Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stoke City FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 5

FA Cup · 2022-23
Tue 28 Feb 2023 · 19:15 UTC Bet365 Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FCFA Cup at Bet365 Stadium.

Head-to-Head

2
Stoke City FC 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–1 L
25 Feb Millwall FC H 0–1 L
21 Feb Swansea City AFC A 3–1 W
18 Feb Blackpool FC A 0–1 L
15 Feb Huddersfield Town AFC H 3–0 W
11 Feb Hull City AFC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Stoke City FC A 1–0 W
18 Feb Fulham FC H 0–1 L
11 Feb Crystal Palace FC A 1–1 D
04 Feb AFC Bournemouth H 1–0 W
29 Jan Liverpool FC H 2–1 W
21 Jan Leicester City FC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Stoke City FC to score. At the same time, Brighton & Hove Albion FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Stoke City FC and Brighton & Hove Albion FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Stoke City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 20' Jordan Thompson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 49 Yellow cards this season.
  • 21' Joshua Laurent is having his name booked by the referee on 21.
  • 26' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 30' What composure from Evan Ferguson! The Ireland international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 31' Evan Ferguson with the second goal in the match!
  • 36' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Stoke City FC and Brighton & Hove Albion FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 41' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 46' The whistle greets Joshua Laurent as he departs to be replaced by William Smallbone.
  • 49' The referee calls foul for Lewis Baker. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 54' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Alex Neil will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 59' A quiet spell here at Bet365 Stadium. Stoke City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 64' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alex Neil might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 68' Fresh legs for Stoke City FC! Sam Clucas comes on to replace Dujon Sterling.
  • 69' The Brighton & Hove Albion FC bench stirs into life. Facundo Buonanotte is withdrawn and Joel Veltman gets his opportunity.
  • 74' England international Josh Tymon has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 75' The Brighton & Hove Albion FC manager makes a substitution. Kaoru Mitoma departs to be replaced by Julio Enciso.
  • 76' Bersant Celina is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tyrese Campbell at the 76 minute mark.
  • 78' Danny Welbeck gets the nod from Brighton & Hove Albion FC. He replaces Jeremy Sarmiento and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 83' Fresh legs for Stoke City FC! Nathan Lowe comes on to replace Jacob Brown.
  • 88' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 90' Deniz Undav catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.86 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC29% Draw33% Brighton & Hove Albion FC38%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.89
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
71%
Stoke City FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC19% Draw56% Brighton & Hove Albion FC25%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.7%
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 2
7.6%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
3.1%
0 – 3
2.6%
1 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 18% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 22% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.