Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship .
- Swansea City AFC 8 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee
4 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 6.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov | Derby County FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Nov | Bristol City FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | Ipswich Town FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 05 Nov | Preston North End FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Nov | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | Norwich City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Nov | Watford FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Nov | Hull City AFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Nov | Sheffield United FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Swansea City AFC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #22 |
| 17 | Points | 5 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 2 / 1 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 5 |
| 13 | Scored | 7 |
| 6 | Conceded | 14 |
| +7 | GD | -7 |
| 2.13 | PPG | 0.63 |
| 63% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Swansea City AFC are 1st (17 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Swansea City AFC
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Swansea City AFC
| Adam Idah | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 2 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Swansea City AFC launch into their encounter with Derby County FC.
- Derby County FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Swansea City AFC Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Lawrence | 4 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Ronald | 2 |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 |
| Harry Wilson | 2 |
| Richard Keogh | 1 |
| Wayne Routledge | 1 |
| Nathaniel Mendez-Laing | 1 |
Head to Head
Swansea City AFC Form
2025-11-25
Swansea City AFC
1–2
Derby County FC
L
2025-11-22
Bristol City FC
3–0
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-11-08
Swansea City AFC
1–4
Ipswich Town FC
L
2025-11-05
Preston North End FC
2–1
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-11-01
Charlton Athletic FC
1–1
Swansea City AFC
D
2025-10-25
Swansea City AFC
2–1
Norwich City FC
W
Derby County FC Form
2025-11-25
Swansea City AFC
1–2
Derby County FC
W
2025-11-22
Derby County FC
2–3
Watford FC
L
2025-11-08
Blackburn Rovers FC
1–2
Derby County FC
W
2025-11-04
Derby County FC
2–1
Hull City AFC
W
2025-11-01
Sheffield United FC
1–3
Derby County FC
W
2025-10-25
Derby County FC
1–0
Queens Park Rangers FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.72
Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Swansea City AFC or Draw
73%
Draw or Derby County FC
55%
Swansea City AFC or Derby County FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
9.1%
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC
| Handicap | Swansea City AFC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 22% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.