Sunday , 16 August 2026

Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Tue 25 Nov 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov Derby County FC H 1–2 L
22 Nov Bristol City FC A 0–3 L
08 Nov Ipswich Town FC H 1–4 L
05 Nov Preston North End FC A 1–2 L
01 Nov Charlton Athletic FC A 1–1 D
25 Oct Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
22 Nov Watford FC H 2–3 L
08 Nov Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–1 W
04 Nov Hull City AFC H 2–1 W
01 Nov Sheffield United FC A 3–1 W
25 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Swansea City AFC Derby County FC
#11 Position #23
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Swansea City AFC are 11th (0 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Swansea City AFC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Swansea City AFC and Derby County FC is underway.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Swansea City AFC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.59 Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 80% + Derby County FC or Draw 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC25% Draw37% Derby County FC38%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes29% 0% No71%
Avg goals/match: 1.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 75%
25%
± 1.5 45%
55%
± 2.5 20%
80%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Swansea City AFC or Draw
62%
Draw or Derby County FC
75%
Swansea City AFC or Derby County FC
63%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Swansea City AFC14% Draw62% Derby County FC24%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
24.8%
0 – 1
18.7%
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 2
8.6%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 1
3.5%
0 – 3
2.6%
2 – 2
1.8%
1 – 3
1.8%
3 – 1
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC

Handicap Swansea City AFC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 16% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 25% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 11% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
41%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
55%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.