Western United FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Western United FC

4 – 1

Full Time

Wellington Phoenix FC

Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 07:00 UTC Wyndham Regional Football Facility HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 10' Corban Piper

Y 13' Alex Rufer

Dylan Leonard 21' Y

Angus Thurgate 35' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Western United FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at Wyndham Regional Football Facility.

Western United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Shane Skinner
Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Western United FC 13 games · Avg 3.1 goals Wellington Phoenix FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-08 Western United FC 4–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2024-10-20 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Western United FC 2024-02-10 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–0 Western United FC 2023-12-02 Western United FC 0–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2023-02-17 Western United FC 0–3 Wellington Phoenix FC

Recent Form

Western United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	4–1	W
28 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	3–1	W
23 Feb	Adelaide United FC	H	3–0	W
15 Feb	Auckland FC	H	0–2	L
09 Feb	Macarthur FC	A	2–2	D
29 Jan	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	2–2	D

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	Western United FC	A	1–4	L
28 Feb	Melbourne City FC	H	0–1	L
22 Feb	Auckland FC	A	1–6	L
14 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	A	0–1	L
06 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–1	D
25 Jan	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Western United FC to score. At the same time, Wellington Phoenix FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
3' Assisted by Angus Thurgate with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rhys Bozinovski makes no mistake. 1-0!
8' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
10' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Corban Piper.
13' Alex Rufer has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 13.
18' It looks like no one’s ball. Wellington Phoenix FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
21' Dylan Leonard has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 21.
26' The travelling Wellington Phoenix FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
31' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
33' What a moment for Hiroshi Ibusuki! That strike on 33 puts his side firmly in control.
35' The referee has no hesitation. Angus Thurgate is booked for Western United FC — card on 35.
40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Giancarlo Italiano will be considering his options from the bench.
45' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kosta Barbarouses is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Wellington Phoenix FC.
50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
51' Brilliant from the ! Matthew Grimaldi makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 51.
56' The energy levels are beginning to show. Giancarlo Italiano might look to freshen things up shortly.
57' Time for substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC. Marco Rojas is replaced by Luke Brooke-Smith.
62' Brilliant from the ! Matthew Grimaldi makes it 4-0 with a superb finish on 62.
63' Rhys Bozinovski makes way for Jordan Lauton at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from Western United FC.
67' It is a substitution in Wellington Phoenix FC team. Alex Rufer is replaced by Paulo Retre on 67 minute.
72' The Western United FC bench stirs into life. Riku Danzaki is withdrawn and Luke Vickery gets his opportunity.
77' Western United FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Wellington Phoenix FC's shape.
78' Another substitution for Western United FC to replace Matthew Grimaldi by Ramy Najjarine on 78 minute.
82' Nathan Walker adds to his 0 season tally! Wellington Phoenix FC lead 4-1 — and this changes everything.
87' Both keepers have barely been tested. Western United FC and Wellington Phoenix FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
The final score is 4-1.

Lineups

Western United FC Lineups

Starting XI

33
Matthew Sutton
32
Angus Thurgate
13
Tate Russell
6
Tomoki Imai
9
Hiroshi Ibusuki ↓ Michael Ruhs 72'
77
Riku Danzaki ↓ Luke Vickery 72'
23
Rhys Bozinovski ↓ Jordan Lauton 63'
19
Noah Botic ↓ Jake Najdovski 78'
10
Matthew Grimaldi ↓ Ramy Najjarine 78'
29
Charbel Shamoon
30
Dylan Leonard

Bench

7
Ramy Najjarine ↑ 78'
4
James Donachie
24
Michael Ruhs ↑ 72'
44
Jordan Lauton ↑ 63'
14
Jake Najdovski ↑ 78'
70
Michael Vonja
37
Luke Vickery ↑ 72'

Coach John Aloisi

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Giancarlo Italiano

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bozhidar Kraev	3
Oskar Zawada	3
Jaushua Sotirio	3
Ulises Davila	2
Alessandro Diamanti	2
Matthew Grimaldi	2
Besart Berisha	2
Ben Waine	2

Head to Head

Western United FC Form

2025-03-08 Western United FC 4–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2025-02-28 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–3 Western United FC W 2025-02-23 Western United FC 3–0 Adelaide United FC W 2025-02-15 Western United FC 0–2 Auckland FC L 2025-02-09 Macarthur FC 2–2 Western United FC D 2025-01-29 Western United FC 2–2 Central Coast Mariners FC D

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2025-03-08 Western United FC 4–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2025-02-28 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–1 Melbourne City FC L 2025-02-22 Auckland FC 6–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2025-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–0 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2025-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2025-01-25 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–0 Central Coast Mariners FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.86 Western United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.15 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Western United FC54% Draw24% Wellington Phoenix FC22%

Actual: Western United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 3.01

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Western United FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC

46%

Western United FC or Wellington Phoenix FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Western United FC38% Draw43% Wellington Phoenix FC19%

Actual: Western United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted

4 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

11.4%

2 – 1

9.4%

1 – 0

8.5%

2 – 0

8.5%

0 – 0

6.6%

3 – 1

5.9%

1 – 2

5.8%

2 – 2

5.4%

3 – 0

5.1%

0 – 1

4.9%

3 – 2

3.4%

0 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Western United FC

Handicap	Western United FC covers	Push	Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	16%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	22%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	13%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Western United FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.