Nottingham Forest FC vs Manchester City FC, FA Cup 2024-25 SEMI FINALS

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FA Cup · 2024-25

Nottingham Forest FC

0 – 2

Full Time

Manchester City FC

Sun 27 Apr 2025 · 15:30 UTC Wembley 72,976 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 2' Rico Lewis

0–2 51' Josko Gvardiol

Y 55' Jack Grealish

Morgan Gibbs-White 65' Y

Y 78' Nico O'Reilly

Y 87' Stefan Ortega Moreno

Ramon Sosa 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Manchester City FC — FA Cup at Wembley.

Nottingham Forest FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Manchester City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Michael Oliver
Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
Assistant 2 Dan Cook

20 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 10.4 goals/game

Head-to-Head

Nottingham Forest FC 9 games · Avg 2.8 goals Manchester City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-27 Nottingham Forest FC 0–2 Manchester City FC 2025-03-08 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Manchester City FC 2024-12-04 Manchester City FC 3–0 Nottingham Forest FC 2024-04-28 Nottingham Forest FC 0–2 Manchester City FC 2023-09-23 Manchester City FC 2–0 Nottingham Forest FC

Recent Form

Nottingham Forest FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Apr	Manchester City FC	H	0–2	L
21 Apr	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	2–1	W
12 Apr	Everton FC	H	0–1	L
05 Apr	Aston Villa FC	A	1–2	L
01 Apr	Manchester United FC	H	1–0	W
29 Mar	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	A	4–3	W

Manchester City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Apr	Nottingham Forest FC	A	2–0	W
22 Apr	Aston Villa FC	H	2–1	W
19 Apr	Everton FC	A	2–0	W
12 Apr	Crystal Palace FC	H	5–2	W
06 Apr	Manchester United FC	A	0–0	D
02 Apr	Leicester City FC	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season

50% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

2/–

61-75

1/–

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC

Callum Hudson-Odoi

2 G

Manchester City FC

Antoine Semenyo	3 G	2 A
Erling Haaland	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Nottingham Forest FC and Manchester City FC has kicked off!
2' Rico Lewis puts Manchester City FC on the lead.
7' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nottingham Forest FC and Manchester City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
12' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nottingham Forest FC and Manchester City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
17' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nicolas Dominguez suffering a number of foals already.
22' It looks like no one’s ball. Nottingham Forest FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
27' Ruben Dias, a Portugal , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
32' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
37' Over 37 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
42' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
46' Nottingham Forest FC make a change. Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira trudges off to be replaced by Anthony Elanga on 46 minutes.
51' Josko Gvardiol doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
55' Jack Grealish has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 55.
60' It looks surprising Nottingham Forest FC does not make any changes. Morgan Gibbs-White has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
65' The referee has no hesitation. Morgan Gibbs-White is booked for Nottingham Forest FC — card on 65.
70' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Manchester City FC that had 436 games and scored 1020 goals.
71' The supporters are chanting for Ibrahim Sangare. He replaces Elliot Anderson on 71 minute.
76' A quiet spell here at Wembley. Nottingham Forest FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
78' Nico O'Reilly has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 78.
81' The Manchester City FC bench stirs into life. Savio is withdrawn and Phil Foden gets his opportunity.
83' Another substitution for Nottingham Forest FC to replace Nicolas Dominguez by Jota Silva on 83 minute.
84' Zach Abbott makes way for Ramon Sosa at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nottingham Forest FC.
87' Stefan Ortega Moreno was booked on 87.
89' Nico Gonzalez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mateo Kovacic on 89 minute.
90' It’s a booking for Nottingham Forest FC player. Ramon Sosa gets a card.
It finishes all square. Nottingham Forest FC and Manchester City FC share the spoils 0-2.

Lineups

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

14
Callum Hudson-Odoi
11
Chris Wood ↓ Taiwo Awoniyi 71'
10
Morgan Gibbs-White
15
Harry Toffolo
26
Matz Sels
31
Nikola Milenkovic
16
Nicolas Dominguez ↓ Jota Silva 83'
28
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira ↓ Anthony Elanga 46'
8
Elliot Anderson ↓ Ibrahim Sangare 71'
5
Murillo
44
Zach Abbott ↓ Ramon Sosa 84'

Bench

30
Willy Boly
6
Ibrahim Sangare ↑ 71'
19
Alex Moreno
9
Taiwo Awoniyi ↑ 71'
33
Carlos Miguel
4
Morato
21
Anthony Elanga ↑ 46'
24
Ramon Sosa ↑ 84'
20
Jota Silva ↑ 83'

Manchester City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

19
Ilkay Gundogan ↑ 71'
31
Ederson
17
Kevin De Bruyne
47
Phil Foden ↑ 81'
25
Manuel Akanji
11
Jeremy Doku ↑ 81'
14
Nico Gonzalez ↑ 89'
45
Abdukodir Khusanov
22
Vitor Reis

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Erling Haaland	5
Julian Alvarez	3
Bernardo Silva	2
Josko Gvardiol	2
Joao Cancelo	2
Phil Foden	1
Kevin De Bruyne	1
Jeremy Doku	1

Head to Head

Nottingham Forest FC Form

2025-04-27 Nottingham Forest FC 0–2 Manchester City FC L 2025-04-21 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1–2 Nottingham Forest FC W 2025-04-12 Nottingham Forest FC 0–1 Everton FC L 2025-04-05 Aston Villa FC 2–1 Nottingham Forest FC L 2025-04-01 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Manchester United FC W 2025-03-29 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3–4 Nottingham Forest FC W

Manchester City FC Form

2025-04-27 Nottingham Forest FC 0–2 Manchester City FC W 2025-04-22 Manchester City FC 2–1 Aston Villa FC W 2025-04-19 Everton FC 0–2 Manchester City FC W 2025-04-12 Manchester City FC 5–2 Crystal Palace FC W 2025-04-06 Manchester United FC 0–0 Manchester City FC D 2025-04-02 Manchester City FC 2–0 Leicester City FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.73 Nottingham Forest FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.32 Manchester City FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nottingham Forest FC22% Draw30% Manchester City FC48%

Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes39% 0% No61%

Avg goals/match: 2.05

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	61%	39%
± 2.5	34%	66%
± 3.5	16%	84%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw

52%

Draw or Manchester City FC

78%

Nottingham Forest FC or Manchester City FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nottingham Forest FC14% Draw53% Manchester City FC33%

Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 1

15.9%

0 – 0

15.2%

1 – 1

13.2%

0 – 2

Actual

1 – 0

8.1%

1 – 2

0 – 3

4.7%

2 – 1

4.3%

1 – 3

3.6%

2 – 0

3.2%

2 – 2

0 – 4

1.6%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap	Nottingham Forest FC covers	Push	Manchester City FC covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	13%	81%
-0.5	19%	—	81%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	25%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	15%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet

49% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.