Empoli FC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Fabio Maresca
- Referee Marco Guida
- Referee Antonio Di Martino
- Referee Gianluca Aureliano
- Referee Vittorio Di Gioia
- Referee Luigi Rossi
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 2 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 3 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
| 4 | FC Internazionale Milano | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SSC Napoli | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Como 1907 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Juventus FC | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Atalanta BC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Bologna FC 1909 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | SS Lazio | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Torino FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Cagliari Calcio | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | ACF Fiorentina | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | US Lecce | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | AC Monza | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Venezia FC | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Frosinone Calcio | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct | AC Milan | H | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Sep | Bologna FC 1909 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | AS Roma | H | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Sep | US Salernitana 1919 | A | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Aug | Hellas Verona FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | US Lecce | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct | Empoli FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Sep | SSC Napoli | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | H | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Sep | UC Sampdoria | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Sep | FC Red Bull Salzburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Sep | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 3–2 | W |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Stadio Carlo Castellani will turn into a battlefield for Empoli FC and AC Milan.
- 5' Olivier Giroud, a France , has 2 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Guglielmo Vicario, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Carlo Castellani with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 20' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 24' AC Milan player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 26' Empoli FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 31' Fikayo Tomori has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 33' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Alexis Saelemaekers exits the field as Rade Krunic enters on 33.
- 38' Sergino Dest has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 39' AC Milan make a change. Davide Calabria trudges off to be replaced by Pierre Kalulu on 39 minutes.
- 44' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 45' Razvan Marin is replacing Alberto Grassi for the Empoli FC side.
- 50' Martin Satriano is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Empoli FC so far.
- 55' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 56' Koni De Winter picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 58' Filippo Bandinelli has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marko Pjaca on 58 minute.
- 61' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Sebastiano Luperto on 61 minutes.
- 66' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 71' Italy international Mattia Destro has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 72' Sergino Dest gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Simon Kjaer and will look to change the dynamic.
- 73' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Ante Rebic comes on to replace Olivier Giroud.
- 78' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 79' Ante Rebic doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 80' Paolo Zanetti has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 80.
- 82' A tactical swap from Empoli FC — Mattia Destro on, Martin Satriano off on 82 minutes.
- 83' The supporters are chanting for Mattia Destro. He replaces Martin Satriano on 83 minute.
- 88' Both keepers have barely been tested. Empoli FC and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 90' Ismael Bennacer catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
- It finishes all square. Empoli FC and AC Milan share the spoils 1-3.
Lineups
Empoli FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 13
- 7
-
8
Liam Henderson ↓ Nedim Bajrami 58'
- 33
- 14
-
5
Alberto Grassi ↓ Razvan Marin 45'
-
32
Nicolas Haas ↓ Nicolo Cambiaghi 82'
- 30
- 65
-
9
Martin Satriano ↓ Mattia Destro 82'
- 6
Bench
- 1
-
23
Mattia Destro ↑ 82'
-
25
Filippo Bandinelli ↑ 58'
- 3
- 24
-
18
Razvan Marin ↑ 45'
-
28
Nicolo Cambiaghi ↑ 82'
- 4
-
10
Nedim Bajrami ↑ 58'
- 22
- 35
- 17
- 21
- 20
- 36
Coach
Paolo Zanetti
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Olivier Giroud ↓ Ante Rebic 73'
- 23
- 5
- 17
- 1
-
24
Simon Kjaer ↓ Sergino Dest 72'
-
2
Davide Calabria ↓ Pierre Kalulu 39'
- 8
- 4
- 56
- 90
Bench
-
10
Brahim Diaz ↑ 73'
- 7
-
12
Ante Rebic ↑ 73'
- 83
- 14
-
33
Rade Krunic ↑ 33'
- 40
-
21
Sergino Dest ↑ 72'
- 46
-
20
Pierre Kalulu ↑ 39'
- 28
- 32
- 96
- 22
Coach
Stefano Pioli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Franck Kessie | 3 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Nedim Bajrami | 2 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 2 |
| Santiago Gimenez | 1 |
| Leonardo Capezzi | 1 |
| Pierre Kalulu | 1 |
Head to Head
Empoli FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.13
Empoli FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Empoli FC or Draw
52%
Draw or AC Milan
75%
Empoli FC or AC Milan
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
9.2%
0 – 2
8.4%
0 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
5.7%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Empoli FC
| Handicap | Empoli FC covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 22% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

