Sunday , 16 August 2026

UC Sampdoria vs AC Milan, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2018-19
1 0
Full Time
Sat 30 Mar 2019 · 19:30 UTC Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

UC Sampdoria vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Orsato
  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Referee Lucas Mondin
  • Referee Antonio Giua
  • Referee Alessandro Lo Cicero
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game 15.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar AC Milan H 1–0 W
16 Mar US Sassuolo Calcio A 5–3 W
10 Mar Atalanta BC H 1–2 L
03 Mar SPAL 2013 A 2–1 W
24 Feb Cagliari Calcio H 1–0 W
17 Feb FC Internazionale Milano A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar UC Sampdoria A 0–1 L
17 Mar FC Internazionale Milano H 2–3 L
09 Mar AC Chievo Verona A 2–1 W
02 Mar US Sassuolo Calcio H 1–0 W
22 Feb Empoli FC H 3–0 W
16 Feb Atalanta BC A 3–1 W

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. UC Sampdoria host AC Milan — let the battle begin!
  • 1' Gregoire Defrel adds to his 0 season tally! UC Sampdoria lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 6' Gaston Ramirez is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
  • 11' UC Sampdoria is showing some good football. However, UC Sampdoria are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Suso on 15 minutes.
  • 20' UC Sampdoria are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's shape.
  • 25' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Samu Castillejo.
  • 30' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 35' AC Milan come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 37' Poor challenge from Ronaldo Vieira. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 42' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Andrea Conti. He replaces Ricardo Rodriguez on 46 minute.
  • 51' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 61' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 64' Another change for AC Milan made on 64 minute. Suso leaves to be changed by Patrick Cutrone.
  • 65' Tiemoue Bakayoko has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 65.
  • 66' A change in the UC Sampdoria ranks — Gaston Ramirez exits the field as Riccardo Saponara enters on 66.
  • 71' The whistle greets Lucas Biglia as he departs to be replaced by Lucas Paqueta.
  • 76' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both UC Sampdoria and AC Milan are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 79' The UC Sampdoria bench stirs into life. Ronaldo Vieira is withdrawn and Jakub Jankto gets his opportunity.
  • 84' UC Sampdoria is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 86' Dennis Praet has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 86.
  • 87' It is a substitution in UC Sampdoria team. Fabio Quagliarella is replaced by Manolo Gabbiadini on 87 minute.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Mateo Musacchio. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 UC Sampdoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: UC Sampdoria or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
UC Sampdoria44% Draw29% AC Milan27%
Actual: UC Sampdoria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

UC Sampdoria or Draw
73%
Draw or AC Milan
56%
UC Sampdoria or AC Milan
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
UC Sampdoria28% Draw51% AC Milan21%
Actual: UC Sampdoria win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — UC Sampdoria

Handicap UC Sampdoria covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 22% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

UC Sampdoria keeps clean sheet
36%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.