Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Western United FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2022-23
Sun 13 Nov 2022 · 02:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Nov Wellington Phoenix FC A 3–2 W
06 Nov Adelaide United FC H 2–4 L
29 Oct Central Coast Mariners FC A 2–4 L
21 Oct Macarthur FC H 1–1 D
16 Oct Sydney FC H 1–3 L
07 Oct Melbourne City FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.98 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 Western United FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC48% Draw24% Western United FC28%
Actual: Western United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Western United FC
52%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Western United FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC36% Draw41% Western United FC23%
Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
5.8%
1 – 0
5.7%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 1
4%
0 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Western United FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 20% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Western United FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.