Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sagan Tosu FC
1 – 1
Full Time
Shonan Bellmare
Sat 16 Oct 2021 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
5
6
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Shonan Bellmare
Last 5 meetings
2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-02-27 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-10-25 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Shonan Bellmare 2020-10-21 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-08-17 Shonan Bellmare 2–3 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Shonan Bellmare H 1–1 D
03 Oct Tokushima Vortis A 0–3 L
25 Sep Avispa Fukuoka A 0–3 L
18 Sep Oita FC Trinita H 0–0 D
11 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse H 2–1 W
29 Aug Vegalta Sendai A 1–0 W
Shonan Bellmare
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Sagan Tosu FC A 1–1 D
01 Oct Yokohama F·Marinos H 0–1 L
26 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 1–2 L
18 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 1–1 D
11 Sep Oita FC Trinita A 0–2 L
29 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium as Sagan Tosu FC face off against Shonan Bellmare in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' Ayumu Ohata has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 19' What a moment for Shuto Machino! That strike on 19 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 24' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 29' Shonan Bellmare seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 34' Shonan Bellmare are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 39' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 44' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Shonan Bellmare that had 418 games and scored 315 goals.
  • 46' Tomoya Koyamatsu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yoshihiro Nakano on 46 minute.
  • 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 59' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Keita Yamashita has done his job and it is now time for Noriyoshi Sakai to step up.
  • 64' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 65' Naoki Yamada is replacing Akimi Barada for the Shonan Bellmare side.
  • 70' Koki Tachi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 71' Shonan Bellmare make a change. Shuto Machino trudges off to be replaced by Tarik Elyounoussi on 71 minutes.
  • 73' Noriyoshi Sakai has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 73 minutes.
  • 78' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past Shonan Bellmare's compact .
  • 81' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Yuto Iwasaki is replaced by Ryunosuke Sagara.
  • 85' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Shinya Nakano comes on to replace Nanasei Iino.
  • 90' Shonan Bellmare is showing some good football. However, Shonan Bellmare are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • It finishes all square. Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Satoshi Yamaguchi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Shuto Machino 4
Yuki Ohashi 4
Yuji Ono 4
Cho Donggeon 2
Daichi Hayashi 2
Sho Fukuda 2
Yuta Fujihara 2
Isaac Cuenca 2

Head to Head

2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-02-27 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-10-25 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Shonan Bellmare 2020-10-21 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-08-17 Shonan Bellmare 2–3 Sagan Tosu FC

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D 2021-10-03 Tokushima Vortis 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-09-25 Avispa Fukuoka 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-09-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Oita FC Trinita D 2021-09-11 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2021-08-29 Vegalta Sendai 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC W

Shonan Bellmare Form

2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D 2021-10-01 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2021-09-26 Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 Shonan Bellmare L 2021-09-18 Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka D 2021-09-11 Oita FC Trinita 2–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2021-08-29 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Urawa Red Diamonds D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.33 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC47% Draw28% Shonan Bellmare25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
53%
Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC30% Draw51% Shonan Bellmare19%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 23% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.