Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs UC Sampdoria, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2018-19
3 2
Full Time
Sun 28 Oct 2018 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs UC SampdoriaSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Fabio Maresca
  • Referee Daniele Orsato
  • Referee Fabrizio Pasqua
  • Referee Stefano Liberti
  • Referee Lucas Mondin
6 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct UC Sampdoria H 3–2 W
25 Oct Real Betis Balompie H 1–2 L
21 Oct FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
07 Oct AC Chievo Verona H 3–1 W
04 Oct PAE Olympiakos SFP H 3–1 W
30 Sep US Sassuolo Calcio A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct AC Milan A 2–3 L
22 Oct US Sassuolo Calcio H 0–0 D
07 Oct Atalanta BC A 1–0 W
01 Oct SPAL 2013 H 2–1 W
26 Sep Cagliari Calcio A 0–0 D
22 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 0–1 L

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. UC Sampdoria get us underway at .
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' Gianluca Caprari has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 17' Patrick Cutrone is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 21' A goal from the Italy international Riccardo Saponara! He fires home on 21 to make it 1-1!
  • 24' Poor challenge from Karol Linetty. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 29' Time for substitution for UC Sampdoria. Nicola Murru is replaced by Jacopo Sala.
  • 31' The deadlock is broken! Fabio Quagliarella gets on the scoresheet on 31 minutes.
  • 36' What a moment for Gonzalo Higuain! That strike on 36 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 41' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 46' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AC Milan and UC Sampdoria are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 56' Diego Laxalt has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 60' Controversy at the stadium! Jacopo Sala argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 61' Dawid Kownacki has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gregoire Defrel on 61 minute.
  • 62' Against the run of play, Suso has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 67' Jacopo Sala needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 72' UC Sampdoria come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 76' Patrick Cutrone makes way for Samu Castillejo at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
  • 78' Ignazio Abate has so much to prove this time. He replaces Davide Calabria on 78 minute.
  • 80' Controversy at the stadium! Ignazio Abate argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 82' Poor challenge from Franck Kessie. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 87' UC Sampdoria started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 87.
  • 90' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Alessio Romagnoli gets a Yellow card.
  • 90' Hakan Calhanoglu is replacing Diego Laxalt for the AC Milan side.
  • 3-2 the final result. UC Sampdoria will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.49 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 UC Sampdoria xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or UC Sampdoria 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan44% Draw27% UC Sampdoria29%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
70%
Draw or UC Sampdoria
56%
AC Milan or UC Sampdoria
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan30% Draw46% UC Sampdoria24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push UC Sampdoria covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
28%
UC Sampdoria keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.