Wales vs Spain, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Wales Lineups
Spain Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Wales Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
1.24
Wales xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75
Spain xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Wales win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.99
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Wales or Draw
79%
Draw or Spain
51%
Wales or Spain
70%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.1%
1 – 0
15.7%
1 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 1
3.3%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 2
1.3%
Asian Handicap — Wales
| Handicap | Wales covers | Push | Spain covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 25% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 14% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Wales keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
Spain keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.