TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.
- TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 34 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Holstein Kiel 2 games · 2 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
- Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
- Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Energie Cottbus | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Hannover 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | VfL Osnabrück | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr | Holstein Kiel | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | Hertha BSC | H | 2–5 | L |
| 14 Mar | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Mar | 1. FC Nurnberg | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Feb | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | SC Preussen Munster | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Mar | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 3–2 | W |
| 14 Mar | 1. FC Nurnberg | H | 2–3 | L |
| 07 Mar | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Feb | SV 07 Elversberg | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Merkur Spiel-Arena will turn into a battlefield for TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf and Holstein Kiel.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 7' Fresh legs for Holstein Kiel! Marko Ivezic comes on to replace John Tolkin.
- 10' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 10.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 16' Marin Ljubicic gets the nod from TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf. He replaces Christian Rasmussen and will look to change the dynamic.
- 21' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 24' That is a card for Holstein Kiel. Umut Tohumcu will be fuming at that decision.
- 26' Florent Muslija was booked on 26.
- 31' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 36' Ivan Nekic has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 41' It looks surprising Holstein Kiel does not make any changes. Niklas Niehoff has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 44' That is a card for Holstein Kiel. Steven Skrzybski will be fuming at that decision.
- 49' With 0 assists to his name this season, Anouar El Azzouzi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf.
- 50' Phil Harres makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Holstein Kiel are in front.
- 55' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 60' The supporters are chanting for Jonas Therkelsen. He replaces Steven Skrzybski on 60 minute.
- 61' Luca Raimund makes way for Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf.
- 65' The supporters are chanting for Jordi Paulina. He replaces Florent Muslija on 65 minute.
- 70' Luca Raimund is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Holstein Kiel so far.
- 71' Cedric Itten has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 71 minutes.
- 76' Jesper Daland needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 79' The Croatia Ivan Nekic breaks the deadlock on 79 minutes. 0-3!
- 84' Over 84 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 89' Both keepers have barely been tested. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf and Holstein Kiel are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 90' That is a card for Holstein Kiel. Adrian Kapralik will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' Frederik Roslyng has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ikem Ugoh on 90 minute.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Holstein Kiel players.
Lineups
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 24
- 33
- 13
- 16
- 23
- 2
- 15
- 10
- 44
- 8
- 7
Bench
- 5
- 12
- 6
- 11
- 1
- 14
- 20
- 27
- 29
Coach
Markus Anfang
Holstein Kiel Lineups
4-5-1Starting XI
- 28
- 7
- 1
-
47
John Tolkin ↓ Marko Ivezic 7'
- 20
-
8
Umut Tohumcu ↓ Niklas Niehoff 90'
- 19
- 23
- 26
- 13
-
49
Ikem Ugoh ↓ Frederik Roslyng 90'
Bench
- 22
- 21
-
6
Marko Ivezic ↑ 7'
-
29
Niklas Niehoff ↑ 90'
- 25
-
10
Jonas Therkelsen ↑ 60'
- 43
-
2
Frederik Roslyng ↑ 90'
- 40
Coach
Tim Walter
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Phil Harres | 1 |
| Ivan Nekic | 1 |
| Lewis Holtby | 1 |
| Christos Tzolis | 1 |
| Benedikt Pichler | 1 |
| Cedric Itten | 1 |
Head to Head
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Form
2026-04-10
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
1–2
Holstein Kiel
L
2026-04-04
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3–0
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
L
2026-03-22
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
2–5
Hertha BSC
L
2026-03-14
Eintracht Braunschweig
1–0
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
L
2026-03-07
1. FC Nurnberg
0–1
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
W
2026-02-27
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
2–1
VfL Bochum 1848
W
Holstein Kiel Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.25
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Holstein Kiel 72% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Draw
58%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
69%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Holstein Kiel
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.6%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
| Handicap | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 21% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

