Saturday , 14 November 2026

AC Milan vs UC Sampdoria, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2018-19
3 – 2
Full Time
Sun 28 Oct 2018 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs UC Sampdoria — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Fabio Maresca
  • Referee Daniele Orsato
  • Referee Fabrizio Pasqua
  • Referee Stefano Liberti
  • Referee Lucas Mondin
5 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 10.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct UC Sampdoria H 3–2 W
25 Oct Real Betis Balompié H 1–2 L
21 Oct FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
07 Oct AC Chievo Verona H 3–1 W
04 Oct PAE Olympiakos SFP H 3–1 W
30 Sep US Sassuolo Calcio A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct AC Milan A 2–3 L
22 Oct US Sassuolo Calcio H 0–0 D
07 Oct Atalanta BC A 1–0 W
01 Oct SPAL 2013 H 2–1 W
26 Sep Cagliari Calcio A 0–0 D
22 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 0–1 L

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot 5 G 4 A
Alphadjo Cisse 5 G
Diego Moreira 4 G 3 A
Christian Pulisic 4 G 1 A
Goncalo Ramos 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' ac milan have kicked off against uc sampdoria. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' Jacopo Sala has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 17' GOAL! Patrick Cutrone fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 21' A stunning finish from Riccardo Saponara — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 24' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Karol Linetty.
  • 29' The supporters are chanting for Jacopo Sala. He replaces Nicola Murru on 29 minute.
  • 31' What a strike from Fabio Quagliarella! The score is 0-3.
  • 36' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Gonzalo Higuain makes it 0-4.
  • 41' Italy international Gianluca Caprari has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 46' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 56' It’s high time Gennaro Gattuso made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 60' Controversy at the stadium! Jacopo Sala argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 61' The crowd applauds Gregoire Defrel as he leaves the pitch. Dawid Kownacki steps in for UC Sampdoria.
  • 62' Assisted by Ricardo Rodriguez with the perfectly-timed delivery and Suso makes no mistake. 0-5!
  • 67' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 72' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dennis Praet is clearly more than just a goal scorer for uc sampdoria.
  • 76' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Patrick Cutrone by Samu Castillejo on 76 minute.
  • 78' AC Milan ring the changes. Davide Calabria has done his job and it is now time for Ignazio Abate to step up.
  • 80' AC Milan player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 82' AC Milan receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 82.
  • 87' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 87 minutes.
  • 90' Alessio Romagnoli catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Diego Laxalt as he leaves the pitch. Hakan Calhanoglu steps in for AC Milan.
  • Another three points for ac milan.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.49 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 UC Sampdoria xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or UC Sampdoria 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan44% Draw27% UC Sampdoria29%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
70%
Draw or UC Sampdoria
56%
AC Milan or UC Sampdoria
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan30% Draw46% UC Sampdoria24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push UC Sampdoria covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
UC Sampdoria keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.