Sunday , 16 August 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Stevenage FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2022-23
Sun 8 Jan 2023 · 16:30 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Stevenage FCFA Cup at Villa Park.

Head-to-Head

1
Aston Villa FC 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Stevenage FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jan Stevenage FC H 1–2 L
04 Jan Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
01 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–0 W
26 Dec Liverpool FC H 1–3 L
13 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 2–1 W
06 Nov Manchester United FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jan Aston Villa FC A 2–1 W
26 Nov King's Lynn Town FC A 3–0 W
05 Nov Gateshead FC A 3–2 W
06 Nov Milton Keynes Dons FC A 2–2 D
09 Jan Swansea City AFC H 0–2 L
29 Nov Hull City AFC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Stevenage FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Aston Villa FC welcome Stevenage FC for this crunch clash at Villa Park.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Kane Smith has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' Dean Campbell is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Aston Villa FC tonight.
  • 20' Aston Villa FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Stevenage FC's shape.
  • 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 30' Stevenage FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 33' Morgan Sanson doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 38' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Aston Villa FC and Stevenage FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 43' The energy levels are beginning to show. Steve Evans might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 48' Dan Sweeney has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 53' The 34-year-old Carl Piergianni has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 58' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Aston Villa FC and Stevenage FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 63' Danny Rose makes way for Jamie Reid at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from Stevenage FC.
  • 66' Aston Villa FC make a change. Philippe Coutinho trudges off to be replaced by Emiliano Buendia on 66 minutes.
  • 67' Time for substitution for Aston Villa FC. Morgan Sanson is replaced by Jacob Ramsey.
  • 68' Stevenage FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kane Smith is hanging Jake Taylor on the field on 68 minute.
  • 71' The Aston Villa FC bench stirs into life. Matty Cash is withdrawn and Ashley Young gets his opportunity.
  • 72' The Aston Villa FC bench stirs into life. Danny Ings is withdrawn and Ollie Watkins gets his opportunity.
  • 77' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 81' Aston Villa FC ring the changes. Ludwig Augustinsson has done his job and it is now time for Lucas Digne to step up.
  • 83' Stevenage FC ring the changes. Terence Vancooten has done his job and it is now time for Michael Bostwick to step up.
  • 85' The referee calls foul for Leander Dendoncker. He receives a Red card.
  • 88' Brilliant from the ! Jamie Reid makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 88.
  • 90' Dean Campbell has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 90 minutes.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Stevenage FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61 Stevenage FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or Stevenage FC 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC30% Draw28% Stevenage FC42%
Actual: Stevenage FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Stevenage FC
70%
Aston Villa FC or Stevenage FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC22% Draw45% Stevenage FC33%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.4%
0 – 0
7.6%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Stevenage FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 16% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 21% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
21%
Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.