Thursday , 2 July 2026

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2023
Sat 22 Apr 2023 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'
1–0 16' Lukas MacNaughton og
Mikael Uhre 20' 2–0
Mikael Uhre 43' 3–0
Mikael Uhre 57' 4–0
4–1 66' Lorenzo Insigne
4–2 90+3' Richie Laryea

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr Toronto FC H 4–2 W
16 Apr Chicago Fire FC A 2–2 D
08 Apr FC Cincinnati A 0–1 L
01 Apr Sporting Kansas City H 0–0 D
25 Mar Orlando City SC H 1–2 L
18 Mar Montreal Impact FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr Philadelphia Union A 2–4 L
15 Apr Atlanta United FC H 2–2 D
09 Apr Nashville SC A 0–0 D
01 Apr Charlotte FC H 2–2 D
26 Mar San Jose Earthquakes A 0–0 D
18 Mar Internacional CF Miami H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union Toronto FC
#15 Position #11
7 Points 14
15 Played 14
1 / 4 / 10 W / D / L 3 / 5 / 6
18 Scored 22
30 Conceded 29
-12 GD -7
0.47 PPG 1.00
7% Win % 21%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 15th (7 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.04 Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Philadelphia Union50% Draw23% Toronto FC27%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw
73%
Draw or Toronto FC
50%
Philadelphia Union or Toronto FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Philadelphia Union37% Draw40% Toronto FC23%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 0
5.3%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.2%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 1
3.7%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap Philadelphia Union covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 15% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 20% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
23%
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.