Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sunderland AFC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 7 Dec 2024 · 12:30 UTC Stadium of Light 39,311 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Lewis Koumas
Tom Watson 7' 1–1
Tom Watson 86' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Sunderland AFC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Stadium of Light.

Match Details

  • Referee Craig Pawson
  • Assistant 1 Marc Perry
  • Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill
4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 20.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Stoke City FC H 2–1 W
29 Nov Sheffield United FC A 0–1 L
26 Nov West Bromwich Albion FC H 0–0 D
23 Nov Millwall FC A 1–1 D
09 Nov Coventry City FC H 2–2 D
06 Nov Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Sunderland AFC A 1–2 L
30 Nov Burnley FC H 0–2 L
26 Nov Preston North End FC H 0–0 D
23 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–1 D
09 Nov Millwall FC H 1–1 D
06 Nov Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 1 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sunderland AFC to score. At the same time, Stoke City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Andre Vidigal has been relatively quiet despite scoring 22 goals in his last 270 appearances.
  • 6' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lewis Koumas makes it 0-1.
  • 7' The England forward Tom Watson breaks the deadlock on 7 minutes. 1-1!
  • 12' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 17' England international Luke O'Nien has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 22' It’s high time Chicho Pelach made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 27' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Wilson Isidor suffering a number of foals already.
  • 32' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 32 minutes.
  • 37' Over 37 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 42' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 47' Sunderland AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Stoke City FC backline.
  • 52' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 57' Jobe Bellingham is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sunderland AFC tonight.
  • 62' Stoke City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 67' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 72' A quiet spell here at Stadium of Light. Stoke City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 73' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Million Manhoef departs to be replaced by Andre Vidigal.
  • 78' The travelling Stoke City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 79' The Sunderland AFC bench stirs into life. Aji Alese is withdrawn and Dennis Cirkin gets his opportunity.
  • 84' Stoke City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ben Wilmot is hanging Joon-ho Bae on the field on 84 minute.
  • 86' Sensational shot from Tom Watson. Sunderland AFC is back in the lead.
  • 90' A change in the Sunderland AFC ranks — Wilson Isidor exits the field as Leo Hjelde enters on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Stoke City FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.38 Sunderland AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Sunderland AFC or Stoke City FC 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sunderland AFC44% Draw27% Stoke City FC29%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Sunderland AFC or Draw
71%
Draw or Stoke City FC
56%
Sunderland AFC or Stoke City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sunderland AFC28% Draw48% Stoke City FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Sunderland AFC

Handicap Sunderland AFC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.