Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Empoli FC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
0 – 3
Full Time
Sun 7 Jan 2024 · 11:30 UTC Stadio Carlo Castellani HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Ruben Loftus-Cheek
0–2 31' Olivier Giroud pen
0–3 88' Chaka Traore

Overview

Match Preview

Empoli FC vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Carlo Castellani.

Match Details

  • Referee Federico La Penna
  • Assistant 1 Stefano Del Giovane
  • Assistant 2 Marco Ceccon (Italy)
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan AC Milan H 0–3 L
30 Dec Cagliari Calcio A 0–0 D
22 Dec SS Lazio H 0–2 L
16 Dec Torino FC A 0–1 L
11 Dec US Lecce H 1–1 D
02 Dec Genoa CFC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan Empoli FC A 3–0 W
30 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio H 1–0 W
22 Dec US Salernitana 1919 A 2–2 D
17 Dec AC Monza H 3–0 W
13 Dec Newcastle United FC A 2–1 W
09 Dec Atalanta BC A 2–3 L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadio Carlo Castellani!
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' It looks surprising Empoli FC does not make any changes. Nicolo Cambiaghi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 11' Ruben Loftus-Cheek makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and AC Milan are in front.
  • 16' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 21' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 26' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 28' Empoli FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Filippo Ranocchia is hanging Tyronne Ebuehi on the field on 28 minute.
  • 31' What composure from Olivier Giroud! The France international strokes it home. 0-2.
  • 35' Alex Jimenez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alessandro Florenzi at the 35 minute mark.
  • 40' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
  • 41' AC Milan player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 46' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 51' Alex Jimenez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 54' The referee shows AC Milan player a Yellow card on 54.
  • 57' Empoli FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matteo Cancellieri is hanging Tommaso Baldanzi on the field on 57 minute.
  • 62' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tommaso Baldanzi made 383 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 67' Matteo Gabbia needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 70' Davide Bartesaghi gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Davide Calabria and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 74' Francesco Caputo makes way for Daniel Maldini at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Empoli FC.
  • 79' It’s high time Aurelio Andreazzoli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 81' Poor challenge from Razvan Marin. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 84' Chaka Traore is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rafael Leao at the 84 minute mark.
  • 88' Chaka Traore makes no mistake. The score reads 0-3 and AC Milan are in front.
  • It finishes all square. Empoli FC and AC Milan share the spoils 0-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.01 Empoli FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC23% Draw26% AC Milan51%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Empoli FC or Draw
49%
Draw or AC Milan
77%
Empoli FC or AC Milan
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Empoli FC17% Draw46% AC Milan37%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 1
10.5%
0 – 2
9.4%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
8.6%
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 1
5.5%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
4.7%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Empoli FC

Handicap Empoli FC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 23% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.