Thursday , 2 July 2026

Leeds United FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 23 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC Elland Road HT 45' · FT 45'
Joel Piroe 67' 1–0
Sam Byram 70' 2–0
Jaidon Anthony 89' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Watford FCChampionship at Elland Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeremy Simpson
  • Assistant 1 Jonathan Hunt
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep Watford FC H 3–0 W
20 Sep Hull City AFC A 0–0 D
17 Sep Millwall FC A 3–0 W
02 Sep Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–0 D
26 Aug Ipswich Town FC A 4–3 W
18 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep Leeds United FC A 0–3 L
20 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–2 D
16 Sep Birmingham City FC H 2–0 W
02 Sep Coventry City FC A 3–3 D
27 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L
19 Aug Stoke City FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Elland Road!
  • 5' Leeds United FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Watford FC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 10' Watford FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ismael Kone suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 30' Watford FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Daniel Farke might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 39' The referee calls foul for Georginio Rutter. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 43' Watford FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 43.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Vakoun Bayo comes on to replace Matheus Martins.
  • 51' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 56' Mileta Rajovic is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Watford FC so far.
  • 61' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 66' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 358 games and scored 391 goals.
  • 67' Daniel Bachmann was booked on 67.
  • 67' Assisted by Daniel James with the perfectly-timed delivery and Joel Piroe makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 69' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Imran Louza exits the field as Yaser Asprilla enters on 69.
  • 70' Sam Byram makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Leeds United FC are in front.
  • 75' It looks like no one’s ball. Watford FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 80' The Leeds United FC manager makes a substitution. Crysencio Summerville departs to be replaced by Jaidon Anthony.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Giorgi Chakvetadze. He replaces Jamal Lewis on 81 minute.
  • 85' Fresh legs for Leeds United FC! Archie Gray comes on to replace Joel Piroe.
  • 87' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Vakoun Bayo on 87 minutes.
  • 88' Vakoun Bayo is having his name booked by the referee on 88.
  • 89' What composure from Jaidon Anthony! The England international strokes it home. 3-0.
  • 90' Glen Kamara makes way for Ilia Gruev at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Leeds United FC.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.79 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Leeds United FC to win 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC63% Draw23% Watford FC14%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Watford FC
37%
Leeds United FC or Watford FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC43% Draw46% Watford FC11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14%
2 – 0
12.8%
1 – 1
11.2%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
4.9%
1 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3.4%
2 – 2
3.2%
4 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 19% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 25% 38%
-0.5 62% 38%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
50%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.