Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC — MLS at Subaru Park.
- Philadelphia Union 18 games · 16 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | Toronto FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 16 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Apr | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Apr | Sporting Kansas City | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Mar | Orlando City SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | Philadelphia Union | A | 2–4 | L |
| 15 Apr | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Apr | Nashville SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Apr | Charlotte FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Mar | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Philadelphia Union | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #12 |
| 16 | Points | 17 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 4 / 4 / 10 | W / D / L | 3 / 8 / 7 |
| 25 | Scored | 24 |
| 33 | Conceded | 32 |
| -8 | GD | -8 |
| 0.89 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 22% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
82%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/5
31-45
3/3
46-60
3/1
61-75
4/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 8 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Subaru Park!
- 5' Toronto FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 16' What a moment for Lukas MacNaughton! That strike on 16 puts his side firmly in control.
- 20' Mikael Uhre has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 20 minutes.
- 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 30' Julian Carranza has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
- 35' named a 4-3-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 36' Philadelphia Union receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 36.
- 41' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 43' Mikael Uhre adds to his 0 season tally! Philadelphia Union lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
- 45' Lorenzo Insigne picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 50' Another change for Toronto FC made on 50 minute. Federico Bernardeschi leaves to be changed by Jordan Perruzza.
- 55' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 57' A goal from the Denmark international Mikael Uhre! He fires home on 57 to make it 4-0!
- 58' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Brandon Servania departs to be replaced by Alonso Coello Camarero.
- 61' Another substitution for Philadelphia Union to replace Mikael Uhre by Quinn Sullivan on 61 minute.
- 62' The supporters are chanting for Leon Flach. He replaces Jack McGlynn on 62 minute.
- 66' Goal! Lorenzo Insigne scores his 88 goal in 508 matches.
- 71' Jakob Glesnes, a Norway , has 16 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 75' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Julian Carranza.
- 80' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Josh Sargent scoring 1 goals.
- 83' Philadelphia Union ring the changes. Alejandro Bedoya has done his job and it is now time for Jesus Bueno to step up.
- 85' Kosi Thompson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lorenzo Insigne at the 85 minute mark.
- 86' Philadelphia Union make a change. Jose Andres Martinez trudges off to be replaced by Andres Perea on 86 minutes.
- Toronto FC will have plenty to reflect on. Philadelphia Union were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Philadelphia Union Lineups
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 27
- 18
- 3
-
11
Alejandro Bedoya ↓ Jesus Bueno 83'
- 9
-
7
Mikael Uhre ↓ Quinn Sullivan 61'
- 10
- 8
- 5
-
16
Jack McGlynn ↓ Leon Flach 62'
- 26
Bench
- 19
- 12
-
6
Andres Perea ↑ 86'
-
31
Leon Flach ↑ 62'
- 2
-
33
Quinn Sullivan ↑ 61'
-
20
Jesus Bueno ↑ 83'
- 17
- 25
Coach
Jim Curtin
Toronto FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 10
-
24
Lorenzo Insigne ↓ Kosi Thompson 85'
- 23
- 21
- 14
-
28
Raoul Petretta ↓ Kobe Franklin 58'
- 1
- 17
- 22
- 7
- 5
Bench
- 20
-
27
Shane O'Neill ↑ 50'
- 30
-
77
Jordan Perruzza ↑ 50'
- 29
-
47
Kosi Thompson ↑ 85'
-
19
Kobe Franklin ↑ 58'
- 83
-
52
Alonso Coello Camarero ↑ 58'
Coach
Bob Bradley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sergio Santos | 6 |
| Daniel Gazdag | 4 |
| Mikael Uhre | 4 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 3 |
| Deandre Kerr | 3 |
| Pozuelo | 3 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Jakob Glesnes | 2 |
Head to Head
Philadelphia Union Form
2023-04-22
Philadelphia Union
4–2
Toronto FC
W
2023-04-16
Chicago Fire FC
2–2
Philadelphia Union
D
2023-04-08
FC Cincinnati
1–0
Philadelphia Union
L
2023-04-01
Philadelphia Union
0–0
Sporting Kansas City
D
2023-03-25
Philadelphia Union
1–2
Orlando City SC
L
2023-03-18
Montreal Impact FC
3–2
Philadelphia Union
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.06
Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Philadelphia Union or Draw
76%
Draw or Toronto FC
47%
Philadelphia Union or Toronto FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Philadelphia Union win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 0
6.3%
3 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union
| Handicap | Philadelphia Union covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 16% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 21% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

