Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2026

Toronto FC

1 – 1

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS .

Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Chris Penso

5 games this season 🟨 2.2/game ⚽ 10.2 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Toronto FC 17 games · Avg 2.5 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-14 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2025-06-25 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls 2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Mar	New York Red Bulls	H	1–1	D
08 Mar	FC Cincinnati	A	1–0	W
01 Mar	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	0–3	L
22 Feb	FC Dallas	A	2–3	L
18 Oct	Orlando City SC	H	4–2	W
09 Oct	Los Angeles FC	A	0–2	L

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Mar	Toronto FC	A	1–1	D
08 Mar	Montreal Impact FC	H	0–3	L
28 Feb	New England Revolution	H	1–0	W
22 Feb	Orlando City SC	A	2–1	W
18 Oct	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–3	L
04 Oct	FC Cincinnati	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

Toronto FC		New York Red Bulls
#12	Position	#8
17	Points	25
18	Played	18
3 / 8 / 7	W / D / L	7 / 4 / 7
24	Scored	29
32	Conceded	39
-8	GD	-10
0.94	PPG	1.39
17%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

16% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC

0-15

1/2

16-30

1/3

31-45

4/3

46-60

2/5

61-75

4/4

76+

6/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

1/5

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	9 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls get this one started.
The points are shared — Toronto FC 1-1 New York Red Bulls. Honours even.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lewis Morgan	5
Emil Forsberg	3
Luquinhas	3
Tom Barlow	3
Elias Manoel	2
Kemar Lawrence	2
Caden Clark	2
Brian White	2

Head to Head

Toronto FC Form

2026-03-14 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2026-03-08 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC W 2026-03-01 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 3–0 Toronto FC L 2026-02-22 FC Dallas 3–2 Toronto FC L 2025-10-18 Toronto FC 4–2 Orlando City SC W 2025-10-09 Los Angeles FC 2–0 Toronto FC L

New York Red Bulls Form

2026-03-14 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2026-03-08 New York Red Bulls 0–3 Montreal Impact FC L 2026-02-28 New York Red Bulls 1–0 New England Revolution W 2026-02-22 Orlando City SC 1–2 New York Red Bulls W 2025-10-18 Columbus Crew SC 3–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-10-04 New York Red Bulls 0–1 FC Cincinnati L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.76 Toronto FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.72 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls 75% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Toronto FC39% Draw25% New York Red Bulls36%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.48

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	66%	34%
± 3.5	45%	55%
± 4.5	27%	73%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw

65%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

61%

Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Toronto FC30% Draw41% New York Red Bulls29%

Actual: Toronto FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

7.9%

1 – 2

7.7%

2 – 2

6.7%

2 – 0

4.8%

1 – 0

4.8%

0 – 1

4.6%

3 – 1

4.6%

0 – 2

4.6%

0 – 0

4.5%

1 – 3

4.4%

3 – 2

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap	Toronto FC covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	18%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	18%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.