Wednesday , 30 September 2026

OGC Nice vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Champions League Q 2025 ROUND 3

Wed 6 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC Allianz Riviera HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

OGC Nice vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica — Champions League Q at Allianz Riviera.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
17 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

2
OGC Nice 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–2 L
17 May Stade Brestois 29 H 6–0 W
10 May Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–2 L
02 May Stade de Reims H 1–0 W
25 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC A 3–1 W
20 Apr Angers SCO H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug OGC Nice A 2–0 W
28 Jun Chelsea FC H 1–4 L
24 Jun FC Bayern München H 1–0 W
20 Jun Auckland City FC H 6–0 W
16 Jun CA Boca Juniors A 2–2 D
17 May Sporting Clube de Braga A 1–1 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — OGC Nice and Sport Lisboa e Benfica get this one started.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Franjo Ivanovic made 241 appearances and scored 25 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dante suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' OGC Nice are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sport Lisboa e Benfica's shape.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sport Lisboa e Benfica needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 28' A change in the OGC Nice ranks — Morgan Sanson exits the field as Tom Louchet enters on 28.
  • 30' The referee calls foul for Abdulay Bah. He receives a card.
  • 33' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Andreas Schjelderup.
  • 38' OGC Nice are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 43' Sport Lisboa e Benfica are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 46' Kojo Peprah Oppong is replacing Dante for the OGC Nice side.
  • 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both OGC Nice and Sport Lisboa e Benfica are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 53' Franjo Ivanovic doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 58' Anatolii Trubin is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for OGC Nice tonight.
  • 63' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 66' Gianluca Prestianni is replacing Andreas Schjelderup for the Sport Lisboa e Benfica side.
  • 71' Sport Lisboa e Benfica started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 71.
  • 76' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 77' A tactical swap from Sport Lisboa e Benfica — Florentino on, Enzo Barrenechea off on 77 minutes.
  • 79' Tom Louchet has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 79.
  • 79' Sofiane Diop gets the nod from OGC Nice. He replaces Badredine Bouanani and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' OGC Nice is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 85' Antoine Mendy picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 88' GOAL! Florentino fires home to make it 0-2!
  • 89' Bernard Jordan Nguene gets the nod from OGC Nice. He replaces Terem Moffi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • It finishes all square. OGC Nice and Sport Lisboa e Benfica share the spoils 0-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14 OGC Nice xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Sport Lisboa e Benfica xG
I would bet for: OGC Nice or Sport Lisboa e Benfica 70% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
OGC Nice32% Draw30% Sport Lisboa e Benfica38%
Actual: Sport Lisboa e Benfica win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

OGC Nice or Draw
62%
Draw or Sport Lisboa e Benfica
68%
OGC Nice or Sport Lisboa e Benfica
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
OGC Nice22% Draw49% Sport Lisboa e Benfica29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.5%
0 – 1
10.2%
1 – 0
8.4%
1 – 2
8.3%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.7%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — OGC Nice

Handicap OGC Nice covers Push Sport Lisboa e Benfica covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 18% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 21% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Sport Lisboa e Benfica keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.