Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stoke City FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2023-24
Sat 6 Jan 2024 · 15:00 UTC Bet365 Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Jan Paul van Hecke og 16' 1–0
1–1 45+6' Pervis Estupinan
1–2 52' Lewis Dunk
Lewis Baker pen 63' 2–2
2–3 71' Joao Pedro
2–4 80' Joao Pedro

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FCFA Cup at Bet365 Stadium.

Head-to-Head

2
Stoke City FC 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–4 L
01 Jan Ipswich Town FC H 0–0 D
29 Dec Watford FC A 1–1 D
26 Dec Birmingham City FC A 3–1 W
23 Dec Millwall FC H 0–0 D
17 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Stoke City FC A 4–2 W
02 Jan West Ham United FC A 0–0 D
28 Dec Tottenham Hotspur FC H 4–2 W
21 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 1–1 D
17 Dec Arsenal FC A 0–2 L
14 Dec Olympique de Marseille H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.18 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC29% Draw28% Brighton & Hove Albion FC43%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
71%
Stoke City FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC22% Draw47% Brighton & Hove Albion FC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 16% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 21% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.