Saturday , 14 November 2026

Stoke City FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 5

FA Cup · 2022-23
Tue 28 Feb 2023 · 19:15 UTC Bet365 Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC — FA Cup at Bet365 Stadium.

Head-to-Head

2
Stoke City FC 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–1 L
25 Feb Millwall FC H 0–1 L
21 Feb Swansea City AFC A 3–1 W
18 Feb Blackpool FC A 0–1 L
15 Feb Huddersfield Town AFC H 3–0 W
11 Feb Hull City AFC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Stoke City FC A 1–0 W
18 Feb Fulham FC H 0–1 L
11 Feb Crystal Palace FC A 1–1 D
04 Feb AFC Bournemouth H 1–0 W
29 Jan Liverpool FC H 2–1 W
21 Jan Leicester City FC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Stoke City FC launch into their encounter with Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
  • 5' Ecuador international Jeremy Sarmiento has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' Jordan Thompson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 20' Stoke City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Brighton & Hove Albion FC's shape.
  • 21' A meaty challenge results in booking for Joshua Laurent on 21.
  • 26' Stoke City FC have won 420 goals from 394 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 30' Evan Ferguson is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
  • 31' The deadlock is broken! Evan Ferguson gets on the scoresheet on 31 minutes.
  • 36' With 1 assists to his name this season, Tyrese Campbell is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Stoke City FC.
  • 41' Stoke City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 46' Another change for Stoke City FC made on 46 minute. Joshua Laurent leaves to be changed by William Smallbone.
  • 49' That is a Yellow card for Stoke City FC. Lewis Baker will be fuming at that decision.
  • 54' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Danny Welbeck made 427 appearances and scored 46 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 59' Brighton & Hove Albion FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 64' The energy levels are beginning to show. Roberto De Zerbi might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 68' The whistle greets Dujon Sterling as he departs to be replaced by Sam Clucas.
  • 69' The Brighton & Hove Albion FC manager makes a substitution. Facundo Buonanotte departs to be replaced by Joel Veltman.
  • 74' The travelling Brighton & Hove Albion FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 75' Julio Enciso is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kaoru Mitoma at the 75 minute mark.
  • 76' The whistle greets Tyrese Campbell as he departs to be replaced by Bersant Celina.
  • 78' Danny Welbeck is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jeremy Sarmiento at the 78 minute mark.
  • 83' Fresh legs for Stoke City FC! Nathan Lowe comes on to replace Jacob Brown.
  • 88' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 90' The referee shows Brighton & Hove Albion FC player a Yellow card on 90.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.86 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC29% Draw33% Brighton & Hove Albion FC38%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.89
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
71%
Stoke City FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC19% Draw56% Brighton & Hove Albion FC25%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.7%
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 2
7.6%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
3.1%
0 – 3
2.6%
1 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 18% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 22% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
43% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.