Wednesday , 30 September 2026

US Catanzaro vs Spezia Calcio, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
Sat 21 Dec 2024 · 16:15 UTC Nicola Ceravolo 8,893 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 18' Francesco Esposito

Overview

Match Preview

US Catanzaro vs Spezia Calcio — Serie B at Nicola Ceravolo.

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marchetti (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Marco Ricci (Italy)
  • Assistant 2 Andrea Niedda (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Spezia Calcio H 0–1 L
15 Dec Palermo FC A 2–1 W
08 Dec Brescia Calcio H 2–1 W
30 Nov UC Sampdoria A 3–3 D
23 Nov Mantova 1911 SSD H 2–2 D
10 Nov AC Reggiana A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec US Catanzaro A 1–0 W
14 Dec UC Sampdoria A 0–0 D
08 Dec AS Cittadella H 5–0 W
01 Dec Palermo FC A 0–2 L
24 Nov FC Südtirol H 3–0 W
10 Nov SS Juve Stabia A 3–0 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
US Catanzaro this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

US Catanzaro
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/–
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.16 US Catanzaro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: US Catanzaro or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
US Catanzaro37% Draw32% Spezia Calcio31%
Actual: Spezia Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

US Catanzaro or Draw
69%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
63%
US Catanzaro or Spezia Calcio
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
US Catanzaro26% Draw53% Spezia Calcio21%
Actual: Spezia Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 0
12.2%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — US Catanzaro

Handicap US Catanzaro covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 22% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

US Catanzaro keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
32% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.