Saturday , 14 November 2026

Empoli FC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
0 – 3
Full Time
Sun 7 Jan 2024 · 11:30 UTC Stadio Carlo Castellani HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Ruben Loftus-Cheek
0–2 31' Olivier Giroud pen
0–3 88' Chaka Traore

Overview

Match Preview

Empoli FC vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Carlo Castellani.

Match Details

  • Referee Federico La Penna
  • Assistant 1 Stefano Del Giovane
  • Assistant 2 Marco Ceccon (Italy)
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 14.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan AC Milan H 0–3 L
30 Dec Cagliari Calcio A 0–0 D
22 Dec SS Lazio H 0–2 L
16 Dec Torino FC A 0–1 L
11 Dec US Lecce H 1–1 D
02 Dec Genoa CFC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan Empoli FC A 3–0 W
30 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio H 1–0 W
22 Dec US Salernitana 1919 A 2–2 D
17 Dec AC Monza H 3–0 W
13 Dec Newcastle United FC A 2–1 W
09 Dec Atalanta BC A 2–3 L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot 5 G 4 A
Alphadjo Cisse 5 G
Diego Moreira 4 G 3 A
Christian Pulisic 4 G 1 A
Goncalo Ramos 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Stadio Carlo Castellani. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Theo Hernandez made 364 appearances and scored 38 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Empoli FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 11' Ruben Loftus-Cheek is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 16' Elia Caprile needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 21' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 26' Yunus Musah is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Empoli FC so far.
  • 28' The supporters are chanting for Filippo Ranocchia. He replaces Tyronne Ebuehi on 28 minute.
  • 31' GOAL! Olivier Giroud scores on 31.
  • 35' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Alex Jimenez on, Alessandro Florenzi off on 35 minutes.
  • 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Stefano Pioli will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 41' The referee shows AC Milan player a Yellow card on 41.
  • 46' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Davide Calabria is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Empoli FC.
  • 54' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alex Jimenez on 54.
  • 57' Matteo Cancellieri is replacing Tommaso Baldanzi for the Empoli FC side.
  • 62' Empoli FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 67' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 70' Davide Bartesaghi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Davide Calabria on 70 minute.
  • 74' The whistle greets Francesco Caputo as he departs to be replaced by Daniel Maldini.
  • 79' Sebastian Walukiewicz has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 429 appearances.
  • 81' The referee has no hesitation. Razvan Marin is booked for Empoli FC — Yellow card on 81.
  • 84' AC Milan make a change. Rafael Leao trudges off to be replaced by Chaka Traore on 84 minutes.
  • 88' GOAL! Chaka Traore scores on 88. Assisted by Christian Pulisic
  • Empoli FC will have plenty to reflect on. AC Milan were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.01 Empoli FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC23% Draw26% AC Milan51%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Empoli FC or Draw
49%
Draw or AC Milan
77%
Empoli FC or AC Milan
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Empoli FC17% Draw46% AC Milan37%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 1
10.5%
0 – 2
9.4%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
8.6%
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 1
5.5%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
4.7%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Empoli FC

Handicap Empoli FC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 23% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.