Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2019-20
Sun 29 Sep 2019 · 18:45 UTC HT 45+1' · FT 45+6'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Fabio Maresca
  • Referee Fabiano Preti
  • Referee Eugenio Abbattista
  • Referee Piero Giacomelli
  • Referee Salvatore Longo

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep ACF Fiorentina H 1–3 L
26 Sep Torino FC A 1–2 L
21 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
15 Sep Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug Brescia Calcio H 1–0 W
25 Aug Udinese Calcio A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep AC Milan A 3–1 W
25 Sep UC Sampdoria H 2–1 W
22 Sep Atalanta BC A 2–2 D
14 Sep Juventus FC H 0–0 D
01 Sep Genoa CFC A 1–2 L
24 Aug SSC Napoli H 3–4 L

Season Stats

AC Milan ACF Fiorentina
#8 Position #18
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 8th (0 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 18th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at as AC Milan face off against ACF Fiorentina in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 12' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Ismael Bennacer.
  • 14' Erick Pulgar doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 19' ACF Fiorentina are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 24' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 29' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 34' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AC Milan and ACF Fiorentina are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 35' ACF Fiorentina player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 40' ACF Fiorentina fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 45' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 46' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Franck Kessie exits the field as Rade Krunic enters on 46.
  • 49' That is a Yellow card for ACF Fiorentina. German Pezzella will be fuming at that decision.
  • 54' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 55' Mateo Musacchio has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Red card on 55.
  • 58' Leo Duarte has so much to prove this time. He replaces Krzysztof Piatek on 58 minute.
  • 63' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 66' Against the run of play, Gaetano Castrovilli has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 71' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and ACF Fiorentina are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 76' Marco Benassi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AC Milan so far.
  • 78' Franck Ribery has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 78 minutes.
  • 79' It is a substitution in ACF Fiorentina team. Gaetano Castrovilli is replaced by Marco Benassi on 79 minute.
  • 80' Against the run of play, Rafael Leao has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 84' Fresh legs for ACF Fiorentina! Kevin-Prince Boateng comes on to replace Federico Chiesa.
  • 86' Pol Mikel Lirola picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 87' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Marco Benassi.
  • 89' It is a substitution in ACF Fiorentina team. Franck Ribery is replaced by Rachid Ghezzal on 89 minute.
  • 1-3 the final result. AC Milan will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.44 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 85% + ACF Fiorentina or Draw 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan21% Draw38% ACF Fiorentina41%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes23% 0% No77%
Avg goals/match: 1.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 70%
30%
± 1.5 38%
62%
± 2.5 15%
85%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
59%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
79%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
62%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan10% Draw66% ACF Fiorentina24%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
29.8%
0 – 1
22%
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 0
10.2%
0 – 2
9.4%
1 – 2
4.7%
0 – 3
2.7%
2 – 1
2.3%
2 – 0
2.3%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
1.2%
0 – 4
0.6%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 3% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 13% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 27% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 11% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
43%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
65%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.