Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs Liverpool FC, Champions League 2021-22 GROUP STAGE

1 – 2
Full Time
Tue 7 Dec 2021 · 20:00 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Liverpool FC — Champions League at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Pol van Boekel
  • Referee Dennis Higler
  • Referee Hessel Steegstra
  • Referee Jan de Vries
  • Referee Danny Makkelie
  • Referee Rob Dieperink
4 games this season 🟨 1.8/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game

Head-to-Head

3
AC Milan 3 games · Avg 4.0 goals Liverpool FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Liverpool FC H 1–2 L
04 Dec US Salernitana 1919 H 2–0 W
01 Dec Genoa CFC A 3–0 W
28 Nov US Sassuolo Calcio H 1–3 L
24 Nov Club Atlético de Madrid A 1–0 W
20 Nov ACF Fiorentina A 3–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec AC Milan A 2–1 W
04 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 1–0 W
01 Dec Everton FC A 4–1 W
27 Nov Southampton FC H 4–0 W
24 Nov FC Porto H 2–0 W
20 Nov Arsenal FC H 4–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Liverpool FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Liverpool FC gets underway.
  • 5' Sandro Tonali has been relatively quiet despite scoring 17 goals in his last 114 appearances.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Fabinho suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' Naby Keita is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AC Milan so far.
  • 25' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Fikayo Tomori has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 29' What composure from Fikayo Tomori! The England international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 34' Liverpool FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 36' What a strike from Mohamed Salah! The score is 1-1.
  • 41' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 46' Takumi Minamino, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Franck Kessie, as he is very good at scoring at San Siro with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 55' A stunning finish from Divock Origi — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 59' AC Milan make a change. Brahim Diaz trudges off to be replaced by Ismael Bennacer on 59 minutes.
  • 64' Time for substitution for Liverpool FC. Mohamed Salah is replaced by Naby Keita.
  • 69' It looks like no one’s ball. Liverpool FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 74' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Liverpool FC that had 412 games and scored 811 goals.
  • 79' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 80' The whistle greets Divock Origi as he departs to be replaced by Fabinho.
  • 83' Tiemoue Bakayoko is replacing Rade Krunic for the AC Milan side.
  • 88' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 90' Conor Bradley gets the nod from Liverpool FC. He replaces Neco Williams and will look to change the dynamic.
  • AC Milan will have plenty to reflect on. Liverpool FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.27 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Liverpool FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan29% Draw27% Liverpool FC44%
Actual: Liverpool FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
56%
Draw or Liverpool FC
71%
AC Milan or Liverpool FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan22% Draw45% Liverpool FC33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
7.3%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 16% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 21% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.