Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sunderland AFC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 27 Jan 2024 · 15:00 UTC Stadium of Light 41,394 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mason Burstow 43' 1–0
Abdoullah Ba 49' 2–0
Pierre Ekwah 70' 3–0
3–1 74' Jenson Seelt og

Overview

Match Preview

Sunderland AFC vs Stoke City FCChampionship at Stadium of Light.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Davies (England)
  • Assistant 1 Graham Kane
  • Assistant 2 James Wilson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Stoke City FC H 3–1 W
19 Jan Hull City AFC H 0–1 L
13 Jan Ipswich Town FC A 1–2 L
06 Jan Newcastle United FC H 0–3 L
01 Jan Preston North End FC H 2–0 W
29 Dec Rotherham United FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Sunderland AFC A 1–3 L
20 Jan Birmingham City FC H 1–2 L
13 Jan Rotherham United FC A 1–0 W
06 Jan Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–4 L
01 Jan Ipswich Town FC H 0–0 D
29 Dec Watford FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sunderland AFC launch into their encounter with Stoke City FC.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ben Wilmot, as he is very good at scoring at Stadium of Light with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sunderland AFC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' It looks surprising Sunderland AFC does not make any changes. Lewis Baker has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' Sunderland AFC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 26' Ben Wilmot is having his name booked by the referee on 26.
  • 31' Sunderland AFC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 32' Controversy at the stadium! Luke Cundle argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 37' Stoke City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 42' Controversy at the stadium! Jordan Thompson argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 43' Goal! Mason Burstow scores his 5 goal in 378 matches.
  • 44' Mason Burstow with the second goal in the match!
  • 49' GOAL! Abdoullah Ba scores on 49. Assisted by Jack Clarke
  • 54' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 59' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stoke City FC that had 380 games and scored 400 goals.
  • 60' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Sead Haksabanovic departs to be replaced by Nathan Lowe.
  • 61' A change in the Stoke City FC ranks — Tyrese Campbell exits the field as Ryan Mmaee enters on 61.
  • 66' It is a cagey affair so far. Sunderland AFC in their 4-1-4-1 trying to find a way past Stoke City FC's compact 4-3-3.
  • 70' Goal! Pierre Ekwah scores his 6 goal in 363 matches.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Lewis Baker. He replaces Mehdi Leris on 72 minute.
  • 74' Goal! Jenson Seelt scores his 1 goal in 436 matches.
  • 78' Sunderland AFC ring the changes. Mason Burstow has done his job and it is now time for Nazarii Rusyn to step up.
  • 83' Another change for Sunderland AFC made on 83 minute. Jobe Bellingham leaves to be changed by Chris Rigg.
  • 86' Daniel Johnson gets the nod from Stoke City FC. He replaces Lynden Gooch and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Daniel Ballard. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 90' Sunderland AFC make a change. Abdoullah Ba trudges off to be replaced by Timothee Pembele on 90 minutes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 Sunderland AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Sunderland AFC or Stoke City FC 73% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sunderland AFC43% Draw27% Stoke City FC30%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Sunderland AFC or Draw
70%
Draw or Stoke City FC
57%
Sunderland AFC or Stoke City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sunderland AFC28% Draw47% Stoke City FC25%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sunderland AFC

Handicap Sunderland AFC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
28%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.