Stoke City FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

Championship · 2024-25

Stoke City FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Luton Town FC

Tue 8 Apr 2025 · 18:45 UTC Bet365 Stadium 21,226 HT 45' · FT 45'

Lewis Baker 74' 1–0

1–1 90+1' Millenic Alli

Y 4' Mark McGuinness

Y 42' Carlton Morris

Junior Tchamadeu 47' Y

Joon-ho Bae 50' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.

Stoke City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Dean Whitestone
Assistant 1 James Wilson
Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt

8 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 8.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Stoke City FC 10 games · Avg 2.2 goals Luton Town FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-08 Stoke City FC 1–1 Luton Town FC 2024-12-10 Luton Town FC 2–1 Stoke City FC 2023-02-04 Luton Town FC 1–0 Stoke City FC 2022-11-08 Stoke City FC 2–0 Luton Town FC 2022-02-23 Stoke City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Apr	Luton Town FC	H	1–1	D
05 Apr	Preston North End FC	A	1–1	D
29 Mar	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	3–1	W
15 Mar	Millwall FC	A	0–1	L
12 Mar	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	1–0	W
08 Mar	Coventry City FC	A	2–3	L

Luton Town FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Apr	Stoke City FC	A	1–1	D
05 Apr	Leeds United FC	H	1–1	D
29 Mar	Hull City AFC	A	1–0	W
15 Mar	Middlesbrough FC	H	0–0	D
11 Mar	Cardiff City FC	A	2–1	W
08 Mar	Burnley FC	A	0–4	L

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC

0-15

4/2

16-30

5/3

31-45

4/–

46-60

4/3

61-75

1/3

76+

4/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stoke City FC

Jack McGlynn	5 G	2 A
Ethan Galbraith	4 G	4 A
Eric Bocat	2 G	2 A
Sam Gallagher	2 G	1 A
Justin Devenny	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Stoke City FC launch into their encounter with Luton Town FC.
4' That looks like a foul for a card for Mark McGuinness.
9' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
14' It’s high time Matt Bloomfield made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
17' A tactical swap from Luton Town FC — Millenic Alli on, Alfie Doughty off on 17 minutes.
22' The 24-year-old Thelo Aasgaard has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
27' It looks surprising Luton Town FC does not make any changes. Lewis Baker has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
32' The home supporters are growing impatient. Stoke City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
37' Supporters expect more eagerness from Millenic Alli, as he is very good at scoring at Bet365 Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
42' Carlton Morris catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 42.
47' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Junior Tchamadeu.
50' It’s gonna be a card for Joon-ho Bae.
55' With 0 assists to his name this season, Viktor Johansson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Luton Town FC.
60' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Matt Bloomfield will be considering his options from the bench.
62' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Million Manhoef is replaced by Ali Al-Hamadi.
67' Luton Town FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
70' Luton Town FC make a change. Carlton Morris trudges off to be replaced by Lasse Nordas on 70 minutes.
74' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lewis Baker makes it 1-0.
79' Jordan Thompson, a Northern Ireland , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
82' A change in the Luton Town FC ranks — Tahith Chong exits the field as Josh Bowler enters on 82.
86' Fresh legs for Stoke City FC! Lewis Koumas comes on to replace Sam Gallagher.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mark Robins

Luton Town FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

23
Tim Krul
16
Reece Burke ↑ 70'
12
Kal Naismith
47
Josh Bowler ↑ 82'
15
Teden Mengi
44
Lasse Nordas ↑ 70'
22
Lamine Dabo ↑ 70'
21
Millenic Alli ↑ 17'

Coach Matt Bloomfield

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nick Powell	4
Lewis Baker	2
Joe Allen	2
Steven Fletcher	2
Jacob Brown	1
Danny Hylton	1
Cameron Jerome	1
Tom Lockyer	1

Head to Head

Stoke City FC Form

2025-04-08 Stoke City FC 1–1 Luton Town FC D 2025-04-05 Preston North End FC 1–1 Stoke City FC D 2025-03-29 Stoke City FC 3–1 Queens Park Rangers FC W 2025-03-15 Millwall FC 1–0 Stoke City FC L 2025-03-12 Stoke City FC 1–0 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2025-03-08 Coventry City FC 3–2 Stoke City FC L

Luton Town FC Form

2025-04-08 Stoke City FC 1–1 Luton Town FC D 2025-04-05 Luton Town FC 1–1 Leeds United FC D 2025-03-29 Hull City AFC 0–1 Luton Town FC W 2025-03-15 Luton Town FC 0–0 Middlesbrough FC D 2025-03-11 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC W 2025-03-08 Burnley FC 4–0 Luton Town FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.31 Stoke City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.05 Luton Town FC xG

I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Stoke City FC40% Draw30% Luton Town FC30%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.36

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw

70%

Draw or Luton Town FC

60%

Stoke City FC or Luton Town FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Stoke City FC29% Draw50% Luton Town FC21%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

11.6%

1 – 0

11.2%

0 – 1

8.7%

2 – 1

8.2%

2 – 0

7.8%

1 – 2

6.6%

0 – 2

2 – 2

4.4%

3 – 1

3.6%

3 – 0

3.4%

1 – 3

2.3%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap	Stoke City FC covers	Push	Luton Town FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	22%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	17%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.