Millwall FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar | Swansea City AFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Mar | Reading FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Mar | Norwich City FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Feb | Luton Town FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Feb | Stoke City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Feb | Burnley FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar | Millwall FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 04 Mar | Luton Town FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Feb | Rotherham United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Feb | Stoke City FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Feb | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #11 |
| 83 | Points | 64 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 24 / 11 / 11 | W / D / L | 18 / 10 / 18 |
| 64 | Scored | 57 |
| 49 | Conceded | 59 |
| +15 | GD | -2 |
| 1.80 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 52% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to The Den that hosts another battle between Millwall FC and Swansea City AFC.
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Millwall FC and Swansea City AFC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' Joel Piroe needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 12 Yellow cards this season.
- 20' Benjamin Cabango has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 25' Jake Cooper has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Millwall FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 35' Dan McNamara is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Millwall FC tonight.
- 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gary Rowett will be considering his options from the bench.
- 42' Controversy at the stadium! Harry Darling argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 47' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 48' What a strike from Charlie Cresswell! The score is 1-0.
- 50' Poor challenge from Dan McNamara. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 55' GOAL! Andreas Voglsammer fires home to make it 2-0!
- 58' The England Matt Grimes breaks the deadlock on 58 minutes. 2-1!
- 63' Ryan Manning, a Ireland , has 2 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 64' Liam Cullen makes way for Morgan Whittaker at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from Swansea City AFC.
- 69' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 74' The home supporters are growing impatient. Millwall FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 75' The Millwall FC manager makes a substitution. Andreas Voglsammer departs to be replaced by Duncan Watmore.
- 76' Oliver Burke is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tom Bradshaw at the 76 minute mark.
- 81' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 84' The Swansea City AFC manager makes a substitution. Harry Darling departs to be replaced by Kyle Naughton.
- 88' The Millwall FC manager makes a substitution. Zian Flemming departs to be replaced by Shaun Hutchinson.
- 90' Swansea City AFC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 90.
- Another three points for Millwall FC.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
-
9
Tom Bradshaw ↓ Oliver Burke 76'
- 5
- 3
- 39
- 23
- 1
- 10
- 21
- 2
- 15
Bench
-
7
Oliver Burke ↑ 76'
-
4
Shaun Hutchinson ↑ 88'
-
19
Duncan Watmore ↑ 75'
- 11
- 33
-
16
Jamie Shackleton ↑ 76'
- 50
Coach
Gary Rowett
Swansea City AFC Lineups
Starting XI
-
28
Liam Walsh ↓ Jamie Paterson 64'
- 8
-
20
Liam Cullen ↓ Morgan Whittaker 64'
- 23
- 1
- 3
-
6
Harry Darling ↓ Kyle Naughton 84'
- 10
- 5
- 17
-
18
Luke Cundle ↓ Cameron Congreve 88'
Bench
-
12
Jamie Paterson ↑ 64'
-
26
Kyle Naughton ↑ 84'
- 27
-
19
Morgan Whittaker ↑ 64'
- 29
-
45
Cameron Congreve ↑ 88'
Coach
Russell Martin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Lowe | 3 |
| Ryan Manning | 2 |
| Matt Grimes | 2 |
| Casper De Norre | 2 |
| George Byers | 1 |
| Benjamin Cabango | 1 |
| Jed Wallace | 1 |
| Mason Bennett | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Swansea City AFC Form
2023-03-14
Millwall FC
2–1
Swansea City AFC
L
2023-03-11
Swansea City AFC
1–3
Middlesbrough FC
L
2023-03-04
Luton Town FC
1–0
Swansea City AFC
L
2023-02-27
Swansea City AFC
1–1
Rotherham United FC
D
2023-02-21
Swansea City AFC
1–3
Stoke City FC
L
2023-02-18
Blackburn Rovers FC
1–0
Swansea City AFC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.47
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
51%
Millwall FC or Swansea City AFC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
10.2%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.