Thursday , 2 July 2026

Empoli FC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
1 3
Full Time
Sat 1 Oct 2022 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Carlo Castellani HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Empoli FC vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Carlo Castellani.

Match Details

  • Referee Fabio Maresca
  • Referee Marco Guida
  • Referee Antonio Di Martino
  • Referee Gianluca Aureliano
  • Referee Vittorio Di Gioia
  • Referee Luigi Rossi
6 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct AC Milan H 1–3 L
17 Sep Bologna FC 1909 A 1–0 W
12 Sep AS Roma H 1–2 L
05 Sep US Salernitana 1919 A 2–2 D
31 Aug Hellas Verona FC H 1–1 D
28 Aug US Lecce A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Empoli FC A 3–1 W
18 Sep SSC Napoli H 1–2 L
14 Sep GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 3–1 W
10 Sep UC Sampdoria A 2–1 W
06 Sep FC Red Bull Salzburg A 1–1 D
03 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 3–2 W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Empoli FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 20' Sandro Tonali has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 24' Simon Kjaer is having his name booked by the referee on 24.
  • 26' A moment of madness from Nicolas Haas on 26 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Empoli FC will be frustrated.
  • 31' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alexis Saelemaekers, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Carlo Castellani with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 33' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Alexis Saelemaekers by Rade Krunic on 33 minute.
  • 38' Davide Calabria has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 515 appearances.
  • 39' Davide Calabria makes way for Pierre Kalulu at the 39 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
  • 44' Empoli FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's shape.
  • 45' Another change for Empoli FC made on 45 minute. Alberto Grassi leaves to be changed by Razvan Marin.
  • 50' Empoli FC is showing some good football. However, Empoli FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 56' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Koni De Winter.
  • 58' Another substitution for Empoli FC to replace Marko Pjaca by Filippo Bandinelli on 58 minute.
  • 61' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Sebastiano Luperto.
  • 66' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 71' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ante Rebic is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
  • 72' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Simon Kjaer by Sergino Dest on 72 minute.
  • 73' Ante Rebic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Olivier Giroud at the 73 minute mark.
  • 78' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 79' Magnificent from Ante Rebic! That is 48 goals in 168 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 80' Controversy at the stadium! Paolo Zanetti argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 82' The Empoli FC bench stirs into life. Martin Satriano is withdrawn and Mattia Destro gets his opportunity.
  • 83' A tactical swap from Empoli FCMattia Destro on, Martin Satriano off on 83 minutes.
  • 88' A quiet spell here at Stadio Carlo Castellani. AC Milan seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 90' Ismael Bennacer has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AC Milan players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.13 Empoli FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC25% Draw26% AC Milan49%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Empoli FC or Draw
52%
Draw or AC Milan
75%
Empoli FC or AC Milan
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC19% Draw45% AC Milan36%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
9.2%
0 – 2
8.4%
0 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
5.7%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Empoli FC

Handicap Empoli FC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 22% 27%
+1.5 73% 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
19%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.