Nottingham Forest FC vs Manchester City FC, FA Cup 2024-25 SEMI FINALS

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FA Cup · 2024-25

Nottingham Forest FC

0 – 2

Full Time

Manchester City FC

Sun 27 Apr 2025 · 15:30 UTC Wembley 72,976 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 2' Rico Lewis

0–2 51' Josko Gvardiol

Y 55' Jack Grealish

Morgan Gibbs-White 65' Y

Y 78' Nico O'Reilly

Y 87' Stefan Ortega Moreno

Ramon Sosa 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Manchester City FC — FA Cup at Wembley.

Nottingham Forest FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Manchester City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Michael Oliver
Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
Assistant 2 Dan Cook

17 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

Nottingham Forest FC 9 games · Avg 2.8 goals Manchester City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-27 Nottingham Forest FC 0–2 Manchester City FC 2025-03-08 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Manchester City FC 2024-12-04 Manchester City FC 3–0 Nottingham Forest FC 2024-04-28 Nottingham Forest FC 0–2 Manchester City FC 2023-09-23 Manchester City FC 2–0 Nottingham Forest FC

Recent Form

Nottingham Forest FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Apr	Manchester City FC	H	0–2	L
21 Apr	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	2–1	W
12 Apr	Everton FC	H	0–1	L
05 Apr	Aston Villa FC	A	1–2	L
01 Apr	Manchester United FC	H	1–0	W
29 Mar	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	A	4–3	W

Manchester City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Apr	Nottingham Forest FC	A	2–0	W
22 Apr	Aston Villa FC	H	2–1	W
19 Apr	Everton FC	A	2–0	W
12 Apr	Crystal Palace FC	H	5–2	W
06 Apr	Manchester United FC	A	0–0	D
02 Apr	Leicester City FC	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season

50% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

2/–

61-75

1/–

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC

Callum Hudson-Odoi

2 G

Manchester City FC

Antoine Semenyo	3 G	2 A
Erling Haaland	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Wembley. Nottingham Forest FC are looking to make home advantage count against Manchester City FC.
2' Rico Lewis is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
7' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
12' It looks surprising Nottingham Forest FC does not make any changes. Nico O'Reilly has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
17' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
22' Phil Foden has been relatively quiet despite scoring 98 goals in his last 439 appearances.
27' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nottingham Forest FC and Manchester City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
32' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
37' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
42' It is a cagey affair so far. Nottingham Forest FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Manchester City FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
46' Nottingham Forest FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Anthony Elanga is hanging Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira on the field on 46 minute.
51' GOAL! Josko Gvardiol fires home to make it 0-2!
55' The referee shows Manchester City FC player a card on 55.
60' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
65' Morgan Gibbs-White was booked on 65.
70' It looks like no one’s ball. Manchester City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
71' It is a substitution in Nottingham Forest FC team. Elliot Anderson is replaced by Ibrahim Sangare on 71 minute.
76' Nottingham Forest FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
78' That is a card for Manchester City FC. Nico O'Reilly will be fuming at that decision.
81' Manchester City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Phil Foden is hanging Savio on the field on 81 minute.
83' Fresh legs for Nottingham Forest FC! Jota Silva comes on to replace Nicolas Dominguez.
84' A change in the Nottingham Forest FC ranks — Zach Abbott exits the field as Ramon Sosa enters on 84.
87' Poor challenge from Stefan Ortega Moreno. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
89' Mateo Kovacic makes way for Nico Gonzalez at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Manchester City FC.
90' Ramon Sosa was booked on 90.
Another three points for Manchester City FC.

Lineups

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

14
Callum Hudson-Odoi
11
Chris Wood ↓ Taiwo Awoniyi 71'
10
Morgan Gibbs-White
15
Harry Toffolo
26
Matz Sels
31
Nikola Milenkovic
16
Nicolas Dominguez ↓ Jota Silva 83'
28
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira ↓ Anthony Elanga 46'
8
Elliot Anderson ↓ Ibrahim Sangare 71'
5
Murillo
44
Zach Abbott ↓ Ramon Sosa 84'

Bench

30
Willy Boly
6
Ibrahim Sangare ↑ 71'
19
Alex Moreno
9
Taiwo Awoniyi ↑ 71'
33
Carlos Miguel
4
Morato
21
Anthony Elanga ↑ 46'
24
Ramon Sosa ↑ 84'
20
Jota Silva ↑ 83'

Manchester City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

19
Ilkay Gundogan ↑ 71'
31
Ederson
17
Kevin De Bruyne
47
Phil Foden ↑ 81'
25
Manuel Akanji
11
Jeremy Doku ↑ 81'
14
Nico Gonzalez ↑ 89'
45
Abdukodir Khusanov
22
Vitor Reis

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Erling Haaland	5
Julian Alvarez	3
Bernardo Silva	2
Josko Gvardiol	2
Joao Cancelo	2
Chris Wood	1
Phil Foden	1
Kevin De Bruyne	1

Head to Head

Nottingham Forest FC Form

2025-04-27 Nottingham Forest FC 0–2 Manchester City FC L 2025-04-21 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1–2 Nottingham Forest FC W 2025-04-12 Nottingham Forest FC 0–1 Everton FC L 2025-04-05 Aston Villa FC 2–1 Nottingham Forest FC L 2025-04-01 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Manchester United FC W 2025-03-29 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3–4 Nottingham Forest FC W

Manchester City FC Form

2025-04-27 Nottingham Forest FC 0–2 Manchester City FC W 2025-04-22 Manchester City FC 2–1 Aston Villa FC W 2025-04-19 Everton FC 0–2 Manchester City FC W 2025-04-12 Manchester City FC 5–2 Crystal Palace FC W 2025-04-06 Manchester United FC 0–0 Manchester City FC D 2025-04-02 Manchester City FC 2–0 Leicester City FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.73 Nottingham Forest FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.32 Manchester City FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nottingham Forest FC22% Draw30% Manchester City FC48%

Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes39% 0% No61%

Avg goals/match: 2.05

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	61%	39%
± 2.5	34%	66%
± 3.5	16%	84%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw

52%

Draw or Manchester City FC

78%

Nottingham Forest FC or Manchester City FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nottingham Forest FC14% Draw53% Manchester City FC33%

Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 1

15.9%

0 – 0

15.2%

1 – 1

13.2%

0 – 2

Actual

1 – 0

8.1%

1 – 2

0 – 3

4.7%

2 – 1

4.3%

1 – 3

3.6%

2 – 0

3.2%

2 – 2

0 – 4

1.6%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap	Nottingham Forest FC covers	Push	Manchester City FC covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	13%	81%
-0.5	19%	—	81%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	25%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	15%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet

49% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.