Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs UC Sampdoria, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2018-19
3 – 2
Full Time
Sun 28 Oct 2018 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs UC Sampdoria — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Fabio Maresca
  • Referee Daniele Orsato
  • Referee Fabrizio Pasqua
  • Referee Stefano Liberti
  • Referee Lucas Mondin

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct UC Sampdoria H 3–2 W
25 Oct Real Betis Balompié H 1–2 L
21 Oct FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
07 Oct AC Chievo Verona H 3–1 W
04 Oct PAE Olympiakos SFP H 3–1 W
30 Sep US Sassuolo Calcio A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct AC Milan A 2–3 L
22 Oct US Sassuolo Calcio H 0–0 D
07 Oct Atalanta BC A 1–0 W
01 Oct SPAL 2013 H 2–1 W
26 Sep Cagliari Calcio A 0–0 D
22 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 0–1 L

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. AC Milan kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Gianluigi Donnarumma is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
  • 17' A stunning finish from Patrick Cutrone — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 21' A goal from the Italy international Riccardo Saponara! He fires home on 21 to make it 1-1!
  • 24' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Karol Linetty on 24 minutes.
  • 29' Fresh legs for UC Sampdoria! Jacopo Sala comes on to replace Nicola Murru.
  • 31' What a moment for Fabio Quagliarella! That strike on 31 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 36' Goal! Gonzalo Higuain scores his 59 goal in 517 matches.
  • 41' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 46' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Biglia suffering a number of foals already.
  • 60' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Jacopo Sala.
  • 61' UC Sampdoria ring the changes. Gregoire Defrel has done his job and it is now time for Dawid Kownacki to step up.
  • 62' GOAL! Suso fires home to make it 3-2!
  • 67' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 72' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 76' Samu Castillejo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Patrick Cutrone on 76 minute.
  • 78' Davide Calabria makes way for Ignazio Abate at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
  • 80' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Ignazio Abate gets a Yellow card.
  • 82' Franck Kessie picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 87' Italy international Lorenzo Tonelli has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 90' AC Milan receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • 90' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Diego Laxalt by Hakan Calhanoglu on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 3-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.49 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 UC Sampdoria xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or UC Sampdoria 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan44% Draw27% UC Sampdoria29%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
70%
Draw or UC Sampdoria
56%
AC Milan or UC Sampdoria
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan30% Draw46% UC Sampdoria24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push UC Sampdoria covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
UC Sampdoria keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.