Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs UC Sampdoria, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2018-19
3 2
Full Time
Sun 28 Oct 2018 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs UC SampdoriaSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Fabio Maresca
  • Referee Daniele Orsato
  • Referee Fabrizio Pasqua
  • Referee Stefano Liberti
  • Referee Lucas Mondin

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct UC Sampdoria H 3–2 W
25 Oct Real Betis Balompié H 1–2 L
21 Oct FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
07 Oct AC Chievo Verona H 3–1 W
04 Oct PAE Olympiakos SFP H 3–1 W
30 Sep US Sassuolo Calcio A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct AC Milan A 2–3 L
22 Oct US Sassuolo Calcio H 0–0 D
07 Oct Atalanta BC A 1–0 W
01 Oct SPAL 2013 H 2–1 W
26 Sep Cagliari Calcio A 0–0 D
22 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 0–1 L

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alessio Romagnoli made 515 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gennaro Gattuso will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 17' Brilliant from the ! Patrick Cutrone makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 17.
  • 21' Riccardo Saponara is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 24' Karol Linetty has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 24.
  • 29' UC Sampdoria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jacopo Sala is hanging Nicola Murru on the field on 29 minute.
  • 31' What a moment for Fabio Quagliarella! That strike on 31 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 36' The deadlock is broken! Gonzalo Higuain gets on the scoresheet on 36 minutes.
  • 41' The 29-year-old Dawid Kownacki has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 46' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lorenzo Tonelli, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 56' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 60' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jacopo Sala on 60.
  • 61' UC Sampdoria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dawid Kownacki is hanging Gregoire Defrel on the field on 61 minute.
  • 62' Goal! Suso scores his 22 goal in 126 matches.
  • 67' A quiet spell here at . UC Sampdoria seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 72' The travelling UC Sampdoria supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 76' The whistle greets Patrick Cutrone as he departs to be replaced by Samu Castillejo.
  • 78' AC Milan ring the changes. Davide Calabria has done his job and it is now time for Ignazio Abate to step up.
  • 80' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Ignazio Abate on 80 minutes.
  • 82' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Franck Kessie.
  • 87' AC Milan are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 90' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Alessio Romagnoli gets a Yellow card.
  • 90' AC Milan ring the changes. Diego Laxalt has done his job and it is now time for Hakan Calhanoglu to step up.
  • Another three points for AC Milan.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.49 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 UC Sampdoria xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or UC Sampdoria 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan44% Draw27% UC Sampdoria29%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
70%
Draw or UC Sampdoria
56%
AC Milan or UC Sampdoria
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan30% Draw46% UC Sampdoria24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push UC Sampdoria covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
28%
UC Sampdoria keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.