Nottingham Forest FC vs Manchester City FC, FA Cup 2024-25 SEMI FINALS

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FA Cup · 2024-25

Nottingham Forest FC

0 – 2

Full Time

Manchester City FC

Sun 27 Apr 2025 · 15:30 UTC Wembley 72,976 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 2' Rico Lewis

0–2 51' Josko Gvardiol

Y 55' Jack Grealish

Morgan Gibbs-White 65' Y

Y 78' Nico O'Reilly

Y 87' Stefan Ortega Moreno

Ramon Sosa 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Manchester City FC — FA Cup at Wembley.

Nottingham Forest FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Manchester City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Michael Oliver
Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
Assistant 2 Dan Cook

19 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 9.5 goals/game

Head-to-Head

Nottingham Forest FC 9 games · Avg 2.8 goals Manchester City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-27 Nottingham Forest FC 0–2 Manchester City FC 2025-03-08 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Manchester City FC 2024-12-04 Manchester City FC 3–0 Nottingham Forest FC 2024-04-28 Nottingham Forest FC 0–2 Manchester City FC 2023-09-23 Manchester City FC 2–0 Nottingham Forest FC

Recent Form

Nottingham Forest FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Apr	Manchester City FC	H	0–2	L
21 Apr	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	2–1	W
12 Apr	Everton FC	H	0–1	L
05 Apr	Aston Villa FC	A	1–2	L
01 Apr	Manchester United FC	H	1–0	W
29 Mar	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	A	4–3	W

Manchester City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Apr	Nottingham Forest FC	A	2–0	W
22 Apr	Aston Villa FC	H	2–1	W
19 Apr	Everton FC	A	2–0	W
12 Apr	Crystal Palace FC	H	5–2	W
06 Apr	Manchester United FC	A	0–0	D
02 Apr	Leicester City FC	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season

50% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

2/–

61-75

1/–

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC

Callum Hudson-Odoi

2 G

Manchester City FC

Antoine Semenyo	3 G	2 A
Erling Haaland	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Nottingham Forest FC launch into their encounter with Manchester City FC.
2' Against the run of play, Rico Lewis has scored! This game has turned on its head.
7' Nottingham Forest FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
12' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
17' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
22' A quiet spell here at Wembley. Manchester City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
27' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nottingham Forest FC and Manchester City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
32' The travelling Manchester City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
37' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ruben Dias, as he is very good at scoring at Wembley with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
42' Morgan Gibbs-White is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Manchester City FC so far.
46' Another change for Nottingham Forest FC made on 46 minute. Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira leaves to be changed by Anthony Elanga.
51' Brilliant from the ! Josko Gvardiol makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 51.
55' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jack Grealish on 55 minutes.
60' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
65' Morgan Gibbs-White was booked on 65.
70' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
71' The whistle greets Elliot Anderson as he departs to be replaced by Ibrahim Sangare.
76' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nico O'Reilly.
81' Phil Foden is replacing Savio for the Manchester City FC side.
83' The supporters are chanting for Jota Silva. He replaces Nicolas Dominguez on 83 minute.
84' Ramon Sosa is replacing Zach Abbott for the Nottingham Forest FC side.
87' That looks like a foul for a card for Stefan Ortega Moreno.
89' The Manchester City FC manager makes a substitution. Mateo Kovacic departs to be replaced by Nico Gonzalez.
90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ramon Sosa on 90 minutes.
Manchester City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

14
Callum Hudson-Odoi
11
Chris Wood ↓ Taiwo Awoniyi 71'
10
Morgan Gibbs-White
15
Harry Toffolo
26
Matz Sels
31
Nikola Milenkovic
16
Nicolas Dominguez ↓ Jota Silva 83'
28
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira ↓ Anthony Elanga 46'
8
Elliot Anderson ↓ Ibrahim Sangare 71'
5
Murillo
44
Zach Abbott ↓ Ramon Sosa 84'

Bench

30
Willy Boly
6
Ibrahim Sangare ↑ 71'
19
Alex Moreno
9
Taiwo Awoniyi ↑ 71'
33
Carlos Miguel
4
Morato
21
Anthony Elanga ↑ 46'
24
Ramon Sosa ↑ 84'
20
Jota Silva ↑ 83'

Manchester City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

19
Ilkay Gundogan ↑ 71'
31
Ederson
17
Kevin De Bruyne
47
Phil Foden ↑ 81'
25
Manuel Akanji
11
Jeremy Doku ↑ 81'
14
Nico Gonzalez ↑ 89'
45
Abdukodir Khusanov
22
Vitor Reis

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Erling Haaland	5
Julian Alvarez	3
Joao Cancelo	2
Bernardo Silva	2
Josko Gvardiol	2
Callum Hudson-Odoi	1
Rico Lewis	1
Chris Wood	1

Head to Head

Nottingham Forest FC Form

2025-04-27 Nottingham Forest FC 0–2 Manchester City FC L 2025-04-21 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1–2 Nottingham Forest FC W 2025-04-12 Nottingham Forest FC 0–1 Everton FC L 2025-04-05 Aston Villa FC 2–1 Nottingham Forest FC L 2025-04-01 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Manchester United FC W 2025-03-29 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3–4 Nottingham Forest FC W

Manchester City FC Form

2025-04-27 Nottingham Forest FC 0–2 Manchester City FC W 2025-04-22 Manchester City FC 2–1 Aston Villa FC W 2025-04-19 Everton FC 0–2 Manchester City FC W 2025-04-12 Manchester City FC 5–2 Crystal Palace FC W 2025-04-06 Manchester United FC 0–0 Manchester City FC D 2025-04-02 Manchester City FC 2–0 Leicester City FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.73 Nottingham Forest FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.32 Manchester City FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nottingham Forest FC22% Draw30% Manchester City FC48%

Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes39% 0% No61%

Avg goals/match: 2.05

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	61%	39%
± 2.5	34%	66%
± 3.5	16%	84%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw

52%

Draw or Manchester City FC

78%

Nottingham Forest FC or Manchester City FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nottingham Forest FC14% Draw53% Manchester City FC33%

Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 1

15.9%

0 – 0

15.2%

1 – 1

13.2%

0 – 2

Actual

1 – 0

8.1%

1 – 2

0 – 3

4.7%

2 – 1

4.3%

1 – 3

3.6%

2 – 0

3.2%

2 – 2

0 – 4

1.6%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap	Nottingham Forest FC covers	Push	Manchester City FC covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	13%	81%
-0.5	19%	—	81%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	25%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	15%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet

49% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.