VfL Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

VfL Wolfsburg

5 – 0

Full Time

Hamburger SV

Sat 14 Oct 2017 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga .

VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts
Hamburger SV 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

VfL Wolfsburg 1.08

Draw 13.00

Hamburger SV 21.00

Head-to-Head

VfL Wolfsburg 8 games · Avg 3.3 goals Hamburger SV

Last 5 meetings

2017-10-14 VfL Wolfsburg 5–0 Hamburger SV 2017-05-20 VfL Wolfsburg 4–1 Hamburger SV 2017-01-20 Hamburger SV 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg 2015-05-16 Hamburger SV 2–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2014-12-16 VfL Wolfsburg 2–0 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Oct	Hamburger SV	H	5–0	W
01 Oct	SV Sandhausen 1916	A	2–2	D
22 Sep	1. CfR Pforzheim	H	2–2	D
19 Sep	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	3–0	W
16 Sep	SV Linx 1949	H	4–0	W
09 Sep	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	A	0–2	L

Hamburger SV

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Oct	VfL Wolfsburg	A	0–5	L
01 Oct	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	H	3–2	W
23 Sep	Wroxham FC	A	0–0	D
20 Sep	1. FC Nurnberg	H	1–1	D
17 Sep	SV Drochtersen/Assel	A	0–4	L
09 Sep	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' VfL Wolfsburg have kicked off against Hamburger SV. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
Hamburger SV will have plenty to reflect on. VfL Wolfsburg were simply the better side today.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2017-10-14 VfL Wolfsburg 5–0 Hamburger SV W 2017-10-01 SV Sandhausen 1916 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg D 2017-09-22 VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 1. CfR Pforzheim D 2017-09-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 VfL Wolfsburg W 2017-09-16 VfL Wolfsburg 4–0 SV Linx 1949 W 2017-09-09 SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg L

Hamburger SV Form

2017-10-14 VfL Wolfsburg 5–0 Hamburger SV L 2017-10-01 Hamburger SV 3–2 SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen W 2017-09-23 Wroxham FC 0–0 Hamburger SV D 2017-09-20 Hamburger SV 1–1 1. FC Nurnberg D 2017-09-17 SV Drochtersen/Assel 4–0 Hamburger SV L 2017-09-09 Hamburger SV 0–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.32 VfL Wolfsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.79 Hamburger SV xG

I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg to win 68% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

VfL Wolfsburg68% Draw20% Hamburger SV12%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 3.11

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw

87%

Draw or Hamburger SV

32%

VfL Wolfsburg or Hamburger SV

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

VfL Wolfsburg51% Draw39% Hamburger SV10%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted

5 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

11.9%

1 – 0

10%

2 – 1

9.2%

3 – 0

8.9%

1 – 1

8.9%

3 – 1

7.1%

0 – 0

4 – 0

5.2%

4 – 1

4.2%

2 – 2

3.6%

1 – 2

3.1%

0 – 1

2.9%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap	VfL Wolfsburg covers	Push	Hamburger SV covers
-2.5	27%	—	73%
-2	27%	21%	52%
-1.5	48%	—	52%
-1	48%	23%	30%
-0.5	70%	—	30%
+0.5	90%	—	10%
+1	90%	7%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	2%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

46% ✗

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.