Monday , 27 July 2026

Stoke City FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Stoke City FC
1 – 1
Full Time
Luton Town FC
Tue 8 Apr 2025 · 18:45 UTC Bet365 Stadium 21,226 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lewis Baker 74' 1–0
1–1 90+1' Millenic Alli
Y 4' Mark McGuinness
Y 42' Carlton Morris
Junior Tchamadeu 47' Y
Joon-ho Bae 50' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Dean Whitestone
  • Assistant 1 James Wilson
  • Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Hull City AFC 46 73
4 Oxford United FC 46 47
5 Leicester City FC 46 46
6 Millwall FC 0 0
7 Southampton FC 0 0
8 Middlesbrough FC 0 0
9 Wrexham AFC 0 0
10 Derby County FC 0 0
11 Norwich City FC 0 0
12 Birmingham City FC 0 0
13 Swansea City AFC 0 0
14 Bristol City FC 0 0
15 Sheffield United FC 0 0
16 Preston North End FC 0 0
17 Queens Park Rangers FC 0 0
18 Watford FC 0 0
19 Stoke City FC 0 0
20 Portsmouth FC 0 0
21 Charlton Athletic FC 0 0
22 Blackburn Rovers FC 0 0
23 West Bromwich Albion FC 0 0
24 Burnley FC 0 0
25 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 0 0
26 Cardiff City FC 0 0
27 West Ham United FC 0 0
28 Bolton Wanderers FC 0 0
29 Lincoln City FC 0 0
30 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

5
2
3
Stoke City FC 10 games · Avg 2.2 goals Luton Town FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-08 Stoke City FC 1–1 Luton Town FC 2024-12-10 Luton Town FC 2–1 Stoke City FC 2023-02-04 Luton Town FC 1–0 Stoke City FC 2022-11-08 Stoke City FC 2–0 Luton Town FC 2022-02-23 Stoke City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Apr Luton Town FC H 1–1 D
05 Apr Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
29 Mar Queens Park Rangers FC H 3–1 W
15 Mar Millwall FC A 0–1 L
12 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–0 W
08 Mar Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
Luton Town FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Apr Stoke City FC A 1–1 D
05 Apr Leeds United FC H 1–1 D
29 Mar Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
15 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 0–0 D
11 Mar Cardiff City FC A 2–1 W
08 Mar Burnley FC A 0–4 L

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Stoke City FC launch into their encounter with Luton Town FC.
  • 4' That looks like a foul for a card for Mark McGuinness.
  • 9' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Stoke City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 14' The home supporters are growing impatient. Stoke City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 17' Luton Town FC ring the changes. Alfie Doughty has done his job and it is now time for Millenic Alli to step up.
  • 22' Luton Town FC come into this ranked 23 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 27' Josh Bowler, a England , has 15 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 32' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mark Robins will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 37' Stoke City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 42' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Carlton Morris.
  • 47' It’s a booking for Stoke City FC player. Junior Tchamadeu gets a card.
  • 50' It’s gonna be a card for Joon-ho Bae.
  • 55' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 60' It is a cagey affair so far. Stoke City FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Luton Town FC's compact 3-5-2.
  • 62' Ali Al-Hamadi is replacing Million Manhoef for the Stoke City FC side.
  • 67' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Luton Town FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 70' Lasse Nordas is ready to make an impact after coming on for Carlton Morris at the 70 minute mark.
  • 74' Lewis Baker adds to his 0 season tally! Stoke City FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 79' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 82' Fresh legs for Luton Town FC! Josh Bowler comes on to replace Tahith Chong.
  • 86' A tactical swap from Stoke City FC — Lewis Koumas on, Sam Gallagher off on 86 minutes.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Stoke City FC 1-1 Luton Town FC.

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mark Robins

Luton Town FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Matt Bloomfield

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Nick Powell 4
Joe Allen 2
Steven Fletcher 2
Lewis Baker 2
Tom Lockyer 1
Pelly Ruddock 1
James McClean 1
Thomas Cannon 1

Head to Head

2025-04-08 Stoke City FC 1–1 Luton Town FC 2024-12-10 Luton Town FC 2–1 Stoke City FC 2023-02-04 Luton Town FC 1–0 Stoke City FC 2022-11-08 Stoke City FC 2–0 Luton Town FC 2022-02-23 Stoke City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC

Stoke City FC Form

2025-04-08 Stoke City FC 1–1 Luton Town FC D 2025-04-05 Preston North End FC 1–1 Stoke City FC D 2025-03-29 Stoke City FC 3–1 Queens Park Rangers FC W 2025-03-15 Millwall FC 1–0 Stoke City FC L 2025-03-12 Stoke City FC 1–0 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2025-03-08 Coventry City FC 3–2 Stoke City FC L

Luton Town FC Form

2025-04-08 Stoke City FC 1–1 Luton Town FC D 2025-04-05 Luton Town FC 1–1 Leeds United FC D 2025-03-29 Hull City AFC 0–1 Luton Town FC W 2025-03-15 Luton Town FC 0–0 Middlesbrough FC D 2025-03-11 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC W 2025-03-08 Burnley FC 4–0 Luton Town FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.31 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC40% Draw30% Luton Town FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Luton Town FC
60%
Stoke City FC or Luton Town FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC29% Draw50% Luton Town FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.6%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.