Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Stoke City FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Stoke City FC
1 – 1
Full Time
Luton Town FC
Tue 8 Apr 2025 · 18:45 UTC Bet365 Stadium 21,226 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lewis Baker 74' 1–0
1–1 90+1' Millenic Alli
Y 4' Mark McGuinness
Y 42' Carlton Morris
Junior Tchamadeu 47' Y
Joon-ho Bae 50' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Dean Whitestone
  • Assistant 1 James Wilson
  • Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Swansea City AFC 8 17
2 West Ham United FC 8 15
3 Middlesbrough FC 8 15
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 7 14
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 8 14
6 Queens Park Rangers FC 8 13
7 Stoke City FC 8 13
8 Bristol City FC 8 13
9 Charlton Athletic FC 8 12
10 Birmingham City FC 8 11
11 Millwall FC 8 11
12 Lincoln City FC 8 11
13 Southampton FC 8 10
14 Wrexham AFC 8 10
15 Bolton Wanderers FC 8 10
16 Blackburn Rovers FC 8 9
17 Norwich City FC 8 9
18 Sheffield United FC 8 9
19 Portsmouth FC 7 8
20 Watford FC 8 8
21 Cardiff City FC 8 7
22 Derby County FC 8 5
23 Preston North End FC 8 4
24 Burnley FC 8 4

Head-to-Head

5
2
3
Stoke City FC 10 games · Avg 2.2 goals Luton Town FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-08 Stoke City FC 1–1 Luton Town FC 2024-12-10 Luton Town FC 2–1 Stoke City FC 2023-02-04 Luton Town FC 1–0 Stoke City FC 2022-11-08 Stoke City FC 2–0 Luton Town FC 2022-02-23 Stoke City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Apr Luton Town FC H 1–1 D
05 Apr Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
29 Mar Queens Park Rangers FC H 3–1 W
15 Mar Millwall FC A 0–1 L
12 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–0 W
08 Mar Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
Luton Town FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Apr Stoke City FC A 1–1 D
05 Apr Leeds United FC H 1–1 D
29 Mar Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
15 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 0–0 D
11 Mar Cardiff City FC A 2–1 W
08 Mar Burnley FC A 0–4 L

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 1 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Bet365 Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Stoke City FC and Luton Town FC.
  • 4' A moment of madness from Mark McGuinness on 4 minutes earns him a card. Luton Town FC will be frustrated.
  • 9' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 14' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jordan Clark, as he is very good at scoring at Bet365 Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 17' The whistle greets Alfie Doughty as he departs to be replaced by Millenic Alli.
  • 22' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Stoke City FC and Luton Town FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 27' Carlton Morris has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 32' It looks like no one’s ball. Luton Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 37' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 42' Carlton Morris was booked on 42.
  • 47' It’s a booking for Stoke City FC player. Junior Tchamadeu gets a card.
  • 50' It’s gonna be a card for Joon-ho Bae.
  • 55' Luton Town FC is showing some good football. However, Luton Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 60' Luton Town FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 62' The whistle greets Million Manhoef as he departs to be replaced by Ali Al-Hamadi.
  • 67' Stoke City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 70' Lasse Nordas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Carlton Morris on 70 minute.
  • 74' Magnificent from Lewis Baker! That is 32 goals in 363 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 79' The 29-year-old Liam Walsh has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 82' Fresh legs for Luton Town FC! Josh Bowler comes on to replace Tahith Chong.
  • 86' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Sam Gallagher is replaced by Lewis Koumas.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mark Robins

Luton Town FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Matt Bloomfield

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Nick Powell 4
Steven Fletcher 2
Lewis Baker 2
Joe Allen 2
Millenic Alli 1
Jacob Brown 1
Danny Hylton 1
Cameron Jerome 1

Head to Head

2025-04-08 Stoke City FC 1–1 Luton Town FC 2024-12-10 Luton Town FC 2–1 Stoke City FC 2023-02-04 Luton Town FC 1–0 Stoke City FC 2022-11-08 Stoke City FC 2–0 Luton Town FC 2022-02-23 Stoke City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC

Stoke City FC Form

2025-04-08 Stoke City FC 1–1 Luton Town FC D 2025-04-05 Preston North End FC 1–1 Stoke City FC D 2025-03-29 Stoke City FC 3–1 Queens Park Rangers FC W 2025-03-15 Millwall FC 1–0 Stoke City FC L 2025-03-12 Stoke City FC 1–0 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2025-03-08 Coventry City FC 3–2 Stoke City FC L

Luton Town FC Form

2025-04-08 Stoke City FC 1–1 Luton Town FC D 2025-04-05 Luton Town FC 1–1 Leeds United FC D 2025-03-29 Hull City AFC 0–1 Luton Town FC W 2025-03-15 Luton Town FC 0–0 Middlesbrough FC D 2025-03-11 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC W 2025-03-08 Burnley FC 4–0 Luton Town FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.31 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC40% Draw30% Luton Town FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Luton Town FC
60%
Stoke City FC or Luton Town FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC29% Draw50% Luton Town FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.6%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.