Southampton FC vs Newcastle United FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2024-25

Southampton FC

1 – 3

Full Time

Newcastle United FC

Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Saint Mary's 31,141 HT 45' · FT 45'

Jan Bednarek 10' 1–0

1–1 26' Alexander Isak pen

1–2 30' Alexander Isak

1–3 51' Sandro Tonali

Mateus Fernandes 21' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Newcastle United FC — Premier League at Saint Mary's.

Southampton FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Newcastle United FC 5 games · 8 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Sam Barrott (England)
Assistant 1 Lee Betts
Assistant 2 Wade Smith

5 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 11.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Manchester City FC	5	15
2	Arsenal FC	5	12
3	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	5	10
4	Brentford FC	5	9
5	Leeds United FC	5	9
6	Liverpool FC	5	9
7	Everton FC	5	9
8	Hull City AFC	5	8
9	Newcastle United FC	5	8
10	Chelsea FC	5	7
11	Ipswich Town FC	5	6
12	Manchester United FC	5	5
13	Nottingham Forest FC	5	5
14	Sunderland AFC	5	4
15	Crystal Palace FC	5	4
16	Aston Villa FC	5	4
17	AFC Bournemouth	5	3
18	Coventry City FC	5	3
19	Fulham FC	5	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur FC	5	2

Head-to-Head

Southampton FC 12 games · Avg 3.0 goals Newcastle United FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-25 Southampton FC 1–3 Newcastle United FC 2024-08-17 Newcastle United FC 1–0 Southampton FC 2023-04-30 Newcastle United FC 3–1 Southampton FC 2022-11-06 Southampton FC 1–4 Newcastle United FC 2022-03-10 Southampton FC 1–2 Newcastle United FC

Recent Form

Southampton FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	Newcastle United FC	H	1–3	L
19 Jan	Nottingham Forest FC	A	2–3	L
16 Jan	Manchester United FC	A	1–3	L
12 Jan	Swansea City AFC	H	3–0	W
04 Jan	Brentford FC	H	0–5	L
29 Dec	Crystal Palace FC	A	1–2	L

Newcastle United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	Southampton FC	A	3–1	W
18 Jan	AFC Bournemouth	H	1–4	L
15 Jan	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	H	3–0	W
12 Jan	Bromley FC	H	3–1	W
04 Jan	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	2–1	W
30 Dec	Manchester United FC	A	2–0	W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Newcastle United FC

0-15

3/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/2

46-60

1/2

61-75

2/1

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC

Joe Willock	2 G
Anthony Elanga	2 G
Yoane Wissa	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Saint Mary's will turn into a battlefield for Southampton FC and Newcastle United FC.
5' Newcastle United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
10' Jan Bednarek adds to his 1 season tally! Southampton FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
20' Newcastle United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
21' It’s a booking for Southampton FC player. Mateus Fernandes gets a card.
26' What a moment for Alexander Isak! That strike on 26 puts his side firmly in control.
30' Sensational shot from Alexander Isak. Newcastle United FC is back in the lead.
35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
45' Lewis Hall is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for Newcastle United FC tonight.
50' Newcastle United FC come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
51' The deadlock is broken! Sandro Tonali gets on the scoresheet on 51 minutes.
56' The travelling Newcastle United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
60' The Southampton FC bench stirs into life. Adam Armstrong is withdrawn and Cameron Archer gets his opportunity.
65' It looks like no one’s ball. Newcastle United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
70' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
75' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. James Bree made 361 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
79' Another substitution for Newcastle United FC to replace Bruno Guimaraes by Lewis Miley on 79 minute.
80' Southampton FC make a change. Chimuanya Ugochukwu trudges off to be replaced by William Smallbone on 80 minutes.
85' Newcastle United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
88' Newcastle United FC make a change. Anthony Gordon trudges off to be replaced by Miguel Almiron on 88 minutes.
89' The crowd applauds Joe Aribo as he leaves the pitch. Adam Lallana steps in for Southampton FC.
90' The Newcastle United FC manager makes a substitution. Jacob Murphy departs to be replaced by Sean Longstaff.
The points are shared — Southampton FC 1-3 Newcastle United FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

1
Alex McCarthy
35
Jan Bednarek
2
Kyle Walker-Peters
14
James Bree ↓ Ryan Fraser 88'
7
Joe Aribo ↓ Adam Lallana 89'
9
Adam Armstrong ↓ Cameron Archer 60'
3
Ryan Manning ↓ Yukinari Sugawara 60'
32
Paul Onuachu
6
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
26
Chimuanya Ugochukwu ↓ William Smallbone 80'
18
Mateus Fernandes

Bench

Coach Ivan Juric

Newcastle United FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

25
Lloyd Kelly
22
Nick Pope
36
Sean Longstaff ↑ 90'
2
Kieran Trippier
24
Miguel Almiron ↑ 88'
28
Joe Willock ↑ 79'
4
Sven Botman
18
William Osula
67
Lewis Miley ↑ 79'

Coach Eddie Howe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Callum Wilson	4
Stuart Armstrong	4
Bruno Guimaraes	3
Miguel Almiron	3
Ayoze Perez	3
Allan Saint-Maximin	2
Chris Wood	2
Joe Willock	2

Head to Head

Southampton FC Form

2025-01-25 Southampton FC 1–3 Newcastle United FC L 2025-01-19 Nottingham Forest FC 3–2 Southampton FC L 2025-01-16 Manchester United FC 3–1 Southampton FC L 2025-01-12 Southampton FC 3–0 Swansea City AFC W 2025-01-04 Southampton FC 0–5 Brentford FC L 2024-12-29 Crystal Palace FC 2–1 Southampton FC L

Newcastle United FC Form

2025-01-25 Southampton FC 1–3 Newcastle United FC W 2025-01-18 Newcastle United FC 1–4 AFC Bournemouth L 2025-01-15 Newcastle United FC 3–0 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC W 2025-01-12 Newcastle United FC 3–1 Bromley FC W 2025-01-04 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1–2 Newcastle United FC W 2024-12-30 Manchester United FC 0–2 Newcastle United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.14 Southampton FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.87 Newcastle United FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Southampton FC23% Draw25% Newcastle United FC52%

Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 3.01

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw

47%

Draw or Newcastle United FC

77%

Southampton FC or Newcastle United FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Southampton FC18% Draw43% Newcastle United FC39%

Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.4%

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 2

8.5%

0 – 1

8.5%

0 – 0

6.6%

1 – 3

Actual

2 – 1

5.8%

2 – 2

5.4%

0 – 3

5.2%

1 – 0

4.8%

2 – 3

3.4%

2 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap	Southampton FC covers	Push	Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	13%	78%
-0.5	22%	—	78%
+0.5	47%	—	53%
+1	47%	22%	31%
+1.5	69%	—	31%
+2	69%	16%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.