Western United FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Western United FC

4 – 1

Full Time

Wellington Phoenix FC

Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 07:00 UTC Wyndham Regional Football Facility HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 10' Corban Piper

Y 13' Alex Rufer

Dylan Leonard 21' Y

Angus Thurgate 35' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Western United FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at Wyndham Regional Football Facility.

Western United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Shane Skinner
Referee

7 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 6.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Western United FC 13 games · Avg 3.1 goals Wellington Phoenix FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-08 Western United FC 4–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2024-10-20 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Western United FC 2024-02-10 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–0 Western United FC 2023-12-02 Western United FC 0–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2023-02-17 Western United FC 0–3 Wellington Phoenix FC

Recent Form

Western United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	4–1	W
28 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	3–1	W
23 Feb	Adelaide United FC	H	3–0	W
15 Feb	Auckland FC	H	0–2	L
09 Feb	Macarthur FC	A	2–2	D
29 Jan	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	2–2	D

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	Western United FC	A	1–4	L
28 Feb	Melbourne City FC	H	0–1	L
22 Feb	Auckland FC	A	1–6	L
14 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	A	0–1	L
06 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–1	D
25 Jan	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

Ifeanyi Eze	10 G	1 A
Carlo Armiento	5 G	2 A
Corban Piper	4 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Wellington Phoenix FC gets underway.
3' Rhys Bozinovski is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
8' Over 8 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
10' A moment of madness from Corban Piper on 10 minutes earns him a card. Wellington Phoenix FC will be frustrated.
13' It’s gonna be a card for Alex Rufer.
18' The travelling Wellington Phoenix FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
21' Dylan Leonard picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
26' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Wellington Phoenix FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
33' Hiroshi Ibusuki is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
35' Western United FC player sees a card in front of him.
40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. John Aloisi will be considering his options from the bench.
45' Western United FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Wellington Phoenix FC's shape.
50' The energy levels are beginning to show. Giancarlo Italiano might look to freshen things up shortly.
51' The Australia Matthew Grimaldi breaks the deadlock on 51 minutes. 3-0!
56' Wellington Phoenix FC is showing some good football. However, Wellington Phoenix FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
57' Marco Rojas makes way for Luke Brooke-Smith at the 57 minute mark. A tactical switch from Wellington Phoenix FC.
62' Goal! Matthew Grimaldi scores his 10 goal in 150 matches.
63' The supporters are chanting for Jordan Lauton. He replaces Rhys Bozinovski on 63 minute.
67' A tactical swap from Wellington Phoenix FC — Paulo Retre on, Alex Rufer off on 67 minutes.
72' The Western United FC manager makes a substitution. Riku Danzaki departs to be replaced by Luke Vickery.
77' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
78' Western United FC make a change. Matthew Grimaldi trudges off to be replaced by Ramy Najjarine on 78 minutes.
82' Nathan Walker doubles the advantage! 4-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
87' It looks surprising Wellington Phoenix FC does not make any changes. Kosta Barbarouses has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
Wellington Phoenix FC will have plenty to reflect on. Western United FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Western United FC Lineups

Starting XI

33
Matthew Sutton
32
Angus Thurgate
13
Tate Russell
6
Tomoki Imai
9
Hiroshi Ibusuki ↓ Michael Ruhs 72'
77
Riku Danzaki ↓ Luke Vickery 72'
23
Rhys Bozinovski ↓ Jordan Lauton 63'
19
Noah Botic ↓ Jake Najdovski 78'
10
Matthew Grimaldi ↓ Ramy Najjarine 78'
29
Charbel Shamoon
30
Dylan Leonard

Bench

7
Ramy Najjarine ↑ 78'
4
James Donachie
24
Michael Ruhs ↑ 72'
44
Jordan Lauton ↑ 63'
14
Jake Najdovski ↑ 78'
70
Michael Vonja
37
Luke Vickery ↑ 72'

Coach John Aloisi

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Giancarlo Italiano

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bozhidar Kraev	3
Oskar Zawada	3
Jaushua Sotirio	3
Matthew Grimaldi	2
Besart Berisha	2
Ben Waine	2
David Ball	2
Ulises Davila	2

Head to Head

Western United FC Form

2025-03-08 Western United FC 4–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2025-02-28 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–3 Western United FC W 2025-02-23 Western United FC 3–0 Adelaide United FC W 2025-02-15 Western United FC 0–2 Auckland FC L 2025-02-09 Macarthur FC 2–2 Western United FC D 2025-01-29 Western United FC 2–2 Central Coast Mariners FC D

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2025-03-08 Western United FC 4–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2025-02-28 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–1 Melbourne City FC L 2025-02-22 Auckland FC 6–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2025-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–0 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2025-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2025-01-25 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–0 Central Coast Mariners FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.86 Western United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.15 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Western United FC54% Draw24% Wellington Phoenix FC22%

Actual: Western United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 3.01

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Western United FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC

46%

Western United FC or Wellington Phoenix FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Western United FC38% Draw43% Wellington Phoenix FC19%

Actual: Western United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted

4 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

11.4%

2 – 1

9.4%

1 – 0

8.5%

2 – 0

8.5%

0 – 0

6.6%

3 – 1

5.9%

1 – 2

5.8%

2 – 2

5.4%

3 – 0

5.1%

0 – 1

4.9%

3 – 2

3.4%

0 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Western United FC

Handicap	Western United FC covers	Push	Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	16%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	22%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	13%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Western United FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.