Saturday , 14 November 2026

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2023
Sat 22 Apr 2023 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'
1–0 16' Lukas MacNaughton og
Mikael Uhre 20' 2–0
Mikael Uhre 43' 3–0
Mikael Uhre 57' 4–0
4–1 66' Lorenzo Insigne
4–2 90+3' Richie Laryea

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr Toronto FC H 4–2 W
16 Apr Chicago Fire FC A 2–2 D
08 Apr FC Cincinnati A 0–1 L
01 Apr Sporting Kansas City H 0–0 D
25 Mar Orlando City SC H 1–2 L
18 Mar Montreal Impact FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr Philadelphia Union A 2–4 L
15 Apr Atlanta United FC H 2–2 D
09 Apr Nashville SC A 0–0 D
01 Apr Charlotte FC H 2–2 D
26 Mar San Jose Earthquakes A 0–0 D
18 Mar Internacional CF Miami H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union Toronto FC
#6 Position #12
50 Points 39
34 Played 34
14 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 9 / 12 / 13
66 Scored 52
52 Conceded 67
+14 GD -15
1.47 PPG 1.15
41% Win % 26%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
12% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
6/7
31-45
8/7
46-60
12/2
61-75
17/5
76+
8/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 19 G 2 A
Bruno Damiani 13 G 3 A
Cavan Sullivan 9 G 6 A
Toronto FC
Josh Sargent 10 G 4 A
Daniel Salloi 9 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.53 Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Philadelphia Union60% Draw21% Toronto FC19%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw
81%
Draw or Toronto FC
40%
Philadelphia Union or Toronto FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Philadelphia Union47% Draw37% Toronto FC16%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 1
8%
3 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
7.1%
3 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.6%
4 – 0
3.6%
0 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap Philadelphia Union covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 24% — 76%
-2 24% 18% 58%
-1.5 42% — 58%
-1 42% 20% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 10% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.