Thursday , 2 July 2026

SG Dynamo Dresden vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf, DFB-Pokal 2024-25 ROUND 1

DFB-Pokal · 2024-25
Sun 18 Aug 2024 · 16:00 UTC Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SG Dynamo Dresden vs TSV Fortuna 95 DusseldorfDFB-Pokal at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 5.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

2
1
SG Dynamo Dresden 3 games · Avg 3.0 goals TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Aug TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf H 2–0 W
29 Jul VfB Stuttgart H 0–1 L
27 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–3 L
06 Aug SC Paderborn 07 H 2–1 W
22 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 H 0–3 L
14 Sep Hamburger SV H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Aug SG Dynamo Dresden A 0–2 L
10 Aug Karlsruher SC H 0–0 D
04 Aug SV Darmstadt 98 A 2–0 W
19 May 1. FC Magdeburg H 3–2 W
11 May Holstein Kiel A 1–1 D
03 May 1. FC Nurnberg H 3–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48 SG Dynamo Dresden xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SG Dynamo Dresden49% Draw28% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf23%
Actual: SG Dynamo Dresden win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

SG Dynamo Dresden or Draw
77%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
51%
SG Dynamo Dresden or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SG Dynamo Dresden34% Draw49% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf17%
Actual: SG Dynamo Dresden win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
12.8%
0 – 0
11.5%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — SG Dynamo Dresden

Handicap SG Dynamo Dresden covers Push TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 24% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

SG Dynamo Dresden keeps clean sheet
42%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.