Saturday , 22 August 2026

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Fenerbahce SK, Champions League Q 2025 PLAYOFFS

Wed 27 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC Estadio da Luz HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Fenerbahce SKChampions League Q at Estadio da Luz.

Match Details

  • Referee Slavko Vincic
18 games this season 🟨 3.1/game 10.0 goals/game 🟥 5 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug Fenerbahce SK H 1–0 W
23 Aug CD Tondela H 3–0 W
20 Aug Fenerbahce SK A 0–0 D
16 Aug CF Estrela da Amadora A 1–0 W
12 Aug OGC Nice H 2–0 W
06 Aug OGC Nice A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–1 L
20 Aug Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–0 D
12 Aug Feyenoord Rotterdam H 5–2 W
06 Aug Feyenoord Rotterdam A 1–2 L
13 Mar Rangers FC A 4–3 W
06 Mar Rangers FC H 1–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
67% Clean Sheets
Fenerbahce SK this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fenerbahce SK
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45 Sport Lisboa e Benfica xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Fenerbahce SK xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sport Lisboa e Benfica52% Draw27% Fenerbahce SK21%
Actual: Sport Lisboa e Benfica win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Sport Lisboa e Benfica or Draw
79%
Draw or Fenerbahce SK
48%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica or Fenerbahce SK
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sport Lisboa e Benfica33% Draw49% Fenerbahce SK18%
Actual: Sport Lisboa e Benfica win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Handicap Sport Lisboa e Benfica covers Push Fenerbahce SK covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Sport Lisboa e Benfica keeps clean sheet
40%
Fenerbahce SK keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.