Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2022-23
Thu 29 Dec 2022 · 20:00 UTC Orange Velodrome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Pignard Jeremie
  • Referee Arnaud Baert
  • Referee Aurelien Drouet
  • Referee
  • Referee
  • Referee Stephane Bre

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Toulouse FC H 6–1 W
13 Nov AS Monaco FC A 3–2 W
06 Nov Olympique Lyonnais H 1–0 W
01 Nov Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–2 L
29 Oct RC Strasbourg Alsace A 2–2 D
26 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Olympique de Marseille A 1–6 L
12 Nov Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 1–2 L
06 Nov AS Monaco FC H 0–2 L
28 Oct Racing Club de Lens A 0–3 L
23 Oct RC Strasbourg Alsace H 2–2 D
16 Oct Angers SCO H 3–2 W

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille Toulouse FC
#17 Position #13
3 Points 5
5 Played 5
1 / 0 / 4 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 2
7 Scored 7
8 Conceded 9
-1 GD -2
0.60 PPG 1.00
20% Win % 20%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season
0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Olympique de Marseille are 17th (3 pts). Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
Amine Gouiri 4 G 1 A
Pierre Emile Hojbjerg 1 G
Keyliane Abdallah 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.85 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Olympique de Marseille to win 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille70% Draw17% Toulouse FC13%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
87%
Draw or Toulouse FC
30%
Olympique de Marseille or Toulouse FC
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille54% Draw34% Toulouse FC12%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–1 not predicted
6 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
7.8%
2 – 0
7.6%
3 – 0
7%
1 – 1
6.8%
4 – 1
5.6%
1 – 0
5.1%
4 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
3.4%
5 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 32% — 68%
-2 32% 20% 48%
-1.5 52% — 48%
-1 52% 20% 29%
-0.5 71% — 29%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 8% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.