Stoke City FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 3
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC — FA Cup at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 01 Jan | Ipswich Town FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Dec | Watford FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Dec | Birmingham City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Dec | Millwall FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Dec | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan | Stoke City FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 02 Jan | West Ham United FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Dec | Tottenham Hotspur FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 21 Dec | Crystal Palace FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Dec | Arsenal FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Dec | Olympique de Marseille | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Stoke City FC have kicked off against Brighton & Hove Albion FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Michael Rose, a Scotland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 8' Jan Paul van Hecke was booked on 8.
- 13' Ki-Jana Hoever picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 16' Magnificent from Jan Paul van Hecke! That is 6 goals in 103 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 21' Joao Pedro is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Stoke City FC so far.
- 26' Stoke City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 26.
- 31' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 36' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 37' Poor challenge from Facundo Buonanotte. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 42' With 0 assists to his name this season, Daniel Johnson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Stoke City FC.
- 45' Luke McNally is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mehdi Leris at the 45 minute mark.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Andre Vidigal. He replaces Michael Rose on 46 minute.
- 48' Joon-ho Bae catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 48.
- 51' What a strike from Pervis Estupinan! The score is 0-2.
- 52' Lewis Dunk makes no mistake. The score reads 0-3 and Brighton & Hove Albion FC are in front.
- 57' Danny Welbeck has so much to prove this time. He replaces Facundo Buonanotte on 57 minute.
- 58' Adam Webster has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jakub Moder on 58 minute.
- 63' Lewis Baker adds to his 0 season tally! Stoke City FC lead 1-3 — and this changes everything.
- 68' Bart Verbruggen has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 71' What composure from Joao Pedro! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-4.
- 74' The supporters are chanting for Nathan Lowe. He replaces Wesley on 74 minute.
- 75' Another change for Stoke City FC made on 75 minute. Daniel Johnson leaves to be changed by Liam McCarron.
- 80' The deadlock is broken! Joao Pedro gets on the scoresheet on 80 minutes.
- 82' Adam Lallana gets the nod from Brighton & Hove Albion FC. He replaces Joao Pedro and will look to change the dynamic.
- 83' Brighton & Hove Albion FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Carlos Baleba is hanging Lewis Dunk on the field on 83 minute.
- 85' The whistle greets Lewis Baker as he departs to be replaced by Sol Sidibe.
- 90' The crowd applauds Billy Gilmour as he leaves the pitch. Jack Hinchy steps in for Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
- Stoke City FC will have plenty to reflect on. Brighton & Hove Albion FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
-
12
Daniel Johnson ↓ Liam McCarron 75'
-
8
Lewis Baker ↓ Sol Sidibe 85'
- –
- 6
-
20
Sead Haksabanovic ↓ Ryan Mmaee 58'
-
27
Mehdi Leris ↓ Luke McNally 45'
- 17
-
5
Michael Rose ↓ Andre Vidigal 46'
-
18
Wesley ↓ Nathan Lowe 74'
- 22
Bench
- 11
- 13
-
–
Liam McCarron ↑ 75'
-
7
Andre Vidigal ↑ 46'
-
19
Ryan Mmaee ↑ 58'
-
23
Luke McNally ↑ 45'
-
35
Nathan Lowe ↑ 74'
-
30
Sol Sidibe ↑ 85'
- 21
Coach
Paul Gallagher
Brighton & Hove Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
5
Lewis Dunk ↓ Carlos Baleba 83'
- 13
- 30
- 29
-
9
Joao Pedro ↓ Adam Lallana 82'
-
11
Billy Gilmour ↓ Jack Hinchy 90'
- 1
-
15
Jakub Moder ↓ Adam Webster 58'
- 28
- 40
- 41
Bench
-
4
Adam Webster ↑ 58'
-
18
Danny Welbeck ↑ 57'
-
14
Adam Lallana ↑ 82'
- 6
- 23
-
20
Carlos Baleba ↑ 83'
-
45
Jack Hinchy ↑ 90'
- 47
Coach
Roberto De Zerbi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evan Ferguson | 2 |
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| Lewis Baker | 1 |
| Lewis Dunk | 1 |
| Pervis Estupinan | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Brighton & Hove Albion FC Form
2024-01-06
Stoke City FC
2–4
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
W
2024-01-02
West Ham United FC
0–0
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
D
2023-12-28
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
4–2
Tottenham Hotspur FC
W
2023-12-21
Crystal Palace FC
1–1
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
D
2023-12-17
Arsenal FC
2–0
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
L
2023-12-14
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
1–0
Olympique de Marseille
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.18
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54
Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for:
Stoke City FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
71%
Stoke City FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–4 not predicted2 – 4Actual
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.