Saturday , 14 November 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2022-23
Thu 29 Dec 2022 · 20:00 UTC Orange Velodrome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Pignard Jeremie
  • Referee Arnaud Baert
  • Referee Aurelien Drouet
  • Referee
  • Referee
  • Referee Stephane Bre
5 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 7.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Toulouse FC H 6–1 W
13 Nov AS Monaco FC A 3–2 W
06 Nov Olympique Lyonnais H 1–0 W
01 Nov Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–2 L
29 Oct RC Strasbourg Alsace A 2–2 D
26 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Olympique de Marseille A 1–6 L
12 Nov Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 1–2 L
06 Nov AS Monaco FC H 0–2 L
28 Oct Racing Club de Lens A 0–3 L
23 Oct RC Strasbourg Alsace H 2–2 D
16 Oct Angers SCO H 3–2 W

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille Toulouse FC
#4 Position #12
18 Points 13
10 Played 10
6 / 0 / 4 W / D / L 3 / 4 / 3
22 Scored 15
14 Conceded 14
+8 GD +1
1.80 PPG 1.30
60% Win % 30%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season
20% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Olympique de Marseille are 4th (18 pts). Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
0-15
4/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
Amine Gouiri 7 G 3 A
Amine Harit 3 G 1 A
Himad Abdelli 3 G
Igor Paixao 2 G 1 A
Keyliane Abdallah 2 G
Toulouse FC
Casper Tengstedt 5 G 1 A
Thomas Jorgensen 3 G 1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe 2 G
Christ Tape 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.03 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Olympique de Marseille to win 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille73% Draw16% Toulouse FC11%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 4.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
89%
Draw or Toulouse FC
27%
Olympique de Marseille or Toulouse FC
84%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille57% Draw32% Toulouse FC11%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–1 not predicted
6 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8%
3 – 1
8%
2 – 0
7.8%
3 – 0
7.6%
1 – 1
6.1%
4 – 1
6%
4 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
5 – 1
3.7%
5 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 36% — 64%
-2 36% 20% 44%
-1.5 56% — 44%
-1 56% 19% 25%
-0.5 75% — 25%
+0.5 90% — 10%
+1 90% 6% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.