Sunday , 16 August 2026

Southampton FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 24 Aug 2024 · 14:00 UTC Saint Mary's 31,150 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 70' Morgan Gibbs-White

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Nottingham Forest FCPremier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Barrott (England)
  • Assistant 1 Tim Wood
  • Assistant 2 Simon Long

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Nottingham Forest FC H 0–1 L
17 Aug Newcastle United FC A 0–1 L
26 May Leeds United FC A 1–0 W
17 May West Bromwich Albion FC H 3–1 W
12 May West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
04 May Leeds United FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Southampton FC A 1–0 W
17 Aug AFC Bournemouth H 1–1 D
19 May Burnley FC A 2–1 W
11 May Chelsea FC H 2–3 L
04 May Sheffield United FC A 3–1 W
28 Apr Manchester City FC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Saint Mary's. Southampton FC are looking to make home advantage count against Nottingham Forest FC.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 11' That looks like a foul for a card for Adam Armstrong.
  • 16' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 21' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 26' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 29' The referee calls foul for Flynn Downes. He receives a card.
  • 34' Both keepers have barely been tested. Southampton FC and Nottingham Forest FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 39' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Southampton FC and Nottingham Forest FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 44' Southampton FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
  • 49' Over 49 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 54' That looks like a foul for a card for Ibrahim Sangare.
  • 59' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 61' The referee has no hesitation. Chris Wood is booked for Nottingham Forest FC — card on 61.
  • 66' The Nottingham Forest FC manager makes a substitution. Ibrahim Sangare departs to be replaced by Ryan Yates.
  • 70' Morgan Gibbs-White is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Samuel Edozie. He replaces Adam Armstrong on 72 minute.
  • 75' Nottingham Forest FC make a change. Elliot Anderson trudges off to be replaced by Nicolas Dominguez on 75 minutes.
  • 76' Taylor Harwood-Bellis makes way for Charlie Taylor at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Southampton FC.
  • 81' Southampton FC are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against Nottingham Forest FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 82' That looks like a foul for a card for Jan Bednarek.
  • 84' Southampton FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tyler Dibling is hanging William Smallbone on the field on 84 minute.
  • 88' Poor challenge from Nicolas Dominguez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Nottingham Forest FCJota Silva on, Morgan Gibbs-White off on 90 minutes.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Nottingham Forest FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Nottingham Forest FC 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC31% Draw30% Nottingham Forest FC39%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
69%
Southampton FC or Nottingham Forest FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC22% Draw49% Nottingham Forest FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
8.1%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.9%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 21% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.