Saturday , 3 October 2026

Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Toronto FC
1 – 1
Full Time
New York Red Bulls
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS .

Match Details

  • Referee Chris Penso
7 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 10.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 60
2 Internacional CF Miami 27 46
3 New England Revolution 27 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 43
5 Chicago Fire FC 26 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 39
7 Orlando City SC 27 34
8 New York City FC 27 33
9 FC Cincinnati 26 33
10 New York Red Bulls 27 33
11 D.C. United SC 26 30
12 Columbus Crew SC 27 29
13 Toronto FC 27 29
14 Atlanta United FC 27 27
15 Montreal Impact FC 27 24
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 26 50
17 St. Louis City 27 47
18 FC Dallas 27 47
19 San Jose Earthquakes 27 45
20 Houston Dynamo 27 44
21 Los Angeles FC 28 41
22 Seattle Sounders FC 27 38
23 Colorado Rapids SC 27 36
24 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 36
25 San Diego FC 27 32
26 Portland Timbers 27 32
27 Real Salt Lake 27 32
28 Austin FC 27 31
29 Minnesota United FC 27 29
30 Sporting Kansas City 27 21

Head-to-Head

1
5
11
Toronto FC 17 games · Avg 2.5 goals New York Red Bulls
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-14 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2025-06-25 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls 2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

Toronto FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar New York Red Bulls H 1–1 D
08 Mar FC Cincinnati A 1–0 W
01 Mar Vancouver Whitecaps FC A 0–3 L
22 Feb FC Dallas A 2–3 L
18 Oct Orlando City SC H 4–2 W
09 Oct Los Angeles FC A 0–2 L
New York Red Bulls
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Toronto FC A 1–1 D
08 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 0–3 L
28 Feb New England Revolution H 1–0 W
22 Feb Orlando City SC A 2–1 W
18 Oct Columbus Crew SC A 1–3 L
04 Oct FC Cincinnati H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC New York Red Bulls
#13 Position #10
29 Points 33
27 Played 27
6 / 11 / 10 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 12
39 Scored 34
51 Conceded 51
-12 GD -17
1.07 PPG 1.22
22% Win % 33%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
22% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/5
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/8
61-75
2/6
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A
New York Red Bulls
Julian Hall 10 G 2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba 7 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls get this one started.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Lewis Morgan 5
Luquinhas 3
Tom Barlow 3
Emil Forsberg 3
Pozuelo 2
Elias Manoel 2
Kemar Lawrence 2
Caden Clark 2

Head to Head

2026-03-14 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2025-06-25 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls 2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC

Toronto FC Form

2026-03-14 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2026-03-08 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC W 2026-03-01 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 3–0 Toronto FC L 2026-02-22 FC Dallas 3–2 Toronto FC L 2025-10-18 Toronto FC 4–2 Orlando City SC W 2025-10-09 Los Angeles FC 2–0 Toronto FC L

New York Red Bulls Form

2026-03-14 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2026-03-08 New York Red Bulls 0–3 Montreal Impact FC L 2026-02-28 New York Red Bulls 1–0 New England Revolution W 2026-02-22 Orlando City SC 1–2 New York Red Bulls W 2025-10-18 Columbus Crew SC 3–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-10-04 New York Red Bulls 0–1 FC Cincinnati L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.71 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57 New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for: Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC40% Draw26% New York Red Bulls34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
66%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
60%
Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC31% Draw42% New York Red Bulls27%
Actual: Toronto FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
5.7%
2 – 0
5.5%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 17% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.