Saturday , 14 November 2026

UC Sampdoria vs AC Milan, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2018-19
1 – 0
Full Time
Sat 30 Mar 2019 · 19:30 UTC Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

UC Sampdoria vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Orsato
  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Referee Lucas Mondin
  • Referee Antonio Giua
  • Referee Alessandro Lo Cicero
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 15.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar AC Milan H 1–0 W
16 Mar US Sassuolo Calcio A 5–3 W
10 Mar Atalanta BC H 1–2 L
03 Mar SPAL 2013 A 2–1 W
24 Feb Cagliari Calcio H 1–0 W
17 Feb FC Internazionale Milano A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar UC Sampdoria A 0–1 L
17 Mar FC Internazionale Milano H 2–3 L
09 Mar AC Chievo Verona A 2–1 W
02 Mar US Sassuolo Calcio H 1–0 W
22 Feb Empoli FC H 3–0 W
16 Feb Atalanta BC A 3–1 W

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot 5 G 4 A
Alphadjo Cisse 5 G
Diego Moreira 4 G 3 A
Christian Pulisic 4 G 1 A
Goncalo Ramos 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. UC Sampdoria kicks off things out of here…
  • 1' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Gregoire Defrel makes it 1-0.
  • 6' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 11' A quiet spell here at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris. AC Milan seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' That is a Yellow card for AC Milan. Suso will be fuming at that decision.
  • 20' Karol Linetty has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' The referee has no hesitation. Samu Castillejo is booked for AC Milan — Yellow card on 25.
  • 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 37' Ronaldo Vieira was booked on 37.
  • 42' Over 42 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 46' Andrea Conti is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ricardo Rodriguez at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Krzysztof Piatek made 111 appearances and scored 58 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 56' It is a cagey affair so far. UC Sampdoria in their trying to find a way past AC Milan's compact .
  • 61' AC Milan have won 627 goals from 530 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 64' Patrick Cutrone is replacing Suso for the AC Milan side.
  • 65' The referee shows AC Milan player a Yellow card on 65.
  • 66' UC Sampdoria ring the changes. Gaston Ramirez has done his job and it is now time for Riccardo Saponara to step up.
  • 71' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Lucas Biglia exits the field as Lucas Paqueta enters on 71.
  • 76' UC Sampdoria are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AC Milan backline.
  • 79' A change in the UC Sampdoria ranks — Ronaldo Vieira exits the field as Jakub Jankto enters on 79.
  • 84' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 86' Dennis Praet was booked on 86.
  • 87' UC Sampdoria make a change. Fabio Quagliarella trudges off to be replaced by Manolo Gabbiadini on 87 minutes.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Mateo Musacchio is booked for AC Milan — Yellow card on 90.
  • AC Milan will have plenty to reflect on. UC Sampdoria were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 UC Sampdoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: UC Sampdoria or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
UC Sampdoria44% Draw29% AC Milan27%
Actual: UC Sampdoria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

UC Sampdoria or Draw
73%
Draw or AC Milan
56%
UC Sampdoria or AC Milan
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
UC Sampdoria28% Draw51% AC Milan21%
Actual: UC Sampdoria win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — UC Sampdoria

Handicap UC Sampdoria covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 22% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

UC Sampdoria keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.