Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2023
Sat 22 Apr 2023 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'
1–0 16' Lukas MacNaughton og
Mikael Uhre 20' 2–0
Mikael Uhre 43' 3–0
Mikael Uhre 57' 4–0
4–1 66' Lorenzo Insigne
4–2 90+3' Richie Laryea

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr Toronto FC H 4–2 W
16 Apr Chicago Fire FC A 2–2 D
08 Apr FC Cincinnati A 0–1 L
01 Apr Sporting Kansas City H 0–0 D
25 Mar Orlando City SC H 1–2 L
18 Mar Montreal Impact FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr Philadelphia Union A 2–4 L
15 Apr Atlanta United FC H 2–2 D
09 Apr Nashville SC A 0–0 D
01 Apr Charlotte FC H 2–2 D
26 Mar San Jose Earthquakes A 0–0 D
18 Mar Internacional CF Miami H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union Toronto FC
#6 Position #13
39 Points 29
27 Played 27
11 / 6 / 10 W / D / L 6 / 11 / 10
54 Scored 39
44 Conceded 51
+10 GD -12
1.44 PPG 1.07
41% Win % 22%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
6/4
46-60
9/1
61-75
14/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 16 G 2 A
Bruno Damiani 8 G 1 A
Cavan Sullivan 7 G 4 A
Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.52 Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Philadelphia Union60% Draw21% Toronto FC19%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw
80%
Draw or Toronto FC
40%
Philadelphia Union or Toronto FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Philadelphia Union47% Draw37% Toronto FC16%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 1
8%
3 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
7%
3 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.6%
4 – 0
3.6%
0 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap Philadelphia Union covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 24% — 76%
-2 24% 18% 58%
-1.5 42% — 58%
-1 42% 20% 38%
-0.5 62% — 38%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 10% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.