Thursday , 2 July 2026

Empoli FC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
0 3
Full Time
Sun 7 Jan 2024 · 11:30 UTC Stadio Carlo Castellani HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Ruben Loftus-Cheek
0–2 31' Olivier Giroud pen
0–3 88' Chaka Traore

Overview

Match Preview

Empoli FC vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Carlo Castellani.

Match Details

  • Referee Federico La Penna
  • Assistant 1 Stefano Del Giovane
  • Assistant 2 Marco Ceccon (Italy)
6 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 3.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan AC Milan H 0–3 L
30 Dec Cagliari Calcio A 0–0 D
22 Dec SS Lazio H 0–2 L
16 Dec Torino FC A 0–1 L
11 Dec US Lecce H 1–1 D
02 Dec Genoa CFC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan Empoli FC A 3–0 W
30 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio H 1–0 W
22 Dec US Salernitana 1919 A 2–2 D
17 Dec AC Monza H 3–0 W
13 Dec Newcastle United FC A 2–1 W
09 Dec Atalanta BC A 2–3 L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Empoli FC and AC Milan has kicked off!
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 11' GOAL! Ruben Loftus-Cheek scores on 11. Assisted by Rafael Leao
  • 16' Elia Caprile has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 21' Francesco Caputo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 84 goals in his last 380 appearances.
  • 26' Empoli FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AC Milan backline.
  • 28' Fresh legs for Empoli FC! Filippo Ranocchia comes on to replace Tyronne Ebuehi.
  • 31' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Olivier Giroud makes it 0-2.
  • 35' The crowd applauds Alessandro Florenzi as he leaves the pitch. Alex Jimenez steps in for AC Milan.
  • 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
  • 41' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Davide Calabria.
  • 46' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alberto Grassi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 51' It looks like no one’s ball. Empoli FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 54' Alex Jimenez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 54.
  • 57' The Empoli FC manager makes a substitution. Tommaso Baldanzi departs to be replaced by Matteo Cancellieri.
  • 62' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Empoli FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 67' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 70' AC Milan make a change. Davide Calabria trudges off to be replaced by Davide Bartesaghi on 70 minutes.
  • 74' The whistle greets Francesco Caputo as he departs to be replaced by Daniel Maldini.
  • 79' Empoli FC are deployed in a 4-3-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 81' A meaty challenge results in booking for Razvan Marin on 81.
  • 84' Another change for AC Milan made on 84 minute. Rafael Leao leaves to be changed by Chaka Traore.
  • 88' Chaka Traore adds to his 0 season tally! AC Milan lead 0-3 — and this changes everything.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.01 Empoli FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC23% Draw26% AC Milan51%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Empoli FC or Draw
49%
Draw or AC Milan
77%
Empoli FC or AC Milan
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Empoli FC17% Draw46% AC Milan37%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 1
10.5%
0 – 2
9.4%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
8.6%
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 1
5.5%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
4.7%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Empoli FC

Handicap Empoli FC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 23% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
19%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.