Stoke City FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 5
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC — FA Cup at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Feb | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Swansea City AFC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Feb | Blackpool FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb | Stoke City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Feb | Fulham FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Feb | Crystal Palace FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Feb | AFC Bournemouth | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Jan | Liverpool FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Jan | Leicester City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Stoke City FC and Brighton & Hove Albion FC get this one started.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Bet365 Stadium. Brighton & Hove Albion FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Brighton & Hove Albion FC have won 458 goals from 338 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stoke City FC that had 384 games and scored 404 goals.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 21' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Joshua Laurent.
- 26' England international Lewis Baker has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 30' Brighton & Hove Albion FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Evan Ferguson on 30.
- 31' Evan Ferguson is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
- 36' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 41' Deniz Undav, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 46' William Smallbone gets the nod from Stoke City FC. He replaces Joshua Laurent and will look to change the dynamic.
- 49' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lewis Baker on 49.
- 54' Stoke City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 54.
- 59' Jack Bonham has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 291 appearances.
- 64' It is a cagey affair so far. Stoke City FC in their trying to find a way past Brighton & Hove Albion FC's compact .
- 68' The crowd applauds Dujon Sterling as he leaves the pitch. Sam Clucas steps in for Stoke City FC.
- 69' Another change for Brighton & Hove Albion FC made on 69 minute. Facundo Buonanotte leaves to be changed by Joel Veltman.
- 74' It looks surprising Brighton & Hove Albion FC does not make any changes. Lewis Dunk has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 75' A tactical swap from Brighton & Hove Albion FC — Julio Enciso on, Kaoru Mitoma off on 75 minutes.
- 76' Bersant Celina gets the nod from Stoke City FC. He replaces Tyrese Campbell and will look to change the dynamic.
- 78' Another change for Brighton & Hove Albion FC made on 78 minute. Jeremy Sarmiento leaves to be changed by Danny Welbeck.
- 83' Nathan Lowe has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jacob Brown on 83 minute.
- 88' Stoke City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Deniz Undav on 90.
- Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 10
-
9
Jacob Brown ↓ Nathan Lowe 83'
-
5
Axel Tuanzebe ↓ Connor Taylor 76'
- 8
- 15
- 13
- 28
-
20
Dujon Sterling ↓ Sam Clucas 68'
- 14
- 17
Bench
- 34
- 11
-
7
Sam Clucas ↑ 68'
-
23
Bersant Celina ↑ 76'
- 3
-
18
William Smallbone ↑ 46'
-
32
Connor Taylor ↑ 76'
- 2
-
45
Nathan Lowe ↑ 83'
Coach
Alex Neil
Brighton & Hove Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 5
- 13
- 10
- 29
-
22
Kaoru Mitoma ↓ Julio Enciso 75'
- 2
- 25
- 19
-
28
Evan Ferguson ↓ Deniz Undav 69'
- 40
Bench
- 4
-
18
Danny Welbeck ↑ 78'
-
34
Joel Veltman ↑ 69'
- 1
- –
-
21
Deniz Undav ↑ 69'
-
11
Julio Enciso ↑ 75'
- 59
- 8
Coach
Roberto De Zerbi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evan Ferguson | 2 |
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| Lewis Baker | 1 |
| Lewis Dunk | 1 |
| Pervis Estupinan | 1 |
Stoke City FC Form
Brighton & Hove Albion FC Form
2023-02-28
Stoke City FC
0–1
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
W
2023-02-18
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
0–1
Fulham FC
L
2023-02-11
Crystal Palace FC
1–1
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
D
2023-02-04
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
1–0
AFC Bournemouth
W
2023-01-29
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
2–1
Liverpool FC
W
2023-01-21
Leicester City FC
2–2
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.86
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 71% + Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.89
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 2.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
71%
Stoke City FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
67%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.7%
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 2
7.6%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
3.1%
0 – 3
2.6%
1 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
1.6%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 18% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 22% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

