Stoke City FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sam Barrott (England)
- Assistant 1 George Byrne
- Assistant 2 Rob Hyde (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Jan | Rotherham United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Jan | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 01 Jan | Ipswich Town FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Dec | Watford FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Dec | Birmingham City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan | Stoke City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Jan | Hull City AFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Jan | Swansea City AFC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Jan | Hull City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jan | Leeds United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Dec | Bristol City FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Stoke City FC | Birmingham City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #10 |
| 55 | Points | 64 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 15 / 10 / 21 | W / D / L | 17 / 13 / 16 |
| 51 | Scored | 57 |
| 56 | Conceded | 56 |
| -5 | GD | +1 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 33% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Stoke City FC and Birmingham City FC is underway.
- 5' Stoke City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' Jay Stansfield adds to his 0 season tally! Birmingham City FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 15' Stoke City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Stoke City FC and Birmingham City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 25' Ki-Jana Hoever has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 30' Poland international Krystian Bielik has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 40' Stoke City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Birmingham City FC backline.
- 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Birmingham City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 49' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Juninho Bacuna makes it 0-2.
- 50' Juninho Bacuna has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 50 minutes.
- 55' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 58' A change in the Stoke City FC ranks — Luke McNally exits the field as Tyrese Campbell enters on 58.
- 63' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Stoke City FC and Birmingham City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 66' Time for substitution for Birmingham City FC. Siriki Dembele is replaced by Tyler Roberts.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Lynden Gooch. He replaces Ki-Jana Hoever on 70 minute.
- 70' Magnificent from Jordan Thompson! That is 9 goals in 384 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 71' The supporters are chanting for Andre Dozzell. He replaces Ivan Sunjic on 71 minute.
- 75' Kevin Long is replacing Juninho Bacuna for the Birmingham City FC side.
- 80' It looks like no one’s ball. Stoke City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 82' Stoke City FC ring the changes. Ryan Mmaee has done his job and it is now time for Nathan Lowe to step up.
- 87' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tony Mowbray will be considering his options from the bench.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Lynden Gooch.
- Another three points for Birmingham City FC.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
8
Lewis Baker ↓ Ben Wilmot 58'
- 15
- –
- 6
-
7
Andre Vidigal ↓ Mehdi Leris 58'
-
17
Ki-Jana Hoever ↓ Lynden Gooch 70'
- 5
-
19
Ryan Mmaee ↓ Nathan Lowe 82'
- –
-
23
Luke McNally ↓ Tyrese Campbell 58'
- 22
Bench
-
16
Ben Wilmot ↑ 58'
-
10
Tyrese Campbell ↑ 58'
-
2
Lynden Gooch ↑ 70'
- 12
- 4
- 13
- 20
-
27
Mehdi Leris ↑ 58'
-
35
Nathan Lowe ↑ 82'
Coach
Paul Gallagher
Birmingham City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
7
Juninho Bacuna ↓ Kevin Long 75'
- 21
- 6
-
17
Siriki Dembele ↓ Tyler Roberts 66'
-
34
Ivan Sunjic ↓ Andre Dozzell 71'
- 11
- 3
- 5
- 28
- 12
- 19
Bench
- 45
-
26
Kevin Long ↑ 75'
- 1
-
–
Andre Dozzell ↑ 71'
- 20
- 9
-
8
Tyler Roberts ↑ 66'
- 14
- 44
Coach
Tony Mowbray
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lukas Jutkiewicz | 3 |
| Jay Stansfield | 2 |
| Jordan Thompson | 2 |
| Harlee Dean | 2 |
| Tyrese Campbell | 2 |
| Liam Lindsay | 1 |
| Sam Vokes | 1 |
| Lynden Gooch | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Birmingham City FC Form
2024-01-20
Stoke City FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
W
2024-01-16
Birmingham City FC
2–1
Hull City AFC
W
2024-01-13
Birmingham City FC
2–2
Swansea City AFC
D
2024-01-06
Hull City AFC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
2024-01-01
Leeds United FC
3–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2023-12-29
Birmingham City FC
0–0
Bristol City FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.28
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Stoke City FC or Birmingham City FC 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Birmingham City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
65%
Stoke City FC or Birmingham City FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Birmingham City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
0 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 18% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 20% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

