Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sunderland AFC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Sat 4 Mar 2023 · 15:00 UTC Stadium of Light HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
4
Sunderland AFC 7 games · Avg 3.0 goals Stoke City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Stoke City FC H 1–5 L
25 Feb Coventry City FC A 1–2 L
21 Feb Rotherham United FC A 1–2 L
18 Feb Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC A 3–0 W
11 Feb Reading FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Sunderland AFC A 5–1 W
28 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–1 L
25 Feb Millwall FC H 0–1 L
21 Feb Swansea City AFC A 3–1 W
18 Feb Blackpool FC A 0–1 L
15 Feb Huddersfield Town AFC H 3–0 W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Stadium of Light. Sunderland AFC are looking to make home advantage count against Stoke City FC.
  • 5' Jordan Thompson is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Stoke City FC tonight.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Alex Neil will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' Joshua Laurent is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Stoke City FC so far.
  • 20' Dwight Gayle has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 21' Poor challenge from Daniel Neil. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 22' Sunderland AFC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 22.
  • 25' The referee shows Sunderland AFC player a Yellow card on 25.
  • 26' Morgan Fox has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ben Wilmot on 26 minute.
  • 31' Josh Tymon has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 36' Sunderland AFC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 41' What composure from Dujon Sterling! The England international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ben Pearson on 45.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Sunderland AFC. Joe Gelhardt is replaced by Edouard Michut.
  • 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sunderland AFC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 52' Controversy at the stadium! Joshua Laurent argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 53' Tyrese Campbell adds to his 0 season tally! Stoke City FC lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 54' Tyrese Campbell has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 54 minutes.
  • 57' GOAL! Tyrese Campbell scores on 57.
  • 62' Alex Pritchard is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 65' It is a substitution in Stoke City FC team. Ben Pearson is replaced by Jordan Thompson on 65 minute.
  • 68' GOAL! Dwight Gayle scores on 68.
  • 73' The 26-year-old Ajibola Alese has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 76' The England Dwight Gayle breaks the deadlock on 76 minutes. 1-6!
  • 80' The Stoke City FC bench stirs into life. Joshua Laurent is withdrawn and Lewis Baker gets his opportunity.
  • 81' Lewis Baker gets the nod from Stoke City FC. He replaces Joshua Laurent and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 1-5 the final result. Sunderland AFC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.17 Sunderland AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.96 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sunderland AFC27% Draw25% Stoke City FC48%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Sunderland AFC or Draw
52%
Draw or Stoke City FC
73%
Sunderland AFC or Stoke City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sunderland AFC18% Draw42% Stoke City FC40%
Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted
1 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.3%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 3
6.2%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 3
5.3%
1 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
3.7%
1 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sunderland AFC

Handicap Sunderland AFC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 46% 54%
+1 46% 22% 32%
+1.5 68% 32%
+2 68% 17% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
15%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.