Thursday , 1 October 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Western United FC, A League 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2020-21
Sat 27 Feb 2021 · 08:10 UTC Marvel Stadium HT 45+4' · FT 45+7'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Western United FC — A League at Marvel Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Abraham
  • Referee Owen Goldrick
  • Referee Greg Taylor
  • Referee Alex King
  • Referee Jonathon Barreiro

Recent Form

Key Stats

85% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
77% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.64 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75 Western United FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Western United FC 75% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC33% Draw25% Western United FC42%
Actual: Western United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Western United FC
67%
Melbourne Victory FC or Western United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC28% Draw42% Western United FC30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.5%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
5.2%
0 – 2
5.2%
1 – 0
4.9%
0 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 3
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Western United FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 17% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 18% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Western United FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.