Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sat 16 Oct 2021 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Shonan Bellmare H 1–1 D
03 Oct Tokushima Vortis A 0–3 L
25 Sep Avispa Fukuoka A 0–3 L
18 Sep Ōita FC Trinita H 0–0 D
11 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse H 2–1 W
29 Aug Vegalta Sendai A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Sagan Tosu FC A 1–1 D
01 Oct Yokohama F·Marinos H 0–1 L
26 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 1–2 L
18 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 1–1 D
11 Sep Ōita FC Trinita A 0–2 L
29 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare has kicked off!
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Myung-Hwi Kim will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Shonan Bellmare is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 19' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Shuto Machino makes it 0-1.
  • 24' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 29' Yuta Higuchi, a Japan , has 15 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 34' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 34 minutes.
  • 39' Taiga Hata is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
  • 44' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Shonan Bellmare's shape.
  • 46' The whistle greets Yoshihiro Nakano as he departs to be replaced by Tomoya Koyamatsu.
  • 51' Takuya Okamoto is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
  • 56' Koki Tachi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 59' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Keita Yamashita is replaced by Noriyoshi Sakai on 59 minute.
  • 64' Shonan Bellmare is showing some good football. However, Shonan Bellmare are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 65' Shonan Bellmare manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Naoki Yamada is hanging Akimi Barada on the field on 65 minute.
  • 70' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 71' Tarik Elyounoussi gets the nod from Shonan Bellmare. He replaces Shuto Machino and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' What a moment for Noriyoshi Sakai! That strike on 73 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 78' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 81' The crowd applauds Yuto Iwasaki as he leaves the pitch. Ryunosuke Sagara steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 85' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 85 minute. Nanasei Iino leaves to be changed by Shinya Nakano.
  • 90' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.33 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC47% Draw28% Shonan Bellmare25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
53%
Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC30% Draw51% Shonan Bellmare19%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 23% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.