Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Newcastle United Jets FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2022-23
Fri 4 Nov 2022 · 08:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Newcastle United Jets FC
#4 Position #1
40 Points 48
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 15 / 3 / 8
44 Scored 55
33 Conceded 39
+11 GD +16
1.54 PPG 1.85
42% Win % 58%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Newcastle United Jets FC are 1st (48 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Melbourne Victory FC and Newcastle United Jets FC get this one started.
  • 5' Newcastle United Jets FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 7' Controversy at the stadium! Nicholas D'Agostino argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 12' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 16' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jake Brimmer makes it 1-0.
  • 18' A meaty challenge results in booking for Angus Thurgate on 18.
  • 23' A meaty challenge results in booking for Brandon O'Neill on 23.
  • 28' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Carl Jenkinson made 417 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Melbourne Victory FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 38' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 43' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Jason Hoffman. He replaces James McGarry on 46 minute.
  • 47' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Chris Ikonomidis makes it 2-0.
  • 50' Chris Ikonomidis makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and Melbourne Victory FC are in front.
  • 54' Nicholas D'Agostino makes no mistake. The score reads 4-0 and Melbourne Victory FC are in front.
  • 59' Leigh Broxham, a Australia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 62' The referee calls foul for Jaushua Sotirio. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 66' Time for substitution for Newcastle United Jets FC. Jaushua Sotirio is replaced by Trent Buhagiar.
  • 67' Fresh legs for Newcastle United Jets FC! Trent Buhagiar comes on to replace Jaushua Sotirio.
  • 70' The crowd applauds Nani as he leaves the pitch. Ben Folami steps in for Melbourne Victory FC.
  • 75' Noah Smith is ready to make an impact after coming on for Cadete at the 75 minute mark.
  • 80' Newcastle United Jets FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 80.
  • 82' Mohamed Al-Taay has so much to prove this time. He replaces Reno Piscopo on 82 minute.
  • 85' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Stefan Nigro departs to be replaced by Jason Geria.
  • 88' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Mark Natta.
  • 89' Magnificent from Bruno Fornaroli! That is 63 goals in 208 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Melbourne Victory FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Newcastle United Jets FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC56% Draw23% Newcastle United Jets FC21%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Newcastle United Jets FC
44%
Melbourne Victory FC or Newcastle United Jets FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC41% Draw41% Newcastle United Jets FC18%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Newcastle United Jets FC covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 17% 66%
-1.5 34% — 66%
-1 34% 21% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✗
Newcastle United Jets FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.