Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2022-23
Sat 29 Oct 2022 · 04:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Melbourne Victory FC H 0–0 D
22 Oct Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 1–1 D
14 Oct Melbourne City FC H 0–2 L
08 Oct Macarthur FC H 0–0 D
10 May Sydney FC H 3–1 W
03 May Central Coast Mariners FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Brisbane Roar FC A 0–0 D
22 Oct Melbourne City FC H 0–2 L
15 Oct Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 0–1 L
08 Oct Sydney FC A 3–2 W
07 May Sydney FC A 4–1 W
29 Apr Wellington Phoenix FC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Brisbane Roar FC Melbourne Victory FC
#11 Position #4
26 Points 40
26 Played 26
6 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
27 Scored 44
36 Conceded 33
-9 GD +11
1.00 PPG 1.54
23% Win % 42%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.98 Brisbane Roar FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Brisbane Roar FC or Melbourne Victory FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Brisbane Roar FC29% Draw29% Melbourne Victory FC42%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Brisbane Roar FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
71%
Brisbane Roar FC or Melbourne Victory FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Brisbane Roar FC18% Draw49% Melbourne Victory FC33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 1
11.6%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
9%
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Brisbane Roar FC

Handicap Brisbane Roar FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 15% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 23% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✗
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.