Stoke City FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2023-24

Stoke City FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Birmingham City FC

Sat 20 Jan 2024 · 15:00 UTC Bet365 Stadium 25,058 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 10' Jay Stansfield

0–2 49' Juninho Bacuna

Jordan Thompson 70' 1–2

Lynden Gooch 90' Y

Ben Wilmot 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.

Stoke City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Birmingham City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Sam Barrott (England)
Assistant 1 George Byrne
Assistant 2 Rob Hyde (England)

7 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 14.4 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Stoke City FC 14 games · Avg 2.1 goals Birmingham City FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-01-20 Stoke City FC 1–2 Birmingham City FC 2023-12-26 Birmingham City FC 1–3 Stoke City FC 2023-04-10 Birmingham City FC 0–0 Stoke City FC 2022-11-05 Stoke City FC 1–2 Birmingham City FC 2022-02-19 Stoke City FC 2–2 Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Jan	Birmingham City FC	H	1–2	L
13 Jan	Rotherham United FC	A	1–0	W
06 Jan	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	H	2–4	L
01 Jan	Ipswich Town FC	H	0–0	D
29 Dec	Watford FC	A	1–1	D
26 Dec	Birmingham City FC	A	3–1	W

Birmingham City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Jan	Stoke City FC	A	2–1	W
16 Jan	Hull City AFC	H	2–1	W
13 Jan	Swansea City AFC	H	2–2	D
06 Jan	Hull City AFC	A	1–1	D
01 Jan	Leeds United FC	A	0–3	L
29 Dec	Bristol City FC	H	0–0	D

Season Stats

Stoke City FC		Birmingham City FC
#3	Position	#1
29	Points	29
15	Played	15
9 / 2 / 4	W / D / L	8 / 5 / 2
24	Scored	28
18	Conceded	14
+6	GD	+14
1.93	PPG	1.93
60%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

36% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

33% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

Stoke City FC are 3rd (29 pts). Birmingham City FC are 1st (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC

0-15

4/2

16-30

5/3

31-45

4/–

46-60

4/3

61-75

1/3

76+

4/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Birmingham City FC

0-15

2/1

16-30

6/1

31-45

4/7

46-60

4/1

61-75

4/1

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stoke City FC

Jack McGlynn	5 G	2 A
Ethan Galbraith	4 G	4 A
Eric Bocat	2 G	2 A
Sam Gallagher	2 G	1 A
Justin Devenny	2 G

Birmingham City FC

August Priske	6 G	1 A
Liam Millar	4 G	3 A
Jay Stansfield	4 G	1 A
Demarai Gray	3 G
Phil Neumann	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Bet365 Stadium. Stoke City FC are looking to make home advantage count against Birmingham City FC.
5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
10' Jay Stansfield puts Birmingham City FC on the lead.
15' Siriki Dembele has been relatively quiet despite scoring 43 goals in his last 397 appearances.
20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Krystian Bielik is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Stoke City FC.
25' Denmark international Daniel Iversen has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
30' It’s high time Paul Gallagher made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
35' Stoke City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
45' A quiet spell here at Bet365 Stadium. Stoke City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
49' What a strike from Juninho Bacuna! The score is 0-2.
50' What a strike from Juninho Bacuna! The score is 0-3.
55' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stoke City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
58' Stoke City FC make a change. Luke McNally trudges off to be replaced by Tyrese Campbell on 58 minutes.
63' Supporters expect more eagerness from Joon-ho Bae, as he is very good at scoring at Bet365 Stadium with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
66' Siriki Dembele makes way for Tyler Roberts at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Birmingham City FC.
70' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Ki-Jana Hoever is replaced by Lynden Gooch.
70' A stunning finish from Jordan Thompson — that came from absolutely nowhere!
71' Andre Dozzell has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ivan Sunjic on 71 minute.
75' Juninho Bacuna makes way for Kevin Long at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Birmingham City FC.
80' It is a cagey affair so far. Stoke City FC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Birmingham City FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
82' A tactical swap from Stoke City FC — Nathan Lowe on, Ryan Mmaee off on 82 minutes.
87' Birmingham City FC have won 442 goals from 398 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
90' The referee shows Stoke City FC player a Yellow card on 90.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Stoke City FC.

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

16
Ben Wilmot ↑ 58'
10
Tyrese Campbell ↑ 58'
2
Lynden Gooch ↑ 70'
12
Daniel Johnson
4
Ben Pearson
13
Jack Bonham
20
Sead Haksabanovic
27
Mehdi Leris ↑ 58'
35
Nathan Lowe ↑ 82'

Coach Paul Gallagher

Birmingham City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tony Mowbray

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lukas Jutkiewicz	3
Harlee Dean	2
Tyrese Campbell	2
Jay Stansfield	2
Jordan Thompson	2
Andre Vidigal	1
Juninho Bacuna	1
Nick Powell	1

Head to Head

Stoke City FC Form

2024-01-20 Stoke City FC 1–2 Birmingham City FC L 2024-01-13 Rotherham United FC 0–1 Stoke City FC W 2024-01-06 Stoke City FC 2–4 Brighton & Hove Albion FC L 2024-01-01 Stoke City FC 0–0 Ipswich Town FC D 2023-12-29 Watford FC 1–1 Stoke City FC D 2023-12-26 Birmingham City FC 1–3 Stoke City FC W

Birmingham City FC Form

2024-01-20 Stoke City FC 1–2 Birmingham City FC W 2024-01-16 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Hull City AFC W 2024-01-13 Birmingham City FC 2–2 Swansea City AFC D 2024-01-06 Hull City AFC 1–1 Birmingham City FC D 2024-01-01 Leeds United FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC L 2023-12-29 Birmingham City FC 0–0 Bristol City FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.27 Stoke City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.53 Birmingham City FC xG

I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Birmingham City FC 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Stoke City FC32% Draw28% Birmingham City FC40%

Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 2.8

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw

61%

Draw or Birmingham City FC

68%

Stoke City FC or Birmingham City FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Stoke City FC23% Draw46% Birmingham City FC31%

Actual: Birmingham City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.7%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 1

8.4%

0 – 0

7.9%

2 – 1

7.2%

0 – 2

1 – 0

6.7%

2 – 2

5.6%

2 – 0

4.8%

1 – 3

4.5%

0 – 3

3.5%

3 – 1

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap	Stoke City FC covers	Push	Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	17%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	21%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	13%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.