Sunday , 16 August 2026

Southampton FC vs Arsenal FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sun 25 May 2025 · 15:00 UTC Saint Mary's 31,289 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 43' Kieran Tierney
Ross Stewart 56' 1–1
1–2 89' Martin Odegaard

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Arsenal FCPremier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren Bond
  • Assistant 1 Marc Perry
  • Assistant 2 George Byrne

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Arsenal FC H 1–2 L
18 May Everton FC A 0–2 L
10 May Manchester City FC H 0–0 D
03 May Leicester City FC A 0–2 L
26 Apr Fulham FC H 1–2 L
19 Apr West Ham United FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Southampton FC A 2–1 W
18 May Newcastle United FC H 1–0 W
11 May Liverpool FC A 2–2 D
07 May Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–2 L
03 May AFC Bournemouth H 1–2 L
29 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Southampton FC vs Arsenal FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Arsenal FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' Ross Stewart has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mikel Arteta might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 30' Martinelli has been relatively quiet despite scoring 66 goals in his last 81 appearances.
  • 35' Southampton FC are deployed in a 5-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against Arsenal FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 40' Nathan Wood-Gordon needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 43' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kieran Tierney makes it 0-1.
  • 48' Martin Odegaard, a Norway , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 53' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 56' What a strike from Ross Stewart! The score is 1-1.
  • 61' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ethan Nwaneri, as he is very good at scoring at Saint Mary's with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 63' Bukayo Saka is ready to make an impact after coming on for Raheem Sterling at the 63 minute mark.
  • 68' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Southampton FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 70' The Southampton FC manager makes a substitution. Ross Stewart departs to be replaced by Paul Onuachu.
  • 71' Arsenal FC ring the changes. Martinelli has done his job and it is now time for Kai Havertz to step up.
  • 75' Ethan Nwaneri makes way for Martin Odegaard at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Arsenal FC.
  • 78' A change in the Southampton FC ranks — Kamal Deen Sulemana exits the field as Cameron Archer enters on 78.
  • 79' Southampton FC make a change. Jay Robinson trudges off to be replaced by William Smallbone on 79 minutes.
  • 84' It looks surprising Arsenal FC does not make any changes. Aaron Ramsdale has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 86' The Southampton FC bench stirs into life. Chimuanya Ugochukwu is withdrawn and Joachim Kayi Sanda gets his opportunity.
  • 89' Martin Odegaard is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • It finishes all square. Southampton FC and Arsenal FC share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Arsenal FC 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC33% Draw29% Arsenal FC38%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Arsenal FC
67%
Southampton FC or Arsenal FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC25% Draw47% Arsenal FC28%
Actual: Arsenal FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.