Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship .
- Swansea City AFC 15 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee
7 games this season
🟨 3.6/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov | Derby County FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Nov | Bristol City FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | Ipswich Town FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 05 Nov | Preston North End FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Nov | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | Norwich City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Nov | Watford FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Nov | Hull City AFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Nov | Sheffield United FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Swansea City AFC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #23 |
| 26 | Points | 10 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 8 / 2 / 5 | W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 9 |
| 22 | Scored | 14 |
| 18 | Conceded | 30 |
| +4 | GD | -16 |
| 1.73 | PPG | 0.67 |
| 53% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Swansea City AFC are 6th (26 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Swansea City AFC
0-15
4/5
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/5
46-60
6/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Swansea City AFC
| Adam Idah | 4 G | 1 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 3 G | 2 A |
| Moussa Kounfolo Yeo | 3 G | |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at as Swansea City AFC face off against Derby County FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- Swansea City AFC will have plenty to reflect on. Derby County FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Swansea City AFC Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Lawrence | 4 |
| Harry Wilson | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Ronald | 2 |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 |
| Colin Kazim-Richards | 1 |
| Kamil Jozwiak | 1 |
| Fikayo Tomori | 1 |
Head to Head
Swansea City AFC Form
2025-11-25
Swansea City AFC
1–2
Derby County FC
L
2025-11-22
Bristol City FC
3–0
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-11-08
Swansea City AFC
1–4
Ipswich Town FC
L
2025-11-05
Preston North End FC
2–1
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-11-01
Charlton Athletic FC
1–1
Swansea City AFC
D
2025-10-25
Swansea City AFC
2–1
Norwich City FC
W
Derby County FC Form
2025-11-25
Swansea City AFC
1–2
Derby County FC
W
2025-11-22
Derby County FC
2–3
Watford FC
L
2025-11-08
Blackburn Rovers FC
1–2
Derby County FC
W
2025-11-04
Derby County FC
2–1
Hull City AFC
W
2025-11-01
Sheffield United FC
1–3
Derby County FC
W
2025-10-25
Derby County FC
1–0
Queens Park Rangers FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.74
Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Swansea City AFC or Derby County FC 73% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Swansea City AFC or Draw
70%
Draw or Derby County FC
57%
Swansea City AFC or Derby County FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC
| Handicap | Swansea City AFC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 21% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.