Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs Sparta Rotterdam, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs Sparta RotterdamEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
7 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Sparta Rotterdam H 3–0 W
20 Sep NAC Breda A 1–2 L
14 Sep AZ H 1–2 L
29 Aug FC Groningen A 0–4 L
24 Aug AFC Ajax A 0–2 L
16 Aug NEC H 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Heracles Almelo A 0–3 L
19 Sep FC Twente '65 H 1–5 L
14 Sep SBV Excelsior A 1–0 W
31 Aug Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–4 L
23 Aug Go Ahead Eagles A 3–0 W
17 Aug FC Utrecht H 2–1 W

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
27% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Heracles Almelo to score. At the same time, Sparta Rotterdam does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • The final score is 3-0.

Lineups

Heracles Almelo Lineups

Sparta Rotterdam Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.4 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Sparta Rotterdam xG
I would bet for: Heracles Almelo or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo45% Draw28% Sparta Rotterdam27%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
73%
Draw or Sparta Rotterdam
55%
Heracles Almelo or Sparta Rotterdam
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo31% Draw49% Sparta Rotterdam20%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 0
8.2%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push Sparta Rotterdam covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
35%
Sparta Rotterdam keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.