Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sagan Tosu FC
1 – 1
Full Time
Shonan Bellmare
Sat 16 Oct 2021 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
5
6
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Shonan Bellmare
Last 5 meetings
2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-02-27 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-10-25 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Shonan Bellmare 2020-10-21 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-08-17 Shonan Bellmare 2–3 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Shonan Bellmare H 1–1 D
03 Oct Tokushima Vortis A 0–3 L
25 Sep Avispa Fukuoka A 0–3 L
18 Sep Oita FC Trinita H 0–0 D
11 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse H 2–1 W
29 Aug Vegalta Sendai A 1–0 W
Shonan Bellmare
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Sagan Tosu FC A 1–1 D
01 Oct Yokohama F.Marinos H 0–1 L
26 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 1–2 L
18 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 1–1 D
11 Sep Oita FC Trinita A 0–2 L
29 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Sagan Tosu FC have kicked off against Shonan Bellmare. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' Shonan Bellmare started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' Hwang Seokho has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 19' Brilliant from the forward! Shuto Machino makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 19.
  • 24' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 29' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Myung-Hwi Kim will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 34' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 46' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Yoshihiro Nakano has done his job and it is now time for Tomoya Koyamatsu to step up.
  • 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 56' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 59' The crowd applauds Keita Yamashita as he leaves the pitch. Noriyoshi Sakai steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 64' Hirokazu Ishihara has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 418 appearances.
  • 65' Time for substitution for Shonan Bellmare. Akimi Barada is replaced by Naoki Yamada.
  • 70' Shonan Bellmare fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 71' Shonan Bellmare manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tarik Elyounoussi is hanging Shuto Machino on the field on 71 minute.
  • 73' A stunning finish from Noriyoshi Sakai — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 78' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 81' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Yuto Iwasaki by Ryunosuke Sagara on 81 minute.
  • 85' Nanasei Iino makes way for Shinya Nakano at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 90' Yuta Higuchi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Shonan Bellmare tonight.
  • It finishes all square. Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Satoshi Yamaguchi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Shuto Machino 4
Yuki Ohashi 4
Yuji Ono 4
Yuta Fujihara 2
Isaac Cuenca 2
Cho Donggeon 2
Daichi Hayashi 2
Sho Fukuda 2

Head to Head

2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-02-27 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-10-25 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Shonan Bellmare 2020-10-21 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-08-17 Shonan Bellmare 2–3 Sagan Tosu FC

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D 2021-10-03 Tokushima Vortis 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-09-25 Avispa Fukuoka 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-09-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Oita FC Trinita D 2021-09-11 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2021-08-29 Vegalta Sendai 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC W

Shonan Bellmare Form

2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D 2021-10-01 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Yokohama F.Marinos L 2021-09-26 Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 Shonan Bellmare L 2021-09-18 Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka D 2021-09-11 Oita FC Trinita 2–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2021-08-29 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Urawa Red Diamonds D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.33 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC47% Draw28% Shonan Bellmare25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
53%
Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC30% Draw51% Shonan Bellmare19%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 23% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.