AC Milan vs FC Internazionale Milano, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs FC Internazionale Milano — Serie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- FC Internazionale Milano 38 games · 87 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Fabbri
- Referee Marco Guida
- Referee Matteo Passeri
- Referee Giampaolo Calvarese
- Referee Ciro Carbone
4 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 6.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 2–3 | L |
| 09 Mar | AC Chievo Verona | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Mar | US Sassuolo Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Empoli FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | Atalanta BC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Feb | Cagliari Calcio | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar | AC Milan | A | 3–2 | W |
| 14 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Mar | SPAL 2013 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Mar | Cagliari Calcio | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Feb | ACF Fiorentina | A | 3–3 | D |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | FC Internazionale Milano | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #1 |
| 70 | Points | 87 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 27 / 6 / 5 |
| 53 | Scored | 89 |
| 35 | Conceded | 35 |
| +18 | GD | +54 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 2.29 |
| 53% | Win % | 71% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). FC Internazionale Milano are 1st (87 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between AC Milan and FC Internazionale Milano is underway.
- 3' GOAL! Matias Vecino fires home to make it 0-1!
- 8' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 13' Tiemoue Bakayoko, a France , has 27 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 14' FC Internazionale Milano player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 19' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 24' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 29' Marcelo Brozovic has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 32' Ricardo Rodriguez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 32.
- 37' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 42' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 42 minutes.
- 46' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Lucas Paqueta is replaced by Samu Castillejo.
- 51' Stefan de Vrij does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Internazionale Milano surge ahead!
- 56' Ghana international Kwadwo Asamoah has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 57' Tiemoue Bakayoko does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
- 58' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Patrick Cutrone on, Ricardo Rodriguez off on 58 minutes.
- 63' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luciano Spalletti will be considering his options from the bench.
- 66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alessio Romagnoli on 66.
- 67' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lautaro Martinez makes it 1-3.
- 69' The supporters are chanting for Andrea Conti. He replaces Franck Kessie on 69 minute.
- 71' A goal from the Argentina international Mateo Musacchio! He fires home on 71 to make it 2-3!
- 73' The whistle greets Marcelo Brozovic as he departs to be replaced by Borja Valero.
- 78' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Roberto Gagliardini made 485 appearances and scored 16 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 79' Poor challenge from Matias Vecino. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 84' It is a substitution in FC Internazionale Milano team. Matteo Politano is replaced by Antonio Candreva on 84 minute.
- 88' AC Milan receives a Red card for a hard tackle on 88.
- 89' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Andrea Conti.
- 90' That is a Yellow card for FC Internazionale Milano. Roberto Gagliardini will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' The crowd applauds Matias Vecino as he leaves the pitch. Andrea Ranocchia steps in for FC Internazionale Milano.
- With this win, FC Internazionale Milano is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
39
Lucas Paqueta ↓ Samu Castillejo 46'
- 99
- 2
- 13
- 68
- 22
-
79
Franck Kessie ↓ Andrea Conti 69'
- 8
- 10
- 14
- 19
Bench
- 90
- 20
- 17
-
12
Andrea Conti ↑ 69'
- 21
-
63
Patrick Cutrone ↑ 58'
- 11
- 33
- 93
- 16
- 25
-
7
Samu Castillejo ↑ 46'
Coach
Gennaro Gattuso
FC Internazionale Milano Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 33
-
77
Marcelo Brozovic ↓ Borja Valero 73'
- 44
- 5
- 37
- 8
- 18
- 6
- 16
- 10
Bench
- 21
- 27
-
13
Andrea Ranocchia ↑ 90'
- 29
-
87
Antonio Candreva ↑ 84'
-
20
Borja Valero ↑ 73'
- 11
Coach
Luciano Spalletti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lautaro Martinez | 5 |
| Rafael Leao | 4 |
| Romelu Lukaku | 4 |
| Olivier Giroud | 4 |
| Henrikh Mkhitaryan | 3 |
| Marcelo Brozovic | 3 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 3 |
| Stefan de Vrij | 3 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
FC Internazionale Milano Form
2019-03-17
AC Milan
2–3
FC Internazionale Milano
W
2019-03-14
FC Internazionale Milano
0–1
Eintracht Frankfurt
L
2019-03-10
FC Internazionale Milano
2–0
SPAL 2013
W
2019-03-07
Eintracht Frankfurt
0–0
FC Internazionale Milano
D
2019-03-01
Cagliari Calcio
2–1
FC Internazionale Milano
L
2019-02-24
ACF Fiorentina
3–3
FC Internazionale Milano
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72
FC Internazionale Milano xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan or FC Internazionale Milano 74% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Internazionale Milano win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
60%
Draw or FC Internazionale Milano
67%
AC Milan or FC Internazionale Milano
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Internazionale Milano win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 1
6.7%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6%
1 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | FC Internazionale Milano covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 16% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 20% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
FC Internazionale Milano keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.