Thursday , 1 October 2026

Southampton FC vs Brentford FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 4 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Saint Mary's 31,001 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Kevin Schade
0–2 62' Bryan Mbeumo
0–3 69' Bryan Mbeumo pen
0–4 90+2' Keane Lewis-Potter
0–5 90+4' Yoane Wissa

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Brentford FC — Premier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Assistant 1 Constantine Hatzidakis
  • Assistant 2 Natalie Aspinall
3 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 15.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Brentford FC H 0–5 L
29 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 1–2 L
26 Dec West Ham United FC H 0–1 L
22 Dec Fulham FC A 0–0 D
15 Dec Tottenham Hotspur FC H 0–5 L
07 Dec Aston Villa FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Southampton FC A 5–0 W
01 Jan Arsenal FC H 1–3 L
27 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–0 D
21 Dec Nottingham Forest FC H 0–2 L
15 Dec Chelsea FC A 1–2 L
07 Dec Newcastle United FC H 4–2 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Brentford FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Brentford FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brentford FC
Kevin Schade 3 G
Vitaly Janelt 2 G
Keane Lewis-Potter 1 G 1 A
Michael Kayode 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Southampton FC host Brentford FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Southampton FC are deployed in a 3-4-3 today, looking to exploit space against Brentford FC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 6' What a strike from Kevin Schade! The score is 0-1.
  • 11' named a 3-4-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 16' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 16 minutes.
  • 21' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 22' Southampton FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 27' Southampton FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 32' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 37' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ivan Juric will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 42' Adam Armstrong is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Southampton FC so far.
  • 46' Charlie Taylor gets the nod from Southampton FC. He replaces Nathan Wood-Gordon and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 55' Another change for Southampton FC made on 55 minute. Kamal Deen Sulemana leaves to be changed by Cameron Archer.
  • 60' Bryan Mbeumo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Southampton FC tonight.
  • 62' What a strike from Bryan Mbeumo! The score is 0-2.
  • 64' The referee has no hesitation. Taylor Harwood-Bellis is booked for Southampton FC — card on 64.
  • 69' Against the run of play, Bryan Mbeumo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 71' Another substitution for Brentford FC to replace Mathias Jensen by Vitaly Janelt on 71 minute.
  • 76' Brentford FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 76.
  • 81' The Brentford FC manager makes a substitution. Kevin Schade departs to be replaced by Edmond-Paris Maghoma.
  • 86' Brentford FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 87' A change in the Southampton FC ranks — Joe Aribo exits the field as Adam Lallana enters on 87.
  • Southampton FC will have plenty to reflect on. Brentford FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.76 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.15 Brentford FC xG
I would bet for: Brentford FC to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC16% Draw22% Brentford FC62%
Actual: Brentford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
39%
Draw or Brentford FC
84%
Southampton FC or Brentford FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC11% Draw41% Brentford FC48%
Actual: Brentford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–5 not predicted
0 – 5
Actual
0 – 2
12.4%
0 – 1
11.2%
1 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 3
8.6%
0 – 0
7.1%
1 – 3
6.6%
0 – 4
4.6%
1 – 4
3.7%
2 – 2
3.5%
1 – 0
3.5%
2 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Brentford FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 97%
-1.5 3% — 97%
-1 3% 8% 89%
-0.5 11% — 89%
+0.5 32% — 68%
+1 32% 24% 44%
+1.5 56% — 44%
+2 56% 21% 24%
+2.5 76% — 24%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
Brentford FC keeps clean sheet
47% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.