Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs OGC Nice, Champions League Q 2025 ROUND 3

Tue 12 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC Estadio da Luz HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs OGC Nice — Champions League Q at Estadio da Luz.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Guida
5 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 11.2 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals OGC Nice

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug OGC Nice H 2–0 W
06 Aug OGC Nice A 2–0 W
28 Jun Chelsea FC H 1–4 L
24 Jun FC Bayern München H 1–0 W
20 Jun Auckland City FC H 6–0 W
16 Jun CA Boca Juniors A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–2 L
06 Aug Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–2 L
17 May Stade Brestois 29 H 6–0 W
10 May Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–2 L
02 May Stade de Reims H 1–0 W
25 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC A 3–1 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Sport Lisboa e Benfica host OGC Nice — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sport Lisboa e Benfica must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' Sport Lisboa e Benfica is showing some good football. However, Sport Lisboa e Benfica are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' OGC Nice is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 18' The Norway Fredrik Aursnes breaks the deadlock on 18 minutes. 1-0!
  • 23' OGC Nice seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 27' What a strike from Andreas Schjelderup! The score is 2-0.
  • 32' The travelling OGC Nice supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 37' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sport Lisboa e Benfica needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 42' Vangelis Pavlidis is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sport Lisboa e Benfica so far.
  • 47' Kojo Peprah Oppong has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 6 appearances.
  • 52' It looks surprising OGC Nice does not make any changes. Tom Louchet has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 57' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 62' With 0 assists to his name this season, Antoine Mendy is clearly more than just a goal scorer for OGC Nice.
  • 67' The 23-year-old Samuel Dahl has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 72' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 77' OGC Nice come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 82' Richard Rios is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sport Lisboa e Benfica tonight.
  • 87' Sport Lisboa e Benfica currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.7 Sport Lisboa e Benfica xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 OGC Nice xG
I would bet for: Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win 59% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sport Lisboa e Benfica59% Draw25% OGC Nice16%
Actual: Sport Lisboa e Benfica win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Sport Lisboa e Benfica or Draw
84%
Draw or OGC Nice
41%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica or OGC Nice
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sport Lisboa e Benfica40% Draw47% OGC Nice13%
Actual: Sport Lisboa e Benfica win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.2%
1 – 1
12%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
6.4%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
3.7%
4 – 0
2.7%
0 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Handicap Sport Lisboa e Benfica covers Push OGC Nice covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 18% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 25% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Sport Lisboa e Benfica keeps clean sheet
45% ✗
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.