Stoke City FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 5
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC — FA Cup at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Feb | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Swansea City AFC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Feb | Blackpool FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb | Stoke City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Feb | Fulham FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Feb | Crystal Palace FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Feb | AFC Bournemouth | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Jan | Liverpool FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Jan | Leicester City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Bet365 Stadium that hosts another battle between Stoke City FC and Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
- 5' Evan Ferguson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 3 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Stoke City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' Ben Wilmot has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 20' England international Danny Welbeck has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 21' Joshua Laurent has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 21.
- 26' The home supporters are growing impatient. Stoke City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 30' Magnificent from Evan Ferguson! That is 21 goals in 336 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 31' The deadlock is broken! Evan Ferguson gets on the scoresheet on 31 minutes.
- 36' Brighton & Hove Albion FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 41' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 46' William Smallbone gets the nod from Stoke City FC. He replaces Joshua Laurent and will look to change the dynamic.
- 49' Poor challenge from Lewis Baker. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 54' Joshua Laurent has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 59' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 64' Deniz Undav, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 68' The Stoke City FC bench stirs into life. Dujon Sterling is withdrawn and Sam Clucas gets his opportunity.
- 69' Facundo Buonanotte makes way for Joel Veltman at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
- 74' Jacob Brown is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Brighton & Hove Albion FC tonight.
- 75' Julio Enciso is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kaoru Mitoma at the 75 minute mark.
- 76' Stoke City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Bersant Celina is hanging Tyrese Campbell on the field on 76 minute.
- 78' A tactical swap from Brighton & Hove Albion FC — Danny Welbeck on, Jeremy Sarmiento off on 78 minutes.
- 83' The supporters are chanting for Nathan Lowe. He replaces Jacob Brown on 83 minute.
- 88' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Deniz Undav on 90 minutes.
- Another three points for Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 10
-
9
Jacob Brown ↓ Nathan Lowe 83'
-
5
Axel Tuanzebe ↓ Connor Taylor 76'
- 8
- 15
- 13
- 28
-
20
Dujon Sterling ↓ Sam Clucas 68'
- 14
- 17
Bench
- 34
- 11
-
7
Sam Clucas ↑ 68'
-
23
Bersant Celina ↑ 76'
- 3
-
18
William Smallbone ↑ 46'
-
32
Connor Taylor ↑ 76'
- 2
-
45
Nathan Lowe ↑ 83'
Coach
Alex Neil
Brighton & Hove Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 5
- 13
- 10
- 29
-
22
Kaoru Mitoma ↓ Julio Enciso 75'
- 2
- 25
- 19
-
28
Evan Ferguson ↓ Deniz Undav 69'
- 40
Bench
- 4
-
18
Danny Welbeck ↑ 78'
-
34
Joel Veltman ↑ 69'
- 1
- –
-
21
Deniz Undav ↑ 69'
-
11
Julio Enciso ↑ 75'
- 59
- 8
Coach
Roberto De Zerbi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| Evan Ferguson | 2 |
| Lewis Baker | 1 |
| Lewis Dunk | 1 |
| Pervis Estupinan | 1 |
Stoke City FC Form
Brighton & Hove Albion FC Form
2023-02-28
Stoke City FC
0–1
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
W
2023-02-18
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
0–1
Fulham FC
L
2023-02-11
Crystal Palace FC
1–1
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
D
2023-02-04
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
1–0
AFC Bournemouth
W
2023-01-29
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
2–1
Liverpool FC
W
2023-01-21
Leicester City FC
2–2
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.86
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 71% + Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.89
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 2.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
71%
Stoke City FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
67%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.7%
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 2
7.6%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
3.1%
0 – 3
2.6%
1 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
1.6%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 18% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 22% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.