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VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2018-19
Sat 20 Oct 2018 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern MunchenBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Schlager
  • Referee Arno Blos
  • Referee Christian Bandurski
  • Referee Guido Winkmann
  • Referee Pascal Muller

Head-to-Head

1
15
VfL Wolfsburg 16 games · Avg 4.1 goals FC Bayern Munchen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct FC Bayern Munchen H 1–3 L
05 Oct SV Werder Bremen A 0–2 L
29 Sep Borussia Monchengladbach H 2–2 D
26 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–0 D
22 Sep SC Freiburg H 1–3 L
15 Sep Hertha BSC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 3–1 W
06 Oct Borussia Monchengladbach H 0–3 L
02 Oct AFC Ajax H 1–1 D
28 Sep Hertha BSC A 0–2 L
25 Sep FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
22 Sep FC Schalke 04 A 2–0 W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and VfL Wolfsburg launch into their encounter with FC Bayern München.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Josip Brekalo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both VfL Wolfsburg and FC Bayern München are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. James Rodriguez made 540 appearances and scored 17 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' Magnificent from Robert Lewandowski! That is 304 goals in 540 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 33' Poor challenge from Thiago Alcantara. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 35' Poor challenge from Maximilian Arnold. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 44' FC Bayern Munchen receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 44.
  • 46' David Alaba makes way for Rafinha at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 48' Against the run of play, Robert Lewandowski has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 53' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 57' Arjen Robben is having his name booked by the referee on 57.
  • 60' The VfL Wolfsburg bench stirs into life. Renato Steffen is withdrawn and Admir Mehmedi gets his opportunity.
  • 63' Wout Weghorst is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the forward.
  • 66' A tactical swap from FC Bayern MunchenLeon Goretzka on, Serge Gnabry off on 66 minutes.
  • 71' Yunus Malli gets the nod from VfL Wolfsburg. He replaces Elvis Rexhbecaj and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 72' James Rodriguez is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 77' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 81' The referee calls foul for Wout Weghorst. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 84' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Renato Sanches comes on to replace James Rodriguez.
  • 88' Manuel Neuer catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 88.
  • FC Bayern München celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84 FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg28% Draw26% FC Bayern Munchen46%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
54%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
72%
VfL Wolfsburg or FC Bayern Munchen
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg21% Draw43% FC Bayern Munchen36%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
7.6%
0 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
4.9%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 21% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
17%
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.