TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.
- TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 34 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Holstein Kiel 6 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
- Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
- Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
3 games this season
🟨 5.3/game
⚽ 28.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Energie Cottbus | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Hannover 96 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | VfL Osnabrück | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr | Holstein Kiel | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | Hertha BSC | H | 2–5 | L |
| 14 Mar | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Mar | 1. FC Nürnberg | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Feb | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | SC Preußen Münster | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Mar | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 3–2 | W |
| 14 Mar | 1. FC Nürnberg | H | 2–3 | L |
| 07 Mar | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Feb | SV 07 Elversberg | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
| Phil Harres | 4 G | 2 A |
| Guillermo Balzi | 1 G | |
| Jonas Therkelsen | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf launch into their encounter with Holstein Kiel.
- 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 7' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 7 minute. John Tolkin leaves to be changed by Marko Ivezic.
- 10' The referee has no hesitation. Jonas Meffert is booked for Holstein Kiel — card on 10.
- 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf and Holstein Kiel are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 16' It is a substitution in TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf team. Christian Rasmussen is replaced by Marin Ljubicic on 16 minute.
- 21' named a 3-1-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-5-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 24' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Umut Tohumcu gets a card.
- 26' It’s a booking for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf player. Florent Muslija gets a card.
- 31' The 22-year-old Umut Tohumcu has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 36' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 41' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 44' Steven Skrzybski is having his name booked by the referee on 44.
- 49' Holstein Kiel are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 50' Phil Harres does the damage! The net is bulging and Holstein Kiel surge ahead!
- 55' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Holstein Kiel that had 284 games and scored 180 goals.
- 60' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 60 minute. Steven Skrzybski leaves to be changed by Jonas Therkelsen.
- 61' Time for substitution for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf. Luca Raimund is replaced by Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson.
- 65' Fresh legs for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf! Jordi Paulina comes on to replace Florent Muslija.
- 70' The home supporters are growing impatient. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 71' What a strike from Cedric Itten! The score is 0-2.
- 76' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marko Ivezic suffering a number of foals already.
- 79' A goal from the Croatia international Ivan Nekic! He fires home on 79 to make it 0-3!
- 84' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 89' TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 90' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Adrian Kapralik gets a card.
- 90' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 90 minute. Ikem Ugoh leaves to be changed by Frederik Roslyng.
- 1-2 the final result. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 24
- 33
- 13
- 16
- 23
- 2
- 15
- 10
- 44
- 8
- 7
Bench
- 5
- 12
- 6
- 11
- 1
- 14
- 20
- 27
- 29
Coach
Markus Anfang
Holstein Kiel Lineups
4-5-1Starting XI
- 28
- 7
- 1
-
47
John Tolkin ↓ Marko Ivezic 7'
- 20
-
8
Umut Tohumcu ↓ Niklas Niehoff 90'
- 19
- 23
- 26
- 13
-
49
Ikem Ugoh ↓ Frederik Roslyng 90'
Bench
- 22
- 21
-
6
Marko Ivezic ↑ 7'
-
29
Niklas Niehoff ↑ 90'
- 25
-
10
Jonas Therkelsen ↑ 60'
- 43
-
2
Frederik Roslyng ↑ 90'
- 40
Coach
Tim Walter
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cedric Itten | 1 |
| Phil Harres | 1 |
| Ivan Nekic | 1 |
| Lewis Holtby | 1 |
| Christos Tzolis | 1 |
| Benedikt Pichler | 1 |
Head to Head
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Form
2026-04-10
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–2
Holstein Kiel
W
2026-04-04
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3–0
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
L
2026-03-22
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
2–5
Hertha BSC
W
2026-03-14
Eintracht Braunschweig
1–0
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
L
2026-03-07
1. FC Nürnberg
0–1
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
W
2026-02-27
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
2–1
VfL Bochum 1848
L
Holstein Kiel Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.25
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Holstein Kiel 72% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Draw
58%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
69%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Holstein Kiel
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.6%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
| Handicap | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 21% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

