 84' The whistle greets Federico Chiesa as he departs to be replaced by Kevin-Prince Boateng.
  • 86' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Pol Mikel Lirola.
  • 87' Marco Benassi was booked on 87.
  • 89' A tactical swap from ACF FiorentinaRachid Ghezzal on, Franck Ribery off on 89 minutes.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from ACF Fiorentina to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.31 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan35% Draw29% ACF Fiorentina36%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
65%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
65%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan27% Draw48% ACF Fiorentina25%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 0
9%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.