Ukraine vs Wales, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar | Wales | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | Penistone Church FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Mar | Blyth Town FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Mar | RSC Anderlecht | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Feb | SD Huesca | A | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Feb | Iceland | H | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Ukraine Lineups
Wales Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Ukraine Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.41
Ukraine xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
Wales xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Ukraine win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Ukraine or Draw
74%
Draw or Wales
53%
Ukraine or Wales
73%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Ukraine
| Handicap | Ukraine covers | Push | Wales covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 22% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Ukraine keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
Wales keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.