Russia vs Italy, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar | Italy | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Mar | Republic of Ireland | H | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Mar | Valencia CF | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Feb | Portugal | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Feb | RSC Anderlecht | H | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Feb | Slovakia | A | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Russia Lineups
Italy Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Russia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
0.79
Russia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Italy or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 69%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.94
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 2.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 3.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Russia or Draw
61%
Draw or Italy
72%
Russia or Italy
68%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
15.3%
1 – 1
14%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 2
9.1%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
5%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
3.5%
2 – 2
3%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
1.3%
Asian Handicap — Russia
| Handicap | Russia covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 16% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Russia keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Italy keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.