Sunday , 16 August 2026

Empoli FC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
1 3
Full Time
Sat 1 Oct 2022 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Carlo Castellani HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Empoli FC vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Carlo Castellani.

Match Details

  • Referee Fabio Maresca
  • Referee Marco Guida
  • Referee Antonio Di Martino
  • Referee Gianluca Aureliano
  • Referee Vittorio Di Gioia
  • Referee Luigi Rossi

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct AC Milan H 1–3 L
17 Sep Bologna FC 1909 A 1–0 W
12 Sep AS Roma H 1–2 L
05 Sep US Salernitana 1919 A 2–2 D
31 Aug Hellas Verona FC H 1–1 D
28 Aug US Lecce A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Empoli FC A 3–1 W
18 Sep SSC Napoli H 1–2 L
14 Sep GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 3–1 W
10 Sep UC Sampdoria A 2–1 W
06 Sep FC Red Bull Salzburg A 1–1 D
03 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 3–2 W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Stadio Carlo Castellani will turn into a battlefield for Empoli FC and AC Milan.
  • 5' Olivier Giroud, a France , has 2 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Guglielmo Vicario, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Carlo Castellani with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 24' AC Milan player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 26' Empoli FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 31' Fikayo Tomori has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 33' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Alexis Saelemaekers exits the field as Rade Krunic enters on 33.
  • 38' Sergino Dest has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 39' AC Milan make a change. Davide Calabria trudges off to be replaced by Pierre Kalulu on 39 minutes.
  • 44' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 45' Razvan Marin is replacing Alberto Grassi for the Empoli FC side.
  • 50' Martin Satriano is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Empoli FC so far.
  • 55' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 56' Koni De Winter picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 58' Filippo Bandinelli has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marko Pjaca on 58 minute.
  • 61' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Sebastiano Luperto on 61 minutes.
  • 66' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 71' Italy international Mattia Destro has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 72' Sergino Dest gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Simon Kjaer and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Ante Rebic comes on to replace Olivier Giroud.
  • 78' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 79' Ante Rebic doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 80' Paolo Zanetti has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 80.
  • 82' A tactical swap from Empoli FCMattia Destro on, Martin Satriano off on 82 minutes.
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Mattia Destro. He replaces Martin Satriano on 83 minute.
  • 88' Both keepers have barely been tested. Empoli FC and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 90' Ismael Bennacer catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
  • It finishes all square. Empoli FC and AC Milan share the spoils 1-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.13 Empoli FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC25% Draw26% AC Milan49%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Empoli FC or Draw
52%
Draw or AC Milan
75%
Empoli FC or AC Milan
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC19% Draw45% AC Milan36%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
9.2%
0 – 2
8.4%
0 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
5.7%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Empoli FC

Handicap Empoli FC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 22% 27%
+1.5 73% 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
19%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.