Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 5 Apr 2026 · 13:30 UTC An der Alten Forsterei 22,012 HT 45' · FT 45'
Andrej Ilic 52' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at An der Alten Forsterei.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
  • Assistant 2 Thorben Siewer

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–1 D
21 Mar FC Bayern München A 0–4 L
15 Mar SC Freiburg A 1–0 W
08 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 1–4 L
28 Feb Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–1 L
21 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–1 D
22 Mar SC Freiburg H 1–2 L
13 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–2 L
08 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–0 D
28 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–0 W
22 Feb SV Werder Bremen H 2–1 W

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/3
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
–/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
Tim Skarke 2 G
Leopold Querfeld 1 G 1 A
Emmanuel Latte Lath 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.18 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: 1. FC Union Berlin or FC St. Pauli 1910 70% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin40% Draw30% FC St. Pauli 191030%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
70%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
60%
1. FC Union Berlin or FC St. Pauli 1910
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin26% Draw51% FC St. Pauli 191023%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.4%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
10%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.