Sunday , 16 August 2026

Southampton FC vs Newcastle United FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Sun 6 Nov 2022 · 14:00 UTC St. Mary's Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Romeo Lavia 75' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Newcastle United FCPremier League at St. Mary's Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Steve Meredith
  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Referee Harry Lennard
  • Referee Darren Cann
  • Referee Simon Hooper
  • Referee Mike Dean

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Nov Newcastle United FC H 1–4 L
29 Oct Crystal Palace FC A 0–1 L
23 Oct Arsenal FC H 1–1 D
19 Oct AFC Bournemouth A 1–0 W
16 Oct West Ham United FC H 1–1 D
08 Oct Manchester City FC A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Nov Southampton FC A 4–1 W
29 Oct Aston Villa FC H 4–0 W
23 Oct Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–1 W
19 Oct Everton FC H 1–0 W
16 Oct Manchester United FC A 0–0 D
08 Oct Brentford FC H 5–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC27% Draw26% Newcastle United FC47%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
53%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
73%
Southampton FC or Newcastle United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC21% Draw44% Newcastle United FC35%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 1
8%
0 – 2
7.5%
0 – 0
6.9%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 15% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 53% 47%
+1 53% 21% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
19%
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.