Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sagan Tosu FC
1 – 1
Full Time
Shonan Bellmare
Sat 16 Oct 2021 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
5
6
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Shonan Bellmare
Last 5 meetings
2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-02-27 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-10-25 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Shonan Bellmare 2020-10-21 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-08-17 Shonan Bellmare 2–3 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Shonan Bellmare H 1–1 D
03 Oct Tokushima Vortis A 0–3 L
25 Sep Avispa Fukuoka A 0–3 L
18 Sep Ōita FC Trinita H 0–0 D
11 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse H 2–1 W
29 Aug Vegalta Sendai A 1–0 W
Shonan Bellmare
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Sagan Tosu FC A 1–1 D
01 Oct Yokohama F·Marinos H 0–1 L
26 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 1–2 L
18 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 1–1 D
11 Sep Ōita FC Trinita A 0–2 L
29 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Sagan Tosu FC gets underway.
  • 5' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Takuya Okamoto has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Brazil international Wellington has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 19' A stunning finish from Shuto Machino — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 24' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 29' Nanasei Iino has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 279 appearances.
  • 34' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 39' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 44' Shonan Bellmare fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 46' Tomoya Koyamatsu gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Yoshihiro Nakano and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 56' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 59' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Keita Yamashita by Noriyoshi Sakai on 59 minute.
  • 64' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 65' Shonan Bellmare ring the changes. Akimi Barada has done his job and it is now time for Naoki Yamada to step up.
  • 70' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 71' A change in the Shonan Bellmare ranks — Shuto Machino exits the field as Tarik Elyounoussi enters on 71.
  • 73' Noriyoshi Sakai does the damage! The net is bulging and Sagan Tosu FC surge ahead!
  • 78' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Myung-Hwi Kim will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Ryunosuke Sagara. He replaces Yuto Iwasaki on 81 minute.
  • 85' Shinya Nakano has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nanasei Iino on 85 minute.
  • 90' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Shonan Bellmare's shape.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Satoshi Yamaguchi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Yuji Ono 4
Shuto Machino 4
Yuki Ohashi 4
Isaac Cuenca 2
Cho Donggeon 2
Daichi Hayashi 2
Sho Fukuda 2
Yuta Fujihara 2

Head to Head

2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-02-27 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-10-25 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Shonan Bellmare 2020-10-21 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-08-17 Shonan Bellmare 2–3 Sagan Tosu FC

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D 2021-10-03 Tokushima Vortis 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-09-25 Avispa Fukuoka 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-09-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Ōita FC Trinita D 2021-09-11 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2021-08-29 Vegalta Sendai 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC W

Shonan Bellmare Form

2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D 2021-10-01 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2021-09-26 Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 Shonan Bellmare L 2021-09-18 Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka D 2021-09-11 Ōita FC Trinita 2–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2021-08-29 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Urawa Red Diamonds D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.33 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC47% Draw28% Shonan Bellmare25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
53%
Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC30% Draw51% Shonan Bellmare19%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 23% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.