Nottingham Forest FC vs Manchester City FC, FA Cup 2024-25 SEMI FINALS

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FA Cup · 2024-25

Nottingham Forest FC

0 – 2

Full Time

Manchester City FC

Sun 27 Apr 2025 · 15:30 UTC Wembley 72,976 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 2' Rico Lewis

0–2 51' Josko Gvardiol

Y 55' Jack Grealish

Morgan Gibbs-White 65' Y

Y 78' Nico O'Reilly

Y 87' Stefan Ortega Moreno

Ramon Sosa 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Manchester City FC — FA Cup at Wembley.

Nottingham Forest FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Manchester City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Michael Oliver
Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
Assistant 2 Dan Cook

23 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 12.2 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Head-to-Head

Nottingham Forest FC 10 games · Avg 2.9 goals Manchester City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-27 Nottingham Forest FC 0–2 Manchester City FC 2025-03-08 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Manchester City FC 2024-12-04 Manchester City FC 3–0 Nottingham Forest FC 2024-04-28 Nottingham Forest FC 0–2 Manchester City FC 2023-09-23 Manchester City FC 2–0 Nottingham Forest FC

Recent Form

Nottingham Forest FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Apr	Manchester City FC	H	0–2	L
21 Apr	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	2–1	W
12 Apr	Everton FC	H	0–1	L
05 Apr	Aston Villa FC	A	1–2	L
01 Apr	Manchester United FC	H	1–0	W
29 Mar	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	A	4–3	W

Manchester City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Apr	Nottingham Forest FC	A	2–0	W
22 Apr	Aston Villa FC	H	2–1	W
19 Apr	Everton FC	A	2–0	W
12 Apr	Crystal Palace FC	H	5–2	W
06 Apr	Manchester United FC	A	0–0	D
02 Apr	Leicester City FC	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Nottingham Forest FC have kicked off against Manchester City FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
2' Rico Lewis puts Manchester City FC on the lead.
7' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nottingham Forest FC and Manchester City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
12' The 20-year-old Zach Abbott has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
17' Harry Toffolo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Manchester City FC so far.
22' It looks surprising Nottingham Forest FC does not make any changes. Omar Marmoush has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
27' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
32' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matz Sels suffering a number of foals already.
37' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
42' The travelling Manchester City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
46' A tactical swap from Nottingham Forest FC — Anthony Elanga on, Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira off on 46 minutes.
51' What a moment for Josko Gvardiol! That strike on 51 puts his side firmly in control.
55' That is a card for Manchester City FC. Jack Grealish will be fuming at that decision.
60' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
65' Nottingham Forest FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 65.
70' Supporters expect more eagerness from Callum Hudson-Odoi, as he is very good at scoring at Wembley with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
71' Another change for Nottingham Forest FC made on 71 minute. Elliot Anderson leaves to be changed by Ibrahim Sangare.
76' With 2 assists to his name this season, Ramon Sosa is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nottingham Forest FC.
78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nico O'Reilly.
81' Phil Foden has so much to prove this time. He replaces Savio on 81 minute.
83' The Nottingham Forest FC manager makes a substitution. Nicolas Dominguez departs to be replaced by Jota Silva.
84' Time for substitution for Nottingham Forest FC. Zach Abbott is replaced by Ramon Sosa.
87' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Stefan Ortega Moreno.
89' Nico Gonzalez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mateo Kovacic on 89 minute.
90' A moment of madness from Ramon Sosa on 90 minutes earns him a card. Nottingham Forest FC will be frustrated.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Manchester City FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

14
Callum Hudson-Odoi
11
Chris Wood ↓ Taiwo Awoniyi 71'
10
Morgan Gibbs-White
15
Harry Toffolo
26
Matz Sels
31
Nikola Milenkovic
16
Nicolas Dominguez ↓ Jota Silva 83'
28
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira ↓ Anthony Elanga 46'
8
Elliot Anderson ↓ Ibrahim Sangare 71'
5
Murillo
44
Zach Abbott ↓ Ramon Sosa 84'

Bench

30
Willy Boly
6
Ibrahim Sangare ↑ 71'
19
Alex Moreno
9
Taiwo Awoniyi ↑ 71'
33
Carlos Miguel
4
Morato
21
Anthony Elanga ↑ 46'
24
Ramon Sosa ↑ 84'
20
Jota Silva ↑ 83'

Manchester City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

19
Ilkay Gundogan ↑ 71'
31
Ederson
17
Kevin De Bruyne
47
Phil Foden ↑ 81'
25
Manuel Akanji
11
Jeremy Doku ↑ 81'
14
Nico Gonzalez ↑ 89'
45
Abdukodir Khusanov
22
Vitor Reis

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Erling Haaland	5
Julian Alvarez	3
Joao Cancelo	2
Liam Delap	2
Bernardo Silva	2
Josko Gvardiol	2
Kevin De Bruyne	1
Jeremy Doku	1

Head to Head

Nottingham Forest FC Form

2025-04-27 Nottingham Forest FC 0–2 Manchester City FC L 2025-04-21 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1–2 Nottingham Forest FC W 2025-04-12 Nottingham Forest FC 0–1 Everton FC L 2025-04-05 Aston Villa FC 2–1 Nottingham Forest FC L 2025-04-01 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Manchester United FC W 2025-03-29 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3–4 Nottingham Forest FC W

Manchester City FC Form

2025-04-27 Nottingham Forest FC 0–2 Manchester City FC W 2025-04-22 Manchester City FC 2–1 Aston Villa FC W 2025-04-19 Everton FC 0–2 Manchester City FC W 2025-04-12 Manchester City FC 5–2 Crystal Palace FC W 2025-04-06 Manchester United FC 0–0 Manchester City FC D 2025-04-02 Manchester City FC 2–0 Leicester City FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.73 Nottingham Forest FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.32 Manchester City FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nottingham Forest FC22% Draw30% Manchester City FC48%

Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes39% 0% No61%

Avg goals/match: 2.05

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	61%	39%
± 2.5	34%	66%
± 3.5	16%	84%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw

52%

Draw or Manchester City FC

78%

Nottingham Forest FC or Manchester City FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nottingham Forest FC14% Draw53% Manchester City FC33%

Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 1

15.9%

0 – 0

15.2%

1 – 1

13.2%

0 – 2

Actual

1 – 0

8.1%

1 – 2

0 – 3

4.7%

2 – 1

4.3%

1 – 3

3.6%

2 – 0

3.2%

2 – 2

0 – 4

1.6%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap	Nottingham Forest FC covers	Push	Manchester City FC covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	13%	81%
-0.5	19%	—	81%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	25%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	15%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet

49% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.