AC Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio — Serie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- US Sassuolo Calcio 38 games · 49 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Paolo Valeri
- Referee Michael Fabbri
- Referee Alessio Tolfo
- Referee Enrico Caliari
- Referee Manuel Volpi
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | US Sassuolo Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Empoli FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | Atalanta BC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Feb | Cagliari Calcio | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Feb | AS Roma | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jan | SSC Napoli | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | US Sassuolo Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #11 |
| 70 | Points | 49 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 14 / 7 / 17 |
| 53 | Scored | 46 |
| 35 | Conceded | 50 |
| +18 | GD | -4 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 53% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). US Sassuolo Calcio are 11th (49 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Stadio Giuseppe Meazza will turn into a battlefield for AC Milan and US Sassuolo Calcio.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gennaro Gattuso might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' Merih Demiral is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for US Sassuolo Calcio tonight.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. US Sassuolo Calcio seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' Italy international Gianluca Pegolo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Davide Calabria made 515 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 30' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 35' Pol Mikel Lirola has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 35 minutes.
- 37' The referee has no hesitation. Tiemoue Bakayoko is booked for AC Milan — Yellow card on 37.
- 42' Over 42 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 47' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined US Sassuolo Calcio backline.
- 51' Lucas Paqueta is having his name booked by the referee on 51.
- 56' Lucas Biglia has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tiemoue Bakayoko on 56 minute.
- 61' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 63' The US Sassuolo Calcio bench stirs into life. Manuel Locatelli is withdrawn and Mehdi Bourabia gets his opportunity.
- 64' Andrea Consigli is having his name booked by the referee on 64.
- 68' Gianluca Pegolo is replacing Francesco Magnanelli for the US Sassuolo Calcio side.
- 73' The whistle greets Lucas Paqueta as he departs to be replaced by Samu Castillejo.
- 74' Filip Duricic makes way for Alessandro Matri at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from US Sassuolo Calcio.
- 79' Mehdi Bourabia has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 84' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Krzysztof Piatek by Patrick Cutrone on 84 minute.
- 89' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Federico Peluso suffering a number of foals already.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Ricardo Rodriguez on 90 minutes.
- US Sassuolo Calcio will have plenty to reflect on. AC Milan were simply the better side today.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
39
Lucas Paqueta ↓ Samu Castillejo 73'
- 99
- 2
- 13
- 68
- 22
- 79
- 8
- 10
-
14
Tiemoue Bakayoko ↓ Lucas Biglia 56'
- 19
Bench
- 90
- 20
- 12
- 18
-
21
Lucas Biglia ↑ 56'
-
63
Patrick Cutrone ↑ 84'
- 11
- 93
- 16
- 25
- 23
-
7
Samu Castillejo ↑ 73'
Coach
Gennaro Gattuso
US Sassuolo Calcio Lineups
Starting XI
- 73
- 47
- 13
- 21
- 4
- 12
- 25
- 31
- 9
- 20
- 3
Bench
- 11
- 34
- 19
-
79
Gianluca Pegolo ↑ 68'
- 98
- 6
- 5
-
10
Alessandro Matri ↑ 74'
- 30
- 23
-
68
Mehdi Bourabia ↑ 63'
- 17
Coach
Roberto De Zerbi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Olivier Giroud | 4 |
| Domenico Berardi | 4 |
| Armand Lauriente | 4 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 2 |
| Suso | 2 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | 2 |
| Franck Kessie | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
US Sassuolo Calcio Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.78
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.58
US Sassuolo Calcio xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
88%
Draw or US Sassuolo Calcio
35%
AC Milan or US Sassuolo Calcio
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
14.5%
0 – 0
11.4%
1 – 1
10.4%
3 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 1
4.5%
4 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
2.7%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 1
2.4%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | US Sassuolo Calcio covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 20% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 26% | 35% |
| -0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 8% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
56%
✓
US Sassuolo Calcio keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.